Nags Head, North Carolina Weather Conditions
Severe Weather Alerts
Next 12 Hours
5 Day Forecast
- High: 77 °
- Low: 66 °
- Partly Cloudy
- High: 77 °
- Low: 72 °
- Mostly Cloudy
- High: 77 °
- Low: 66 °
- Chance of Rain
- High: 79 °
- Low: 73 °
- Partly Cloudy
- High: 81 °
- Low: 64 °
- Partly Cloudy
Forecast for Nags Head, North Carolina
Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on September 18, 2014
Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening...
Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph.
Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 30 mph shifting to the WNW in the afternoon.
Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 64F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear. Low of 68F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 25 to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 25 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 75F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 70F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 70F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 79F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 72F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear. Low of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.
Severe Weather Alert Descriptions
... Beach hazards statement remains in effect until 8 PM EDT this
... Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to
8 PM EDT this evening...
The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a coastal Flood Advisory... which is in effect from 3 PM this
afternoon to 8 PM EDT this evening.
* Hazards... high threat of rip currents for beaches north of Cape
* Coastal flooding... minor ocean overwash expected near the Rodanthe
S-curves to the temporary bridge.
* Timing and tides... the most likely time for dangerous rip
currents will be a few hours either side of low tide... which will
occur around 10 am today.
* Coastal flooding timing... minor ocean overwash will be possible
a few hours either side of high tide... which will occur around
4:30 t0 5:00 PM this afternoon.
* Impacts... motorists should be prepared for standing water from
minor ocean overwash near the Rodanthe S-curves to the Pea
Island temporary bridge.
Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore... which occur most often at low spots or breaks in The
Sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins...
jetties and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards and the beach
patrol. Pay attention to flags and posted signs posted near beach
access points and lifeguard stations.
If you become caught in a rip current... do not panic. Remain calm
and begin to swim parallel to shore. Once you are away from the
force of the rip current... begin to swim back to the beach. Do
not attempt to swim directly against a rip current... since it can
exhaust and even kill the strongest swimmer.
A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.
Please visit the following website to share your thoughts on the
new rip current hazard...
Personal Weather Stations
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Buxton, NC
Updated: 4:42 PM EST
|Temperature: 72.9 °F||Dew Point: 60 °F||Humidity: 64%||Wind: East at 6.0 mph||Pressure: 29.99 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 76 °F||Graphs|
Location: The Peninsula, Manteo, NC
Updated: 5:37 PM EDT
|Temperature: 72.7 °F||Dew Point: 60 °F||Humidity: 64%||Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph||Pressure: 30.00 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 76 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
NWS Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 346 PM EDT Thursday Sep 18 2014 Synopsis... high pressure will continue to nose south over eastern North Carolina this evening. A weak cold front will approach from the north tonight though it will dissipate across southern Virginia. The high will move east off the New England coast and continue to impact the region through Saturday. Low pressure will move northeast Sunday just off the coast. A cold front will move through Monday. High pressure behind the front will pass by to the north Tuesday and Wednesday. && Near term /tonight/... as of 345 PM Thursday...no significant changes with the ongoing forecast. A coastal Flood Advisory continues for the obx Dare County...for minor overwash possible along Highway 12 near the S-curves to the temporary bridge south of Pea Island this afternoon. Long period swells from distant Hurricane Edouard combined with persistent northeast winds resulted in minor ocean overwash yesterday at high tide...and with no changes expected in seas/winds this afternoon...expect another round of minor ocean overwash this afternoon a few hours either side of high tide which will be between 4:30 and 5:00 PM EDT. A broad upper level trough continues over the eastern Seaboard while surface high pressure continues to nose south over eastern North Carolina. Partly cloudy skies have become mostly sunny this morning...and have trended back cloud cover through the afternoon hours...but maintained partly cloudy conditions later this afternoon based on forecast soundings which indicate scattered clouds around 4k feet with some mixed high clouds. Northeast winds will persist over the region today with moisture limited throughout the column. Highs will range in the upper 70s to lower 80s inland to middle 70s along the obx/eastern coast. A weak cold front will approach from the north/northwest tonight but guidance now indicates the front will stall across Virginia then washout...thus the strong ridge sliding through southern New England will remain the dominant feature through the overnight hours. Northeasterly flow will persist tonight with dry conditions expected. Lows will fall low 60s inland to middle 60s along the obx and southern coast. && Short term /Friday/... as of 325 PM Thursday...surface high pressure over New England will continue to nose south down the eastern Seaboard and across eastern North Carolina on Friday. The broad upper trough will shift east allowing more zonal flow aloft to develop Friday afternoon. Northeasterly flow will shift more easterly as the day progresses...with an airmass similar to today therefore not expecting showers/thunderstorms across the area. Temperatures will remain a few degrees cooler than climatology for middle September. Expect highs in the lower 80s inland to middle/upper 70s along the obx and southern coast. && Long term /Friday night through Thursday/... as of 230 PM Thursday...there continues to be strong agreement in the medium range guidance with respect to the upper flow regime over the Continental U.S. During the period. To start the period the persistent eastern upper trough will briefly lift into zonal flow Friday into Saturday while the southern portion of the upper trough closes off into an upper low over the southeast. This will lead to surface cyclogenesis Saturday along a front stalled off the coast. Then amplification of the upstream western upper ridge Sunday will lead to amplification of the eastern upper trough with this pattern forecast to persist into the early next week. As the upper trough amplifies it will pick up the coastal low and move it northeast away from the area by Monday. The flow will become progressive middle week allowing heights to rise again over the eastern US. Temperatures are expected to be near or slightly below normal through most of the period due to onshore flow and expected cloud cover. Exception will be Monday which should be warmest day of the period with readings possibly reaching slightly above normal with isolated readings into the middle 80s as SW flow develops ahead of an approaching cold front. Below normal temperatures are expected behind the front Tuesday into Thursday as northeasterly flow redevelops over the area in response to a large surface high building over the area from the north. The most complicated portion of the forecast will be the precipitation forecast Saturday into Sunday period when the aforementioned cyclogenesis takes place and the frontal wave moves northeast paralleling the coast. The GFS/CMC are strongest and closest to the coast while European model (ecmwf) is weaker/further offshore. Due to this uncertainty a middle of the Road approach seems best which will mean maintaining the 20-30% probability of precipitation for a light quantitative precipitation forecast event east of Highway 17 (highest immediate coast) during this period. Latest GFS/European model (ecmwf) operational model runs are in decent agreement in speeding up the arrival of a cold front on Monday so will continue chance probability of precipitation for most areas by afternoon, and tapered probability of precipitation back more quickly Monday night. The models continue to be in good agreement with providing pleasantly cool and dry weather conditions Tuesday through Thursday as strong surface high pressure builds into the area from the north. && Aviation /20z Thursday through Tuesday/... short term /through tonight/ as of 130 PM Thursday...predominant VFR conditions expected through the taf period. Light northeast flow will persist through the period and slowly shift more easterly by Friday afternoon. Scattered stratocumulus will dissipate this evening becoming mostly clear. Cannot rule out brief MVFR in fog/low stratus just prior to sunrise Friday morning...but again feel that guidance is overdone predicting IFR conditions as it has been for the past several days. Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... as of 230 PM Thursday...may see ceilings occasionally lower to MVFR levels (or lower) during the weekend given the persistent moist onshore low level flow. The best chances for lowered ceilings would be Saturday night through early Sunday as a nocturnal inversion strengthens overnight then wanes after sunrise Sunday. Monday afternoon an approaching cold front could trigger a few showers and thunderstorms with brief sub-VFR conditions as it crosses the region. Prevailing VFR conditions are expected Tuesday as dry high pressure builds over the area. && Marine... short term /through tonight/ as of 345 PM Thursday...latest surface and buoy data indicate long period swells continue across the waters north of Diamond Shoals. Small craft advisories for the central waters continue through this afternoon due to persistent swells causing hazardous seas 4 to 6 feet. Diamond Shoals buoy continues at 6 feet...with 4 feet swells around 11-13 seconds. Elevated seas will slowly dissipate this evening. High pressure north of the waters today and tonight will maintain a northeast flow over the marine zones...then as the high shifts east through the New England waters winds will shift more easterly during the day Friday. Speeds will range 10-15 knots but a bit higher in the outer waters of the Oregon Inlet to Ocracoke zones. Expect a respite from the elevated seas later tonight and Friday morning...then increasing seas back to Small Craft Advisory levels late Friday into Friday night. Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... as of 230 PM Thursday...mariners can expect Small Craft Advisory conditions for seas and wind gusts over the weekend due to a combination of cold advection Saturday then due to the gradient between a developing low pressure system off the coast and high pressure building in from the north. We continue to expect a moderate northeast flow to 20 knots with a few gusts to 25 knots Saturday which will build seas to 6 feet over the outer waters. There is below normal confidence with the forecast for Sunday due to uncertainties regarding the intensity and track of an area of low pressure off of the coast. There is enough consensus in the guidance to indicate that at least seas over the waters persisting around 6 feet through Sunday evening. Winds Sunday should be strongest in the morning then back to west and diminish late in the day. Winds will be veering from the west early Monday to north Monday evening as a rapidly moving cold front crosses the waters. Behind the front northerly flow initially will be around 15 knots Tuesday but is expected to increase to around 20 knots middle to late week with resulting seas reaching advisory levels as strong high pressure builds over the waters from the north. && Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... NC...coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ncz103. Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for amz152- 154. Small Craft Advisory from 11 am Friday to 11 PM EDT Sunday for amz152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Friday to 11 PM EDT Saturday for amz156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 8 am Saturday to 11 PM EDT Sunday for amz150. && $$ Synopsis...dag near term...dag short term...dag long term...btc/jme aviation...jme/dag marine...jme/dag