Wakefield, Virginia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 66°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 90%
  • Visibility: 8.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 63°
  • Pressure: 30.03 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
Fog
Fog
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
70°
82°
86°
86°
77°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 91 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Wakefield, Virginia

Updated: 5:00 AM EDT on July 26, 2014

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 90F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 88F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 75F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 91F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then clear. Low of 64F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 82F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 82F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 63F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNE after midnight.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cedar Lawn Farms, Ivor, VA

Updated: 7:03 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.0 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Septa, Smithfield, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.3 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Isle of Wight County EOC, Isle Of Wight, VA

Updated: 6:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.1 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Kings Landing, Surry, VA

Updated: 7:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.1 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: ALLEN FARMS, Windsor, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.0 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Windsor Fire Station, VA, Windsor, VA

Updated: 7:07 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Aaron's Weather Service, Franklin, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Carrsville Fire Station, Carrsville, VA

Updated: 6:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: First Colony on The James, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.4 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: South at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Smithfield Fire Station, Smithfiled, VA

Updated: 7:07 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Moonefield, Smithfield, VA

Updated: 7:01 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: RAWS JAMES RIVER VA US, Spring Grove, VA

Updated: 6:26 AM EDT

Temperature: 64 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Smithfield VA US, Smithfield, VA

Updated: 6:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 64 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: St.Georges Hundred, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 6:32 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Chanco's Grant, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Stony Creek, Stony Creek, VA

Updated: 7:06 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.3 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest TIDEWATER AREC VA US SCAN, Suffolk, VA

Updated: 6:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Powhaten Woods, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 7:02 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Kingsmill, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 7:09 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Fords Colony, Williamsburg, VA

Updated: 7:04 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 
441 am EDT Sat Jul 26 2014 


Synopsis... 
high pressure slides off the middle Atlantic coast today as a warm 
front lifts north across the area this afternoon through tonight. 
A strong cold front approaches the region on Sunday and crosses 
the area Monday into Monday night. Strong to severe thunderstorms 
will be possible Sunday and Monday. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
the surface cold front that brought severe weather to the area on Thursday 
has washed out into a warm front and is expected to slowly lift 
northward across the region through today...finally exiting the area 
by early Sunday morning. Meanwhile as high pressure slides off the 
coast today...dewpoints will gradually rise through the day with 
only minor suppression during afternoon mixing as winds become S-SW at 
or below 10 miles per hour. Temperatures will also be on the rise with highs 
around 90 inland and in the middle-upper 80s along the coast. A 
shortwave passes just north of the area late this morning through 
this afternoon and may kick off a stray shower/storm or two across far 
northern counties. 


For tonight...the region becomes well-rooted in the warm sector 
this evening and dewpoints around 70 degrees will be common 
areawide. A thermal/Lee side trough develops in the wake of the 
warm frontal passage overnight...thus causing the surface pressure 
gradient to tighten ahead of an approaching cold front from the 
west (s winds between 5-10 mph). A muggy night will be on tap with 
temperatures/dewpoints both in the lower 70s. Despite conditions being 
near saturation...mixing overnight should prevent fog from 
developing. 


&& 


Short term /Sunday through Monday night/... 
the thermal trough strengthens on Sunday and the surface pressure 
gradient tightens up even more as a strong cold front approaches 
the region from the west. Shortwave energy ejects from a parent 
low/trough swinging through the western Great Lakes on Sunday is 
prognosticated to cross northern Virginia sun aftn/evening. Confidence is increasing 
regarding severe weather potential during this timeframe. Not only will 
ample moisture be present across the region (pwats around 2.00 
inches and dewpoints in the lower 70s) but 0-6km bulk shear 
increases to 50-55 knots with increasing levels of 850-700mb MUCAPE 
ranging from 500-2500 j/kg...depending on which model solution is 
preferred. Surface lifted index values are also very unstable (-3 to 
-7 during the aftn/evening). Model cross sections/time heights 
reveal plenty of elevated lift (including through the hail growth 
zone) and soundings confirm this. Soundings also show increasing 
winds with height with dry air entrainment in the middle levels (sw 
surface gusts to around 20 miles per hour in the aftn). NAM soundings show the wind 
profile veering with height while the GFS is more unidirectional. 
All of the above convective parameters suggest that organized (and 
possibly linear) convection will be possible on Sunday. Some 
storms may become severe with damaging winds...large hail...and 
very heavy rainfall. Storm Prediction Center confirms this in their day 2 outlook 
which has the entire Wakefield County Warning Area in a slight risk area for 
damaging winds and large hail. Supercells may also be possible due 
to favorable shear profiles...which means isolated tornadoes 
cannot be ruled out. Will highlight severe potential in the severe weather potential statement. 
High temperatures of 90-95 degrees are expected on Sunday. The 
combination of heat and dewpoints in the lower 70s will bump heat 
index values to 100-104 degrees (sub-advisory). If the area 
experiences more sunshine early in the day...especially southeast Virginia/NE 
NC...then heat indices could push into advisory levels (105-109 
degrees). Will need to monitor closely. 


A brief reprieve from adverse weather may be possible late Sunday night 
into Monday morning pre-fropa. The cold front is expected to gain 
momentum from a strong shortwave swinging across the Ohio Valley 
into New England during the day. This should push the front 
quickly through the area Monday aftn/evening. Thunderstorms are 
expected to become focused across southeast Virginia/NE NC during the frontal 
passage. The aforementioned convective parameters from Sunday will 
also be in play on Monday. Although overall values are slightly 
weaker...there is a continued threat for damaging winds...large 
hail...and very heavy rainfall. High temperatures will be tricky due to 
exact placement of thunderstorms...how much drying can occur Post- 
frontal...and how afternoon mixing keeps temperatures elevated due to breezy 
SW-west winds with gusts to around 25 miles per hour. Current forecast is for 
highs in the lower 90s regionwide. A cooler and drier airmass 
filters in from the north Monday night as precipitation comes to an end 
across the southeast. Lows should range from the lower 60s northwest to lower 
70s southeast. 


&& 


Long term /Tuesday through Friday/... 
going with a combination of the 12z GFS and 12z European model (ecmwf) for the 
extended period. Longwave trough digs into and over the middle Atlantic region 
Monday night into early Thursday...before retrograding back into the Ohio and MS 
valleys Thursday afternoon through Friday. Cold front will push off the CST Monday night 
and Tuesday...lingers farther off the CST Tuesday night through Thursday...then 
possibly drifts back toward the CST late Friday. Other than a slight or small 
chance for showers over extreme southeast Virginia and NE NC Monday night into Tuesday 
morng...will have a dry forecast for the remainder of the extended 
period. A more comfortable airmass will dominate the area Tuesday into 
Thursday...before a little more humidity returns on Friday. Maximum temperatures will 
generally be in the lower to middle 80s through the period. Min temperatures will 
range from the lower 60s to lower 70s Tuesday morng...range from the upper 50s to 
middle 60s Wednesday and Thursday morngs...and range through the 60s Friday morng. 


&& 


Aviation /08z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
surface hi pressure off the CST...W/ light south-southeast winds at this time. Winds light 
enough...and recent rainfall ptntlly leading to patchy fog (and MVFR 
conds) next few hours (through at sunrise). Expecting scattered-broken cloudiness 
today...W/ low probability for any convection. 


S-SW winds gusting to 15 knots and scattered-broken cloudiness expected sun as a cold front 
approaches the region from the west. Ptntl for MVFR conds in any scattered 
convection lt morning through afternoon. The front is expected to cross 
the region on Monday. 


Note: observations from ksby are not readily available due to a 
communications problem. Return to service is unknown at this time. 
However...current information may be obtained by calling into the 
ASOS site directly. Amend not schedule will be appended to the ksby taf 
until further notice. 


&& 


Marine... 
no headlines expected through Monday. Hi pressure slides east of the waters through 
tonight. S to SW winds will at or below 15 knots today...increases a bit tonight...especially on 
the ocn (to about 20 kt). In advance of approaching cold front...similar 
conds (ssw winds avgg speeds at or below 15 kt) sun through Monday. That cold front 
to cross the waters Monday...then off the CST Monday night. Winds will turn 
to the northwest behind the fnt into Tuesday (w/ a possible surge in speeds). 


&& 


Akq watches/warnings/advisories... 
Maryland...none. 
NC...none. 
Virginia...none. 
Marine...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...bmd 
near term...bmd 
short term...bmd 
long term...tmg 
aviation...alb 
marine...alb 
















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