Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 84°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 12 mph
  • Humidity: 79%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 77°
  • Pressure: 30.06 in. -
  • Heat Index: 94

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Next 12 Hours

5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
Clear
Clear
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
82°
79°
79°
77°
77°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm

Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on September 01, 2014

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 75F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 86F with a heat index of 95F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 86F with a heat index of 95F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 75F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 82F with a heat index of 88F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ESE in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 72F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 82F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 84F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 20 mph shifting to the NNW in the afternoon. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 20 to 30 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 20 to 25 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 10 to 25 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 72F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 20 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Buxton, NC

Updated: 3:57 PM EST

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: 79 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: SSW at 7.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC

Updated: 4:45 PM EDT

Temperature: 86.9 °F Dew Point: 79 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: WSW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
344 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 


Synopsis... 
Bermuda high pressure will extend over the area through Tuesday. A 
weak cold front will approach the area from the north 
Wednesday...then stall and dissipate Thursday. High pressure 
ridges into the region from offshore Friday and Saturday...then 
another cold front will drop into the area Sunday into Monday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 PM this evening/... 
as of 320 PM Monday...continued the mention of isolated 
showers/thunderstorms through the evening hours as a few showers 
are developing along the sea breeze in ilm County Warning Area. Any convection that 
does develop will weaken with the lack of heating. Overnight...an 
approaching weak short wave will be moving across the area and may 
develop isolated shower/thunderstorm mainly east of Highway 17. 
Otherwise...will continue with warm and muggy conditions as high 
pressure remains over the area...bring light moist SW flow. 
Expecting lows in the low/middle 70s inland to near 80 coast. 


&& 


Short term /6 PM this evening through 6 PM Tuesday/... 
as of 320 PM Monday...hot and humid conditions will continue as 
Bermuda high dominates the area with a southerly flow while the 
upper level ridge flattens. Isolated showers/thunderstorms will 
mainly develop along the seabreeze and thermal trough durng the 
afternoon/evening. Highs will in the low 90s inland and middle/upper 
80s along the coast. 


&& 


Long term /Tuesday night through Monday/... 
as of 245 PM Monday...models are in good agreement with the overall 
pattern and features into Saturday. The upper ridge flattens Tuesday 
into Wednesday as a stronger shortwave moves across the Ohio River valley 
and through New England. No significant changes to previous forecast 
for Wednesday into Thursday with probability of precipitation around 30 percent as a backdoor cold 
front drops into and stalls across the area. Upper level dynamics 
remain rather weak with the core of the upper jet remaining well 
north of the region but plenty of moisture will be in place with 
moderate to strong instability to allow for scattered showers and 
thunderstorms...especially in vicinity of the front where better surface 
convergence will reside. Shear and middle level lapse rates remain 
rather weak so severe chances will remain low but could see locally 
heavy precipitation with weak steering flow and high precipitable waters . 


The frontal boundary dissipates late Thursday into Friday with high pressure 
strengthening offshore and upper ridging building aloft and expect 
mainly isolated diurnally driven convection Friday into Sat. 


The GFS and European model (ecmwf) show some differences Sunday into Monday. The GFS 
has a more amplified upper trough across the east and drives a back 
door cold front through the area on Sunday with strong northerly 
flow on Monday. The European model (ecmwf) is not as strong with the upper trough and 
hangs the front up just barely making it into our area. For the 
forecast hedged towards wpc guidance which slowly brings the front 
into the area and just through on Monday. With the slow moving front 
and a series of shortwaves providing a focus for precipitation Sunday 
into Monday could see some locally heavy rainfall amounts across the 
area. 


Low level thicknesses support highs in the low 90s through much of 
the extended. Warmest day looks to be Wednesday when low level thicknesses 
are greatest. Slight cooling Thursday with greater cloud 
cover...especially northern area where NE/Ely flow expected north of 
the backdoor cold front...however winds expected to be rather light. 
Will see more of a cool down Sunday into Monday with highs in the 
middle to upper 80s. 


&& 


Aviation /19z Monday through Saturday/... 
short term /through 12z Tuesday/... 
as of 1 PM Monday...VFR conditions will dominate most of the taf period 
under high pressure. Isolated showers/thunderstorms may develop 
this afternoon...but confidence is low. May again see some patchy 
fog/stratus conditions late tonight into the early morning 
hours...bringing conditions to MVFR for all taf sites. Any 
fog/stratus will start to mix out after sunrise...bring conditions 
back to VFR. 


Long term /Tuesday through Friday/... 
as of 245 PM Monday...generally VFR conditions expected through the 
long term although patchy light fog possible during the early 
morning hours. Isolate-scattered convection possible each day with best 
chances Wednesday through Thursday as a backdoor front drops into the region. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through Tuesday/... 
as of 345 PM Monday...Bermuda high over the western Atlantic will 
continue to dominate the coastal waters tonight into tomorrow. SW 
winds 10 to 15 knots will continue overnight. Seas will be building 
2 to 4 feet...mainly over the northern/central waters. SW winds will 
increase in the afternoon 15 to 20 knots with seas of 2 to 4 feet. 


Long term /Tuesday through Friday/... 
as of 245 PM Monday...the Bermuda high offshore will bring S/SW winds 
across the waters into Wednesday. Winds generally around 5-15 knots Tuesday 
night and early morning Wednesday. A backdoor front drops into the region 
Wednesday through Thursday bringing light winds...generally 10 knots across the 
southern waters and less across the north. Winds north of the front 
expected to be east to NE while remaining S/SW to the south. The front 
is forecast to dissipate by Friday with southerly flow around 5-10 returning 
to all waters...increasing to 10 to 15 knots by late Saturday ahead of 
an approaching front. Models in good agreement keeping seas around 
3-4 feet...locally to 5 feet near Diamond Shoals...into early Wednesday but 
then subside to around 2 feet Thursday and Friday with light winds across 
the waters...increasing to 2 to 3 feet Saturday. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...bm 
near term...bm 
short term...bm 
long term...rsb 
aviation...rsb/bm 
marine...rsb/bm 


















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