Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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National Weather Service:

Coastal Flood Advisory View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 47°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: WNW 10 mph
  • Humidity: 61%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 34°
  • Pressure: 29.62 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
12  am
3  am
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 38 °
  • Low: 26 °
  • Clear
  • Friday
  • Snow
  • High: 38 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Snow
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 37 °
  • Low: 17 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 3:12 PM EST on February 9, 2016

Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until noon EST Wednesday...
  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers early...then partly cloudy. Windy with lows in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy and breezy. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers in the evening...then mostly clear after midnight. Windy with lows in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent.

  • Thursday

    Sunny and windy. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear and brisk. Lows in the mid 20s... except in the upper 20s south of Oregon Inlet. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Cold with lows around 20.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.

  • Washingtons Birthday

    Mostly cloudy. Not as cool with highs in the mid 40s.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Not as cool with lows around 40.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Coastal Flood Advisory  Statement as of 1:04 PM EST on February 9, 2016

... Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until noon EST Wednesday...

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a coastal Flood Advisory... which is in effect until noon EST

* Location... the usual vulnerable areas along the ocean side of
Hatteras Island where ocean overwash and erosion from large
swells is expected.

* Coastal flooding... ocean overwash is the main concern around the
time of high tide later this evening and again late morning on
Wednesday. Water could briefly cover portions of Highway 12 in
the usual areas susceptible to ocean overwash from large swells.

* Timing... around high tide at 8 PM tonight and again around 9 am
on Wednesday.

* Impacts... minor ocean overwash and minor beach erosion.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Wimble Shores, Waves, NC

Updated: 3:28 PM EST

Temperature: 47.0 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: WSW at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Mirlo Beach, North Carolina, NC

Updated: 3:28 PM EST

Temperature: 45.9 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: WNW at 14.0 mph Pressure: 29.57 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Rodanthe, NC

Updated: 3:09 PM EST

Temperature: 46 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: SW at 17 mph Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: NOS_NWLON, Wanchese, NC

Updated: 3:00 PM EST

Temperature: 47 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: WSW at 16 mph Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 3:22 PM EST

Temperature: 46.5 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: WNW at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Brigands Bay, Frisco, NC

Updated: 3:27 PM EST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: West at 10.0 mph Pressure: 29.60 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: UNC Coastal Studies Institute, Manteo, NC

Updated: 3:05 PM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SW at 17.0 mph Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Pirates Cove Yacht Club, Manteo, NC

Updated: 3:28 PM EST

Temperature: 49.5 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: WSW at 9.6 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
951 am EST Tuesday Feb 9 2016 

a secondary cold front will move through the area from the west 
today. Arctic high pressure will build in from the northwest 
tonight through early Friday. An Arctic cold front will move 
through the area Friday night followed by the a blast of very 
cold air for the weekend. 


Near term /until 6 PM this evening/... 
as of 945 am Tuesday...visibility satellite showing some cloudiness over 
our western County Warning Area with light radar returns...but surface 
observations are not indicating any of this activity making it to 
the surface. Will continue trend of partly cloudy skies and cool 
temperatures for the afternoon with highs generally in the upper 
40s to around 50. Light west-southwest will increase and become more westerly 
during the afternoon per latest hrrr model. Minimal changes to the 
current forecast. 


Short term /6 PM this evening through 6 am Wednesday/... 
as of 300 am Tuesday...cloudiness with short WV energy will 
continue into evening...then some clearing expected overnight. 
Continued advection of Arctic air mass will drop min temperatures into 
middle to upper 20s inland and low-middle 30s obx even with west winds 
5-15 miles per hour keeping mixed atmos. 


Long term /Wednesday through Monday/... 
as of 325 am Tuesday...below normal temperatures expected through early next 
week...with Arctic air moving into eastern NC this weekend. 

Low pressure over the NE states will continue to push NE Wednesday and 
Wednesday night while deep trough moves through the eastern US. Pred dry 
and cold Wednesday and Thursday. Could see some isolated light snow 
showers/flurries along the Outer Banks Wednesday night...though expect 
most of precipitation to remain offshore. Low level thickness values 
support highs Wednesday in the low 40s and 35-40 degree Thursday...and overnight 
lows in the 20s. 

Still some disagreement between the GFS/European model (ecmwf) for Friday and 
Friday night...though 00z solutions now slightly drier than 
previous runs. Still looks like strong forcing as shortwave moves 
through while surface high builds over the area. The shortwave could 
provide enough lift to see some -ra/-sn showers. European model (ecmwf) remains 
warmer then the GFS at the surface and aloft...with ptype mainly 
liquid while the GFS supports more of a light wintry mix. Will 
continue SC -ra/-sn mention though little if any accumulations 
expected at this time. 

A strong Arctic cold front will move through the area late Friday 
night into early Saturday...with very cold/dry airmass pushing 
into the region. Very cold 1035-1040mb high pressure will build in 
from the north-northwest Sat and sun. Low level thickness values and 850mb 
temperatures support highs Sat in the upper 30s to low 40s...and even 
colder for sun. With 850mb temperatures -15 to -20c highs will struggle 
to reach freezing Sunday...combined with gusty northerly winds it will 
feel like temperatures in the teens for most of the day. Overnight lows 
will drop into the middle/upper teens to low 20s along the 
coast...both Sunday and Monday mornings. Will keep SC mention of 
-sn showers over the Outer Banks Sat night into sun with strong 
forcing over the area and low level north-northwest flow. 

Early next week temperatures look to rebound ahead of the next system. 
Models are pushing a trough through the region and developing a 
surface low off the southeast coast late Monday and Tuesday...with better precipitation 
chances across the area. Added SC pop for Monday afternoon into 
Tuesday. Depending on the timing...precipitation could begin as light snow 
Monday morning before transitioning to rain by early afternoon. 


Aviation /14z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
short term /through 12z Wednesday/... 
as of 700 am Tuesday...local IFR ceiling and/or visibility will affect taf 
sites until 13z...then expected to dissipate with increasing west 
winds. Area of scu/ac with upper level energy already moving into 
coastal plains...with additional activity this afternoon into 
evening...then clearing overnight. West winds will gust to 
around 20 knots during the day. 

Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/... 
as of 325 am Tuesday...pred VFR conditions expected through the 
period. There is the potential for a brief period of MVFR ceilings 
late Friday and Friday night with isolated rain/snow showers. Westerly 
wind gusts around 20kt Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. 


short term /through tonight/... 
as of 945 am Monday...west winds prevail on the coastal waters and 
sounds...with a few gusts into the upper teens at Hatteras Coast 
Guard Station and Diamond Shoals. Seas continue quite rough with 
9-12 feet offshore. Per latest 3-km hrrr and rap models...expect 
winds to increase a bit during the afternoon hours and will 
continue to indicate this trend in the forecast. Wave models 
continue to be underdone by 3-5 feet with large dangerous swell over 
northern and central waters...and relied on manual adjustments to forecast. 
Swell will continue to gradually subside but increasing westerly 
winds will lead to elevated seas persisting for several days. 

Long term /Wednesday through Friday/... 
as of 325 am Tuesday...poor boating conditions will continue through 
much of the period with west/northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and 
elevated seas of 6 feet or higher. Small Craft Advisory conditions 
are expected to continue through Thursday night for the coastal 
waters and the Pamlico Sound. Surface high pressure will build 
over the waters Friday with winds and seas gradually subsiding...with 
winds less than 15kt and seas 2-4ft. A strong front will move 
through the waters Saturday. Northwest winds will increase to 20-30kt and 
seas building to 5-8ft. Gale force wind gusts will be possible 
late Sat and Sat night. 


Tides/coastal flooding... 
as of 950 am Tuesday...lingering very large swells associated 
with yesterdays low pressure system will continue to impact the 
Outer Banks through this afternoon. These swells in conjunction 
with the high tides this morning will lead to ocean overwash and 
beach erosion especially along Hatteras Island. Portions of 
Highway 12 in the usual vulnerable locations could become water 
covered around the times of high tide this morning. 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...coastal Flood Advisory until 11 am EST this morning for ncz104. 
Coastal Flood Warning until 11 am EST this morning for ncz103. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for amz135. 
Small Craft Advisory until 7 am EST Friday for amz150-152-154- 



near term...ctc 
short term...jbm 
long term...cqd 
tides/coastal flooding...mhx 

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