Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 60°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: NNE 9 mph
  • Humidity: 69%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 50°
  • Pressure: 29.91 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
57°
59°
59°
64°
66°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Saturday
  • Rain
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Rain
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 55 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 59 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2014

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain in the afternoon. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 55F. Windy. Winds from the NW at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 40 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 25 to 30 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 59F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 25 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 57F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 30 mph shifting to the NW after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 30 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Pea Island Refuge, Rodanthe, NC

Updated: 2:32 AM EDT

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: NE at 19.0 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 1:37 AM EST

Temperature: 62.0 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: ENE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC

Updated: 2:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 58.6 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
1236 am EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Synopsis... 
weak high pressure north of the area will shift east over the 
Middle-Atlantic States as a weak wave of low pressure develops 
offshore and moves northeast along the coast today. A strong cold 
front will move through on Saturday bringing much cooler and windy 
weather for the upcoming weekend. High pressure will build in from 
the northwest Monday and Tuesday then move off the coast on 
Wednesday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am this morning/... 
as of 1230 am Friday...no changes on forecast update. Expect showers 
will develop nearer the coast toward morning as a weak wave of low 
pressure develops along the front situated well offshore. The low will 
help pull moisture back to along the coast and possibly inland 
during the day on Friday. Forecast mins of middle 40s inland to the middle 50s 
coast look good overnight. 


Previous forecast...main change was to increase probability of precipitation along coast late 
tonight into early Friday...as most models show increase moisture and lift 
near coast due to proximity of low pressure just offshore. High 
pressure north of the area will slowly shift east into the middle- 
Atlantic and New England states tonight. A weak wave of low 
pressure will will develop off the coast late tonight and mainly 
impact portions of eastern NC along and east of Highway 17. Mostly 
sunny skies expected through this afternoon with partly cloudy 
skies inland to cloudy skies along the coast near the weak low 
developing along the stalled boundary offshore. Cooler temperatures 
tonight especially for inland sections where lows will fall into 
the middle 40s...with middle 50s along the coast where cloud cover and 
precipitation late may inhibit maximum radiational cooling. Local bias 
corrected grids not available due to recent AWIPS upgrades so 
utilized a NAM/GFS/ECMWF MOS blend. 


&& 


Short term /6 am this morning through 6 PM Saturday/... 
as of 2 PM Thursday...the weak wave of low pressure will move 
northeast along the Gulf Stream Friday bringing precipitation to 
locations mainly along and east of Highway 17. Increased probability of precipitation to 
slight just inland of the coast and chance probability of precipitation along the coast. 
The developing low will pinch the northeast gradient across 
coastal areas with NE winds in the 15-25 miles per hour range Friday. Maximum 
temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than today with highs in the 
low 60s with a few middle 60s possible across Duplin/Onslow/Lenoir 
counties on the outer periphery of the weak coastal low. Local 
bias corrected grids not available due to recent AWIPS upgrades so 
utilized a NAM/GFS/ECMWF MOS blend. 


&& 


Long term /Saturday night through Thursday/... 
showers associated with offshore low pressure will graze the Outer Banks 
Friday evening before moving to the NE. An intense upper low over the 
Ohio Valley Friday evening will dive south-southeast to the western Carolinas by early 
Saturday. In advance of this system will see increasing clouds and 
the chance of a few showers late espcly inland. The upper low shifts 
south then east of the area on Saturday with associated surface low pressure 
system rapidly deepening off the Outer Banks by late afternoon. Rain 
will become widespread in the deformation zone over eastern NC and 
may be heavy at times given the impressive thermodynamic structure 
especially near the coast. Wouldn't be totally surprised by a few lightning 
strikes and/or some soft hail/graupel Saturday afternoon. After min 
temperatures in the low to middle 40s inland/low 50s coast Friday night, high 
temperatures will struggle into the low or middle 50s with clouds/widespread 
rain and a strong cold air advection surge Saturday afternoon. 


Rain will move out from SW to NE Saturday evening as stacked low 
pressure moves well east of the middle Atlantic coast. This will likely 
be the time of strongest northwest wind, with gusts up to 50 miles per hour possible 
over the Outer Banks through much of Saturday night. Wind advisories 
and possible high wind warnings will be needed along the coast. 
Winds wont be as strong farther inland but some gusts to 30-35 miles per hour 
possible during the evening before beginning to diminish overnight. 
However winds will be strong enough over inland areas to prevent 
temperatures from dropping too low while also preventing much frost 
from developing. Expect lows ranging from the middle 30s inland to middle 
40s coast Saturday night. 


Sunny/windy conditions on Sunday as high pressure builds into the 
region from the west. High temperatures again will struggle to reach the 
low to middle 50s Sunday which is about 15 degrees below normal for this 
time of year. Winds begin to slowly decrease Sunday afternoon. The 
diminishing wind and clear skies will set up a very good chance for 
the first freezing temperatures of the season over inland areas 
Sunday night. Even where freeze doesn't occur, frost is likely except 
right near the coast where light wind off warmer water will limit 
frost potential. 


Early to middle next week will be dominated by transient multilayered 
ridge which will provide mainly clear skies and a slow recovery of 
temperatures back to above normal levels by Wednesday. A cold front 
will bring increasing clouds and the next chance for showers Wednesday 
night into Thursday. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/... 
short term /through 00z Friday/... 
as of 1230 am Friday...VFR conditions expected during taf period. 
Mainly broken low end strato cumulus likely to develop and advect in off 
the Atlantic on Friday as coastal low moves northeastward. Any rain 
should remain just east of the terminals...though kewn stands the 
best chance of receiving some light rain on Friday. Will leave out of 
the tafs at this time. Light winds expected overnight but enough mixing 
and sufficient temperature/dew pt spreads to preclude fog development. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
strong upper low dives southeast into the Carolinas Sat with good covering of 
rain expected leading to sub VFR ceilings and poss visibilities. Predominant 
VFR will return Sat night and continue into early next week as low pressure 
moves NE away from the region and surface high builds east. Strong and 
gusty northwest winds will develop late Sat and continue into sun as the low 
pressure deepens to the NE. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through Thursday/... 
as of 1230 am Friday...no changes on forecast update. Latest surface 
and buoy data indicate north-northeast winds 10-20 knots with seas 3-4 feet. 


Previous discussion...high pressure north of the waters will 
briefly pass by to the north tonight while a weak wave of low 
pressure develops off the coast along the stalled frontal boundary 
and move northeast along the Gulf Stream Friday. NE winds will 
continue in the 10-20 knots range through tonight with seas 2-5 
feet...with the highest seas across the northern and central coastal 
waters. Winds will strengthen slightly Friday as the gradient 
pinches between the developing low and weak high pressure north of 
the area. Some gusts to 25 knots will be possible for the outer 
fringes of the coastal zones from off Onslow Bay to off Diamond 
Shoals. Gale watches may be hoisted with the afternoon package so 
that will supersede the scas in the immediate short term. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
gale watch in effect for all waters from late Saturday through 
Saturday night and into Sunday. A decrease in winds expected late 
Friday into early Sat as init high weakens and weak low begins to 
develop over area as intense middle/upper low dives southeast into Carolinas. As 
the surface low shifts off the CST later Sat and deepens, north-northwest winds will 
rapidly increase with gale conditions expected all waters late Sat/Sat 
evening through early Sunday...some gusts to storm force poss espcly 
outer central and northern waters. These strong winds will lead to dangerous 
10 to 15 foot seas outer waters Sat night into early Sunday. High 
surf and minor beach erosion will almost certainty result. 


Northwest winds will gradually diminish Sunday night and Monday as low 
pressure moves farther to the NE and high pressure builds into the 
area. Seas will subside slowly gradient dropping below Small Craft Advisory levels Sun 
night into Monday. 


&& 


Tides/coastal flooding... 
2-3 feet tidal anomalies are likely along vulnerable coastlines as 
strong north-northwest winds develop Saturday night and continue into Sunday. 
The northern Outer Banks and southern Pamlico Sound, especially 
south of Hatteras, and downeast Carteret will be particularly at 
risk for at least minor flooding with possibly moderate coastal 
flooding if later model guidance trends even higher with winds. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for 
amz136-137-158. 
Gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for 
amz130-131-135-154-156. 
Gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for 
amz150-152. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...dag 
near term...jac/dag/tl/Lep 
short term...dag 
long term...btc 
aviation...jac/btc/rf/tl 
marine...jac/btc/rf/dag/Lep 
tides/coastal flooding... 












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