Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 28°
  • Clear
  • Wind: WSW 6 mph
  • Humidity: 85%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 24°
  • Pressure: 30.34 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 22

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Next 12 Hours

10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
39°
32°
36°
43°
45°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Monday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 39 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Chance Rain
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance Rain

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 10:00 PM EST on January 31, 2015

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 12F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 30F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 20 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 54F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain showers after midnight. Low of 55F. Windy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with rain showers, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 61F. Windy. Winds from the WSW at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 32F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 23F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 46F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the NNE at 35 to 45 mph. Chance of snow 70% with accumulations up to 4 in. possible.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 35 to 45 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F with a windchill as low as 23F. Windy. Winds from the North at 25 to 35 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 45F. Windy. Winds from the North at 20 to 30 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 37F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 52F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 41F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Wimble Shores, Waves, NC

Updated: 11:02 PM EST

Temperature: 34.0 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: REAL Slick, Kinnakeet, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 38.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 38 °F Graphs

Location: Avon Sound, Avon, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 37.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.37 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Oregon Inlet CG, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 37.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.39 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Oregon Inlet, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 9:50 PM EST

Temperature: 35.1 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

Location: Stumpy Point Tower, Stumpy Point, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 39.5 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Hatteras High, Buxton, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 36.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 10:48 PM EST

Temperature: 34.2 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: West at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 34 °F Graphs

Location: Buxton, Buxton, NC

Updated: 9:50 PM EST

Temperature: 35.8 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

Location: Pamlico Sound, Lake Landing, NC

Updated: 9:40 PM EST

Temperature: 40.7 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Frisco Woods, Frisco, NC

Updated: 9:40 PM EST

Temperature: 39.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Jennettes Pier, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 34.8 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
1041 PM EST Sat Jan 31 2015 


Synopsis... 
high pressure will build over the region tonight then slide 
offshore Sunday. A cold front will approach from the west Sunday 
night and cross the area Monday. High pressure will build in from 
the west Tuesday and move offshore Wednesday. A cold front will 
cross the area by Thursday morning. Low pressure may impact the 
area Thursday or Friday. 


&& 


Near term /through Sunday/... 
as of 1030 PM Saturday...latest surface analysis has high pressure 
over the area with winds becoming calm. Only made minor 
adjustments to reflect current trends. Mostly clear...giving way 
to increasing clouds overnight. Expect good radiational cooling 
which will allow temperatures to drop into the middle to upper 20s. As clouds 
increase overnight temperatures will level off. 


&& 


Short term /Sunday night through 6 PM Sunday/... 
as of 230 PM Saturday...surface high will slide offshore with low level 
flow becoming SW over the area. Decent amount of middle/high clouds 
expected...however with some filtered sun shld see temperatures near 
seasonal levels with around 50 far NE to middle/upper 50s SW. 


&& 


Long term /Sunday night through Saturday/... 
as of 3 PM Sat...long term pattern will feature a roller coaster 
temperature regime with several low pressure systems passing through the 
area. 


Agreement amongst models remains good for the Sunday night into 
Monday low pressure system and cold front. A strong shortwave will 
swing through the Central Plains states Sunday night with surface 
low development along the eastern Ohio River valley...with a 
strengthening low moving through PA and the northern middle Atlantic 
Monday morning. SW winds will strengthen Sunday night as 850mb SW 
jet increase to 60+ knots by early Monday morning. Another non- diurnal temperature 
curve with lows in the upper 40s/low 50s realized early in the 
evening before rising to around 60 prior to sunrise with the gusty 
SW winds developing overnight. Increasing rain chances through the 
night as frontogenesis...deep layer moisture... and large scale 
lift increase through the night. Rainfall amounts will average 
around a half an inch as almost no instability will be present 
over land and the system will be fast moving with main dynamics 
remaining to the north of the area. Rain will end by Monday 
afternoon as system exits off the coast. Highs around 60 will be 
realized during the first half of the day before another strong 
surge of cold air moves into the region with gusty northwest winds 
developing by the afternoon and temperatures falling through the 50s. 


The upper shortwave will cross eastern NC Monday evening with surge 
of gusty northwest winds ushering cold temperatures Monday night. Lows in the middle 
20s (near 30 obx) will combine with the northwest winds to produce wind 
chills around 20 prior to daybreak Tuesday. Low level thicknesses fall 
to around 1280-1290 meters Tuesday as high pressure noses south 
over the region from the Middle- Atlantic States. Expect highs 
ranging from the upper 30s northeast to middle 40s southwest on 
Tuesday. The high shifts off the middle-Atlantic coast Tuesday night 
into Wednesday allowing a weak warm air advection trend to 
develop. Mainly clear skies Tuesday night with calm winds and low dew point 
vals will allow another chilly night with lows in the middle/upper 20s. 


31/12z model suite continues to diverge significantly middle to late 
week in handling of synoptic pattern. The deterministic GFS/Gem 
continue to eject southern stream low developing over the SW Continental U.S. 
And moving into the gom...while at the same time phasing it with a 
northern stream short wave digging southeastward from the upper 
Midwest. The system then would move NE up the southeast coast with this 
pattern. Continued large spread amongst gefs spaghetti members 
continue to indicate low confidence within the GFS itself. European model (ecmwf) 
continues to indicate a dry but cold pattern Thursday night and 
Friday...though ecens mean indicates a wetter solution than the 
deterministic run so also low confidence in deterministic ecm. 
Due to all these factors...will continue with low chance probability of precipitation 
Thursday/Thursday night in line with wpc pop forecast. Too early to tell 
exactly what p-type will be...though will base forecast on climatology 
and indicate rain in grids with slight ch snow as Arctic air will be 
present to the north and west. 


&& 


Aviation /04z Sunday through Thursday/... 
short term /through Sunday/... 
as of 715 PM Saturday...continued high confidence in VFR conditions 
through the next 24 hours. High pressure will build tonight then 
offshore Sunday. Moisture will gradient increase in middle/high levels 
later tonight and Sunday...however lower levels will remain dry. Low 
dewpoints tonight shld limit threat for any late night fog. 


Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/... 
as of 3 PM Sat...next chance of precipitation arrives Sun night 
with sub-VFR or even IFR conditions late Sunday night into Monday 
associated with a cold front passage. Winds become gusty out of 
the S to SW late Sun night in the 15-25 knots range. Winds remain 
gusty on Monday while switching to the west and north behind the 
front. High pressure builds back over the region Monday evening 
through Wednesday with a return to VFR. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /tonight and Sunday/... 
as of 1030 PM...the latest buoy observation are showing winds around 5 
knots except for Diamond Shoals buoy...showing by the way 10-15 knots. 
Seas 3 to 5 feet across all waters...therefore the Small Craft Advisory over the 
central and northern waters has been cancelled. Overnight...expect 
light west winds and seas of 2 to 4 feet north and 1 to 2 feet S. SW winds 
will slowly increase Sunday as high moves offshore in advance on 
next cold front. Speeds shld reach 10 to 15 kts in the afternoon with 
seas mainly 2 to 3 feet...poss reaching 4 feet outer southern/central waters 
toward evening. 


Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/... 
as of 3 PM Sat...increasing southwest winds and building seas 
expected Sunday night ahead of a strong cold front...which should 
cross the eastern NC coastal waters Monday afternoon. 
Winds will increase 25-35 knots late Sunday evening with seas 
building up to 10-14 feet across the outer southern/central waters by Monday 
morning. SW gales look probably for the outer southern and central 
waters where the warmer Gulf Stream waters reside beginning late 
Sunday night. The winds switch to the northwest Monday afternoon and evening 
and may have gales across all the waters including the eastern 
Albemarle and Pamlico sounds as strong cold air advection 
develops. Used a blend of nwps/wave watch iv/previous forecast Sun 
night then mainly wavewatch iv Monday evening as this does best with 
northwest flow regime. Seas are expected to remain elevated 
through middle day Tuesday before subsiding below 6 feet in the 
afternoon. High pressure will shift through the eastern NC waters 
Tuesday night and off the coast Wednesday... winds shifting to SW 
but remaining 10 knots or less. Seas will range 2-4 feet Tuesday 
night through Wednesday. Local Swan/nwps and wavewatch iv in 
close agreement in the medium range and 00z wavewatch appeared 
reasonable for the long term as models in good agreement with 
strengthening northerly winds and Small Craft Advisory conditions developing by 
Thursday behind a cold front. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...rf 
near term...jac/rf/bm 
short term...rf 
long term...tl 
aviation...jac/rf/tl 
marine...jac/rf/tl 












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