Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 74°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NNE 10 mph
  • Humidity: 55%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 57°
  • Pressure: 29.99 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
73°
72°
68°
68°
72°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on September 18, 2014

Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening...
  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 30 mph shifting to the WNW in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 64F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 25 to 30 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 25 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 75F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 70F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 70F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 79F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 72F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Coastal Flood Advisory, Beach Hazard Statement  Statement as of 9:18 am EDT on September 18, 2014


... Beach hazards statement remains in effect until 8 PM EDT this
evening...
... Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to
8 PM EDT this evening...

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a coastal Flood Advisory... which is in effect from 3 PM this
afternoon to 8 PM EDT this evening.

* Hazards... high threat of rip currents for beaches north of Cape
Hatteras.

* Coastal flooding... minor ocean overwash expected near the Rodanthe
S-curves to the temporary bridge.

* Timing and tides... the most likely time for dangerous rip
currents will be a few hours either side of low tide... which will
occur around 10 am today.

* Coastal flooding timing... minor ocean overwash will be possible
a few hours either side of high tide... which will occur around
4:30 t0 5:00 PM this afternoon.

* Impacts... motorists should be prepared for standing water from
minor ocean overwash near the Rodanthe S-curves to the Pea
Island temporary bridge.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore... which occur most often at low spots or breaks in The
Sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins...
jetties and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards and the beach
patrol. Pay attention to flags and posted signs posted near beach
access points and lifeguard stations.

If you become caught in a rip current... do not panic. Remain calm
and begin to swim parallel to shore. Once you are away from the
force of the rip current... begin to swim back to the beach. Do
not attempt to swim directly against a rip current... since it can
exhaust and even kill the strongest swimmer.

A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.



Please visit the following website to share your thoughts on the
new rip current hazard...




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 4:42 PM EST

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: East at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC

Updated: 5:37 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
346 PM EDT Thursday Sep 18 2014 


Synopsis... 
high pressure will continue to nose south over eastern North 
Carolina this evening. A weak cold front will approach from the 
north tonight though it will dissipate across southern Virginia. 
The high will move east off the New England coast and continue 
to impact the region through Saturday. Low pressure will move 
northeast Sunday just off the coast. A cold front will move 
through Monday. High pressure behind the front will pass by to the 
north Tuesday and Wednesday. 


&& 


Near term /tonight/... 
as of 345 PM Thursday...no significant changes with the ongoing 
forecast. A coastal Flood Advisory continues for the obx Dare 
County...for minor overwash possible along Highway 12 near the 
S-curves to the temporary bridge south of Pea Island this 
afternoon. Long period swells from distant Hurricane Edouard 
combined with persistent northeast winds resulted in minor ocean 
overwash yesterday at high tide...and with no changes expected in 
seas/winds this afternoon...expect another round of minor ocean 
overwash this afternoon a few hours either side of high tide which 
will be between 4:30 and 5:00 PM EDT. 


A broad upper level trough continues over the eastern Seaboard 
while surface high pressure continues to nose south over eastern 
North Carolina. Partly cloudy skies have become mostly sunny this 
morning...and have trended back cloud cover through the afternoon 
hours...but maintained partly cloudy conditions later this 
afternoon based on forecast soundings which indicate scattered 
clouds around 4k feet with some mixed high clouds. Northeast winds 
will persist over the region today with moisture limited 
throughout the column. Highs will range in the upper 70s to lower 
80s inland to middle 70s along the obx/eastern coast. 


A weak cold front will approach from the north/northwest tonight 
but guidance now indicates the front will stall across Virginia 
then washout...thus the strong ridge sliding through southern New 
England will remain the dominant feature through the overnight 
hours. Northeasterly flow will persist tonight with dry conditions 
expected. Lows will fall low 60s inland to middle 60s along the obx 
and southern coast. 


&& 


Short term /Friday/... 
as of 325 PM Thursday...surface high pressure over New England will 
continue to nose south down the eastern Seaboard and across 
eastern North Carolina on Friday. The broad upper trough will 
shift east allowing more zonal flow aloft to develop Friday 
afternoon. Northeasterly flow will shift more easterly as the day 
progresses...with an airmass similar to today therefore not 
expecting showers/thunderstorms across the area. Temperatures will 
remain a few degrees cooler than climatology for middle September. 
Expect highs in the lower 80s inland to middle/upper 70s along the 
obx and southern coast. 


&& 


Long term /Friday night through Thursday/... 
as of 230 PM Thursday...there continues to be strong agreement in 
the medium range guidance with respect to the upper flow regime over 
the Continental U.S. During the period. To start the period the persistent 
eastern upper trough will briefly lift into zonal flow Friday into 
Saturday while the southern portion of the upper trough closes off 
into an upper low over the southeast. This will lead to surface 
cyclogenesis Saturday along a front stalled off the coast. Then 
amplification of the upstream western upper ridge Sunday will lead 
to amplification of the eastern upper trough with this pattern 
forecast to persist into the early next week. As the upper trough 
amplifies it will pick up the coastal low and move it northeast away 
from the area by Monday. The flow will become progressive middle week 
allowing heights to rise again over the eastern US. 


Temperatures are expected to be near or slightly below normal 
through most of the period due to onshore flow and expected cloud 
cover. Exception will be Monday which should be warmest day of the 
period with readings possibly reaching slightly above normal with 
isolated readings into the middle 80s as SW flow develops ahead of an 
approaching cold front. Below normal temperatures are expected 
behind the front Tuesday into Thursday as northeasterly flow 
redevelops over the area in response to a large surface high 
building over the area from the north. 


The most complicated portion of the forecast will be the 
precipitation forecast Saturday into Sunday period when the 
aforementioned cyclogenesis takes place and the frontal wave moves 
northeast paralleling the coast. The GFS/CMC are strongest and 
closest to the coast while European model (ecmwf) is weaker/further offshore. Due to 
this uncertainty a middle of the Road approach seems best which will 
mean maintaining the 20-30% probability of precipitation for a light quantitative precipitation forecast event east of 
Highway 17 (highest immediate coast) during this period. 


Latest GFS/European model (ecmwf) operational model runs are in decent agreement in 
speeding up the arrival of a cold front on Monday so will continue 
chance probability of precipitation for most areas by afternoon, and tapered probability of precipitation back more 
quickly Monday night. The models continue to be in good agreement 
with providing pleasantly cool and dry weather conditions Tuesday 
through Thursday as strong surface high pressure builds into the 
area from the north. 


&& 


Aviation /20z Thursday through Tuesday/... 
short term /through tonight/ 
as of 130 PM Thursday...predominant VFR conditions expected through 
the taf period. Light northeast flow will persist through the 
period and slowly shift more easterly by Friday afternoon. 
Scattered stratocumulus will dissipate this evening becoming 
mostly clear. Cannot rule out brief MVFR in fog/low stratus just 
prior to sunrise Friday morning...but again feel that guidance is 
overdone predicting IFR conditions as it has been for the past 
several days. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
as of 230 PM Thursday...may see ceilings occasionally lower to MVFR 
levels (or lower) during the weekend given the persistent moist 
onshore low level flow. The best chances for lowered ceilings would be 
Saturday night through early Sunday as a nocturnal inversion 
strengthens overnight then wanes after sunrise Sunday. Monday 
afternoon an approaching cold front could trigger a few showers and 
thunderstorms with brief sub-VFR conditions as it crosses the 
region. Prevailing VFR conditions are expected Tuesday as dry high 
pressure builds over the area. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through tonight/ 
as of 345 PM Thursday...latest surface and buoy data indicate long 
period swells continue across the waters north of Diamond Shoals. 
Small craft advisories for the central waters continue through 
this afternoon due to persistent swells causing hazardous seas 4 
to 6 feet. Diamond Shoals buoy continues at 6 feet...with 4 feet 
swells around 11-13 seconds. Elevated seas will slowly dissipate 
this evening. High pressure north of the waters today and tonight 
will maintain a northeast flow over the marine zones...then as the 
high shifts east through the New England waters winds will shift 
more easterly during the day Friday. Speeds will range 10-15 knots 
but a bit higher in the outer waters of the Oregon Inlet to 
Ocracoke zones. Expect a respite from the elevated seas later 
tonight and Friday morning...then increasing seas back to Small 
Craft Advisory levels late Friday into Friday night. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
as of 230 PM Thursday...mariners can expect Small Craft Advisory 
conditions for seas and wind gusts over the weekend due to a 
combination of cold advection Saturday then due to the gradient 
between a developing low pressure system off the coast and high 
pressure building in from the north. We continue to expect a 
moderate northeast flow to 20 knots with a few gusts to 25 knots Saturday 
which will build seas to 6 feet over the outer waters. There is below 
normal confidence with the forecast for Sunday due to uncertainties 
regarding the intensity and track of an area of low pressure off of 
the coast. There is enough consensus in the guidance to indicate 
that at least seas over the waters persisting around 6 feet through 
Sunday evening. Winds Sunday should be strongest in the morning then 
back to west and diminish late in the day. Winds will be veering 
from the west early Monday to north Monday evening as a rapidly 
moving cold front crosses the waters. Behind the front northerly 
flow initially will be around 15 knots Tuesday but is expected to 
increase to around 20 knots middle to late week with resulting seas 
reaching advisory levels as strong high pressure builds over the 
waters from the north. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ncz103. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for amz152- 
154. 
Small Craft Advisory from 11 am Friday to 11 PM EDT Sunday for 
amz152-154. 
Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Friday to 11 PM EDT Saturday 
for amz156-158. 
Small Craft Advisory from 8 am Saturday to 11 PM EDT Sunday 
for amz150. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...dag 
near term...dag 
short term...dag 
long term...btc/jme 
aviation...jme/dag 
marine...jme/dag 








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