Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 86°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SSW 10 mph
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 78°
  • Pressure: 29.92 in. -
  • Heat Index: 98

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Next 12 Hours

4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
Overcast
Overcast
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
87°
83°
79°
77°
76°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 3:39 PM EDT on July 30, 2015

  • Tonight

    Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early...then partly cloudy this evening. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Friday

    Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms... mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds around 10 mph...becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the mid 70s. Light and variable winds...becoming south around 10 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday

    Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: REAL Slick, Kinnakeet, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 83.8 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: KHK Resort, Kinnakeet, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 82.5 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Mirlo Beach, North Carolina, NC

Updated: 4:13 PM EDT

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: NNE at 19.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Avon Sound, Avon, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.4 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Oregon Inlet CG, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.7 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 64% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 90 °F Graphs

Location: Avon Ocean, Avon, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 69% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 89 °F Graphs

Location: NOS_NWLON, Wanchese, NC

Updated: 3:48 PM EDT

Temperature: 84 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: South at 16 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Oregon Inlet, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 83.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Askins Creek, Avon, NC

Updated: 3:58 PM EDT

Temperature: 87.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: SW at 7.8 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Stumpy Point Tower, Stumpy Point, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 82.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.62 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hatteras High, Buxton, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 83.5 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 3:11 PM EST

Temperature: 86.0 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: SSW at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Buxton, Buxton, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 83.4 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Brigands Bay, Frisco, NC

Updated: 4:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 85.0 °F Dew Point: 79 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: SSW at 11.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Pamlico Sound, Lake Landing, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Frisco Woods, Frisco, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Jennettes Pier, Nags Head, NC

Updated: 4:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.4 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC

Updated: 4:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 88.7 °F Dew Point: 79 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: SSW at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
325 PM EDT Thursday Jul 30 2015 


Synopsis... 
a surface low south of the region will lift north tonight. 
Meanwhile high pressure will gradually move off the coast. A cold 
front will slowly approach from the west...move into the area 
Friday and stall on Saturday. The front weakens early next week as 
high pressure builds into the area from the Atlantic...and an 
inland trough develops to the west. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 3 PM Thursday...a front to the west will approach eastern NC 
through early Friday morning. Given the poor timing of the 
front...there will be a lack of forcing as the front crosses. 
A surface low to the south lifting north may bring some light precipitation 
to the coast. This activity should diminish through the evening 
hours. Therefore...have slight chance pop gradually moving eastward 
through the early morning hours associated with the weak frontal 
passage. Fog/stratus may be an issue again tonight...although not 
as widespread as compared to this morning given cloud cover 
expected. Lows in the lower 70s inland to the middle 70s along the 
beaches. 


&& 


Short term /Friday/... 
as of 3 PM Thursday...the front will eventually become stalled along 
the coast. The exact location will influence where precipitation 
develops through the next couple of days as a series of 
shortwaves ride the boundary. As for Friday...a more potent 
surface low to the south will merge with this boundary helping 
to generate some lift. However...with this low moving north and 
east...the heaviest rain from this merger should stay offshore. It 
may also create some subsidence across the coast Friday morning as 
it lift north. Given the location of the stalled boundary along 
the coast in combination with the typical sea breeze...convergence 
should give way to more widespread showers and thunderstorms in 
the afternoon. Therefore...have chance probability of precipitation confined along the coast 
as dynamics look more impressive in this area. If this stalled 
boundary meanders inland or offshore...this will ultimately 
influence the location of precipitation development. High temperatures 
will be tricky depending on where precipitation/clouds develop. 
For now will keep a similar trend to previous days...perhaps a 
degree or two less. Highs around 90 inland to middle 80s along the 
coast. 


&& 


Long term /Friday night through Thursday/... 
as of 310 PM Thursday...a cold front will remain stalled along the 
coast or just offshore Friday night into early next week. Model 
differences continue with the boundary and associated shortwave 
energy...with the GFS/NAM keeping the boundary further offshore 
and then mostly dry across most of the region through the 
weekend...while the European model (ecmwf) is more amplified with the system...keeping 
the front closer to the coast. 12z European model (ecmwf) run coming in slightly 
drier than past several runs. Will continue to follow trends of 
wpc and previous forecast favoring a slightly drier European model (ecmwf) 
scenario. Will continue SC/chance probability of precipitation Friday night through Monday due 
to the uncertainty of timing with the front...highest along the 
immediate coast. Periods of heavy rainfall will be possible...especially 
along the coast with Gulf moisture feed and precipitable water values near 2 
inches. Looks like things start to dry out Monday night. 


Model differences continue middle week as GFS shows troughing along 
the East Coast and pushes a front through the area late Wednesday/Thursday 
with a wave developing along it. While the European model (ecmwf) has Bermuda high 
as main feature and troughing inland. Will trend with wpc/European model (ecmwf) 
and previous forecast with high offshore and pred S/SW flow across 
the area. Will continue SC probability of precipitation...thinking primarily diurnally 
driven at this time. 


Low level thickness values support highs slightly above climatology 
through the period...with highs in the middle 80s/low 90s and 
overnight lows in the 70s. 


&& 


Aviation /19z Thursday through Tuesday/... 
short term /through 18z Friday/... 
as of 130 PM Thursday...showers moving in from the water as a surface 
low to the south moves north and west. Typical cumulus development 
this afternoon with decks around 3kft. Southerly flow will develop 
ahead of a front prognosticated to move through the taf sites early 
Friday morning. With poor timing of the front...we do not 
anticipate too much precipitation development overnight. Fog/stratus may 
also be an issue...but limited with any cloud cover/mixing. The 
boundary will eventually stall somewhere along the coast Friday 
with showers/thunderstorms developing along the axis. The coverage 
and exact location is uncertain at this time...but development looks 
most promising in the afternoon. Winds will be light out of the 
north. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
as of 310 PM Thursday...pred VFR conditions expected through the 
period. A front will stall near the coast or just offshore through 
the weekend. Scattered showers/thunderstorms Friday night through early next week 
with periods of sub-VFR possible...with best chances at ewn/oaj. 
Patchy fog/stratus possible each night with light winds especially for 
areas that receive rainfall. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through Friday/... 
as of 3 PM Thursday...Small Craft Advisory for Thursday evening through much of 
Friday as a surface low to the south moves north and east over the 
period. This will ultimately impact the seas more so than winds. 
Return flow will continue through Friday...eventually veering to the 
SW across the northern waters by late in the day. Winds this 
afternoon/evening will be around 10-15kts and diminish briefly 
through the day. As the low moves along the coast...a surge will 
build seas 4-6 feet across the southern/central waters this evening 
through the first half of Friday. A front to the west will stall 
across the area Friday with little impacts on marine...other than 
some precipitation development along this boundary later in the 
afternoon. A small surge in winds Friday afternoon across the 
southern waters can be expected. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
as of 310 PM Thursday...a cold front will stall right along the coast 
or just offshore Friday night into early next week. Pred S/SW flow 
returns Friday night 5-15kt and seas 2-4ft. Gradient tightens through 
the day Sat with increasing south-southwest winds 10-15kt continue into sun. A 
period of Small Craft Advisory conditions likely to develop Sun night...mainly 
south of Oregon Inlet...with winds increasing to 15-25kt and seas 
building to 4-7ft. Gusty SW winds expected to continue into 
Tuesday...with lingering 6ft seas late Monday night into Tuesday. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas from 10 PM this 
evening to 1 PM EDT Friday for amz154-156. 
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas from 8 PM this evening 
to 8 am EDT Friday for amz158. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...jac/Lep 
near term...Lep 
short term...Lep 
long term...cqd 
aviation...Lep/cqd 
marine...Lep/cqd 






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