Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2014
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain in the afternoon. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.
Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.
Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 55F. Windy. Winds from the NW at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
Clear. Low of 43F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 25 to 30 mph.
Clear. High of 59F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 25 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Low of 57F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 30 mph shifting to the NW after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 30 mph.
Clear. Low of 52F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Pea Island Refuge, Rodanthe, NC
Updated: 2:32 AM EDT
|Temperature: 62.1 °F||Dew Point: 51 °F||Humidity: 68%||Wind: NE at 19.0 mph||Pressure: 29.90 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Buxton, NC
Updated: 1:37 AM EST
|Temperature: 62.0 °F||Dew Point: 53 °F||Humidity: 72%||Wind: ENE at 8.0 mph||Pressure: 29.91 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Graphs|
Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC
Updated: 2:33 AM EDT
|Temperature: 58.6 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 74%||Wind: North at 6.0 mph||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1236 am EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 Synopsis... weak high pressure north of the area will shift east over the Middle-Atlantic States as a weak wave of low pressure develops offshore and moves northeast along the coast today. A strong cold front will move through on Saturday bringing much cooler and windy weather for the upcoming weekend. High pressure will build in from the northwest Monday and Tuesday then move off the coast on Wednesday. && Near term /until 6 am this morning/... as of 1230 am Friday...no changes on forecast update. Expect showers will develop nearer the coast toward morning as a weak wave of low pressure develops along the front situated well offshore. The low will help pull moisture back to along the coast and possibly inland during the day on Friday. Forecast mins of middle 40s inland to the middle 50s coast look good overnight. Previous forecast...main change was to increase probability of precipitation along coast late tonight into early Friday...as most models show increase moisture and lift near coast due to proximity of low pressure just offshore. High pressure north of the area will slowly shift east into the middle- Atlantic and New England states tonight. A weak wave of low pressure will will develop off the coast late tonight and mainly impact portions of eastern NC along and east of Highway 17. Mostly sunny skies expected through this afternoon with partly cloudy skies inland to cloudy skies along the coast near the weak low developing along the stalled boundary offshore. Cooler temperatures tonight especially for inland sections where lows will fall into the middle 40s...with middle 50s along the coast where cloud cover and precipitation late may inhibit maximum radiational cooling. Local bias corrected grids not available due to recent AWIPS upgrades so utilized a NAM/GFS/ECMWF MOS blend. && Short term /6 am this morning through 6 PM Saturday/... as of 2 PM Thursday...the weak wave of low pressure will move northeast along the Gulf Stream Friday bringing precipitation to locations mainly along and east of Highway 17. Increased probability of precipitation to slight just inland of the coast and chance probability of precipitation along the coast. The developing low will pinch the northeast gradient across coastal areas with NE winds in the 15-25 miles per hour range Friday. Maximum temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than today with highs in the low 60s with a few middle 60s possible across Duplin/Onslow/Lenoir counties on the outer periphery of the weak coastal low. Local bias corrected grids not available due to recent AWIPS upgrades so utilized a NAM/GFS/ECMWF MOS blend. && Long term /Saturday night through Thursday/... showers associated with offshore low pressure will graze the Outer Banks Friday evening before moving to the NE. An intense upper low over the Ohio Valley Friday evening will dive south-southeast to the western Carolinas by early Saturday. In advance of this system will see increasing clouds and the chance of a few showers late espcly inland. The upper low shifts south then east of the area on Saturday with associated surface low pressure system rapidly deepening off the Outer Banks by late afternoon. Rain will become widespread in the deformation zone over eastern NC and may be heavy at times given the impressive thermodynamic structure especially near the coast. Wouldn't be totally surprised by a few lightning strikes and/or some soft hail/graupel Saturday afternoon. After min temperatures in the low to middle 40s inland/low 50s coast Friday night, high temperatures will struggle into the low or middle 50s with clouds/widespread rain and a strong cold air advection surge Saturday afternoon. Rain will move out from SW to NE Saturday evening as stacked low pressure moves well east of the middle Atlantic coast. This will likely be the time of strongest northwest wind, with gusts up to 50 miles per hour possible over the Outer Banks through much of Saturday night. Wind advisories and possible high wind warnings will be needed along the coast. Winds wont be as strong farther inland but some gusts to 30-35 miles per hour possible during the evening before beginning to diminish overnight. However winds will be strong enough over inland areas to prevent temperatures from dropping too low while also preventing much frost from developing. Expect lows ranging from the middle 30s inland to middle 40s coast Saturday night. Sunny/windy conditions on Sunday as high pressure builds into the region from the west. High temperatures again will struggle to reach the low to middle 50s Sunday which is about 15 degrees below normal for this time of year. Winds begin to slowly decrease Sunday afternoon. The diminishing wind and clear skies will set up a very good chance for the first freezing temperatures of the season over inland areas Sunday night. Even where freeze doesn't occur, frost is likely except right near the coast where light wind off warmer water will limit frost potential. Early to middle next week will be dominated by transient multilayered ridge which will provide mainly clear skies and a slow recovery of temperatures back to above normal levels by Wednesday. A cold front will bring increasing clouds and the next chance for showers Wednesday night into Thursday. && Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/... short term /through 00z Friday/... as of 1230 am Friday...VFR conditions expected during taf period. Mainly broken low end strato cumulus likely to develop and advect in off the Atlantic on Friday as coastal low moves northeastward. Any rain should remain just east of the terminals...though kewn stands the best chance of receiving some light rain on Friday. Will leave out of the tafs at this time. Light winds expected overnight but enough mixing and sufficient temperature/dew pt spreads to preclude fog development. Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... strong upper low dives southeast into the Carolinas Sat with good covering of rain expected leading to sub VFR ceilings and poss visibilities. Predominant VFR will return Sat night and continue into early next week as low pressure moves NE away from the region and surface high builds east. Strong and gusty northwest winds will develop late Sat and continue into sun as the low pressure deepens to the NE. && Marine... short term /through Thursday/... as of 1230 am Friday...no changes on forecast update. Latest surface and buoy data indicate north-northeast winds 10-20 knots with seas 3-4 feet. Previous discussion...high pressure north of the waters will briefly pass by to the north tonight while a weak wave of low pressure develops off the coast along the stalled frontal boundary and move northeast along the Gulf Stream Friday. NE winds will continue in the 10-20 knots range through tonight with seas 2-5 feet...with the highest seas across the northern and central coastal waters. Winds will strengthen slightly Friday as the gradient pinches between the developing low and weak high pressure north of the area. Some gusts to 25 knots will be possible for the outer fringes of the coastal zones from off Onslow Bay to off Diamond Shoals. Gale watches may be hoisted with the afternoon package so that will supersede the scas in the immediate short term. Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... gale watch in effect for all waters from late Saturday through Saturday night and into Sunday. A decrease in winds expected late Friday into early Sat as init high weakens and weak low begins to develop over area as intense middle/upper low dives southeast into Carolinas. As the surface low shifts off the CST later Sat and deepens, north-northwest winds will rapidly increase with gale conditions expected all waters late Sat/Sat evening through early Sunday...some gusts to storm force poss espcly outer central and northern waters. These strong winds will lead to dangerous 10 to 15 foot seas outer waters Sat night into early Sunday. High surf and minor beach erosion will almost certainty result. Northwest winds will gradually diminish Sunday night and Monday as low pressure moves farther to the NE and high pressure builds into the area. Seas will subside slowly gradient dropping below Small Craft Advisory levels Sun night into Monday. && Tides/coastal flooding... 2-3 feet tidal anomalies are likely along vulnerable coastlines as strong north-northwest winds develop Saturday night and continue into Sunday. The northern Outer Banks and southern Pamlico Sound, especially south of Hatteras, and downeast Carteret will be particularly at risk for at least minor flooding with possibly moderate coastal flooding if later model guidance trends even higher with winds. && Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... NC...none. Marine...gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for amz136-137-158. Gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for amz130-131-135-154-156. Gale watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for amz150-152. && $$ Synopsis...dag near term...jac/dag/tl/Lep short term...dag long term...btc aviation...jac/btc/rf/tl marine...jac/btc/rf/dag/Lep tides/coastal flooding...