Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 46°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NE 4 mph
  • Humidity: 79%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 40°
  • Pressure: 29.96 in. +
  • Heat Index: 45

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Next 12 Hours

11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
57°
52°
52°
46°
48°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on April 23, 2014

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 57F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 25 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 55F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 25 mph shifting to the North after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 25 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 63F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the East in the afternoon.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 72F. Windy. Winds from the South at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Windy. Winds from the SW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 30 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 61F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the West at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 11:12 PM EST

Temperature: 50.0 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC

Updated: 11:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.3 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
1001 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 23 2014 


Synopsis... 
high pressure will build into the area overnight through Thursday 
then move off the coast Thursday night. A weak cold front will 
move through from the west Friday night. A secondary stronger cold 
front will cross the area Saturday night stalling south of the 
region Sunday. Developing low pressure in the plains will push a 
warm front north into the area late Monday into Tuesday...with a 
cold front approaching Wednesday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/... 
as of 10 PM Wednesday...during the update went ahead and tweaked 
temperatures down as radiational cooling has hit hard this evening under 
a decoupled atmosphere and clear skies. Also adjusted relative humidity values up 
a bit as the down-slopping has subsided given calm winds. Temperatures 
will be tricky overnight as they continue to fall with relative humidity values 
not truly plummeting until winds pick up a bit later tonight. So have 
modified forecast to account for this. 


Previous discussion...with clear skies leaned to cool side of 
guidance for low temperatures over inland areas with good radiational 
cooling. Complete decoupling not expected however with a very 
light northwest/north wind and small T/dew point spread. So despite forecast lows in the 
upper 30s for some inland areas, widespread frost formation is 
unlikely although a few areas of frost will be possible in well 
sheltered locations. 


&& 


Short term /6 am Thursday morning through 6 PM Thursday/... 
as of 300 PM Wednesday...elongated surface ridge axis extending over 
area from north-northwest in morning will gradually push east-southeast across area 
during the day. Mostly sunny skies expected with light and variable 
winds during afternoon...and sea breeze expected for coastal sections. 
High temperatures around 70 SW to around 60 Outer Banks. 


&& 


Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/... 
as of 315 PM Wednesday...models are in better agreement with the timing of 
a front approaching and moving through the area late Friday. It 
appears there will be an opportunity for some thunderstorms to develop as 
the system moves through around or shortly after peak heating. If 
timing plays out just right could see a small chance for an isolated 
severe thunderstorm during the afternoon. Kept highest probability of precipitation associated with 
this feature at 50 percent...with all rain pushing off the coast by 
Saturday morning behind a second stronger front. 


For the remainder of the period followed close to wpc guidance with 
a blend of the previous forecast and GFS thrown into the mix. We 
should remain dry through Sunday with just a very slight chance of a 
shower on Monday. A better chance of a shower or thunderstorm will come 
Tuesday into Wednesday as an area of low pressure passes to our 
north and trailing cold front approaches the area. This will couple 
with a developing trough and possible upper low over the eastern US by 
Wednesday. 


Followed close to GFS MOS and wpc guidance on temperatures. Temperatures 
will run a bit above normal Friday through Saturday...cooling down 
just slightly Sunday and remaining near seasonal the remainder of 
the period. 


&& 


Aviation /02z Thursday through Monday/... 
short term /through 00z Friday/... 
VFR/sky clear conditions will dominate through the taf period with 
higher than average confidence. Dry/cool high pressure will 
continue to build over the area from the northwest through tomorrow. With 
low dew points and light winds expect chances of fog development 
will be limited overnight. 


Long term /Thursday night through Monday/... as of 315 PM 
Wednesday...mainly VFR conditions expected through much of the week. A 
weak front will approach eastern NC on Friday and move through early 
Friday night with isolated MVFR conditions possible in heavier 
showers/tstms. Following that dry conditions will dominate through 
Monday. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through Thursday/... 
as of 10 PM Wednesday...forecast looks on track with northwesterly flow 
around 5-10kt with higher gusts...especially further out in the 
central/northern waters. Seas are 2-4ft. 


Previous discussion...NE/E winds less than 10 kts in a weak 
pressure gradient over the marine area early this evening. A 
secondary cold air advection surge moving down the NC coast later this evening 
will produce north-northwest winds 15-20 knots into Thursday morning...then winds 
will become light and variable Thursday afternoon as surface ridge axis moves across 
waters. 


Blend of nwps and Swan in general agreement with previous forecast 
seas...with heights building to 5-8 feet over northern and central waters 
tonight...then subsiding below 6 feet by late Thursday afternoon. No change to 
Small Craft Advisory for north of Ocracoke until 5 PM Thursday. 


Long term /Thursday night through Monday/... 
as of 315 PM Wednesday...followed a blend of GFS...previous forecast and 
latest wpc guidance through the long term period. Winds shift 
southerly Thursday night into Friday morning ahead of an approaching upper 
level shortwave and associated weak cold front. The front will cross 
the eastern NC waters Friday night. Winds and seas should remain below 
Small Craft Advisory criteria with this frontal passage. A stronger backdoor cold 
front will move through the waters from north to south Sat night 
with winds veering north/NE behind the front by 12z sun. Winds and seas 
again look to remain just below Small Craft Advisory criteria...though cannot rule 
out some rough seas 4-6 feet near Diamond Shoals with moderate surface 
winds opposing the Gulf Stream current. Winds diminish by Sunday 
night and slowly switch around to southerly as weak high pressure 
slides off the coast by Monday. Light winds and quiet sees will 
persist through Monday with winds picking up more after the forecast 
period as the next low and cold front approaches the area. Local 
Swan/nwps continued in close agreement with 12z wavewatch...and 
predominately followed it followed by ww3 guidance towards the end 
of the period. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
as of 315 PM Wednesday...increased fire danger conditions with low 
relative humidity and gusty northwest winds will continue early this evening. Low relative humidity 
expected for inland sections again Thursday but winds will be light and 
variable...thus fire danger conditions not expected to be as critical. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Thursday for amz150-152- 
154. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...jbm 
near term...rsb/jbm/Lep 
short term...jbm 
long term...rsb 
aviation...rsb/btc/bm 
marine...rsb/jbm/Lep 
fire weather...jbm 












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