Your Weather

To update your location please enter your ZIP code, city, state, airport code or country in the field below. Weather by E-mail: Forecast storm alerts. Weather E-Mail Alert Sign Up »

Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Friday
• 
• High: 77 °
• Low: 57 °
• Chance of T-Storms

• Saturday
• 
• High: 70 °
• Low: 59 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Sunday
• 
• High: 72 °
• Low: 63 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Monday
• 
• High: 77 °
• Low: 66 °
• Clear

• Tuesday
• 
• High: 82 °
• Low: 66 °
• Chance of Rain

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 
110 am EDT Friday may 24 2013 


Synopsis... 
a cold front will approach the region from the west tonight and 
move through the Carolinas Friday. High pressure will build 
across the area this weekend then shift off the coast Monday and 
Tuesday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am this morning/... 
as of 110 am Friday...convection ahead of a cold front moving into 
central North Carolina continues to diminish in intensity and 
aerial coverage late tonight. Will maintain 30% probability of precipitation and call for 
scattered showers overnight but downplay thunder threat based on 
downward trends in observed lightning and warming cloud tops in 
satellite imagery. The cold front will move into eastern NC by 12z 
Friday. Looks like winds will at least partially decouple 
overnight and with breaks in the clouds radiational cooling will 
lead to patches of dense fog aided by moist soils from earlier 
rains. No changes to previous forecast lows in the middle 60s most 
locations and upper 60s along the immediate coast. Southerly flow 
will begin to veer as we approach morning with the cold front on 
our door step . 


&& 


Short term /6 am this morning through 6 am Saturday/... 
as of 3 PM Thursday...a strong upper trough will continue to push 
eastward Friday...swinging a cold front through eastern NC early. 
Any lingering precipitation will likely taper off from SW to NE as drier 
and cooler air works in behind the front. Base of the trough will 
begin to rotate through the area Friday afternoon. Low level 
thickness values support high temperatures in the lower to upper 70s. 


&& 


Long term /Saturday through Friday/... 
deep upper trough will be moving through the area Friday night ushering 
in cooler and drier conditions for most of the upcoming Holiday 
weekend. With a persistent dry northwest flow aloft and surface high pressure 
gradually building into the area from the northwest...temperatures 
will average 10-15 degrees below normal with low humidity through Sunday. 
Weak short wave energy moving through the broad East Coast trough will 
increase clouds and bring a small chance for precipitation by Monday afternoon. 


Upper ridge gradually builds east and replaces the East Coast trough 
through the middle of next week with a return to weather conditions 
more typical of late Spring/early Summer. As temperatures return 
to more normal levels Tue-Thu...expect mainly seabreeze type 
convection to set up during the favorable middle afternoon through early evening 
diurnal heat cycles. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/... 
short term /through Friday/... 
as of 110 am Friday...scattered showers will be a possibility 
across eastern NC through the afternoon. Initially triggered by an 
approaching cold front through the morning then through the 
afternoon with the passage of an upper trough. Any shower will 
produce a brief period of MVFR conditions. Early this morning 
there will be a risk of patchy dense fog developing as winds 
decouple and breaks in the cloud cover develop aided by widespread 
moist soils from earlier rains. Expect long periods of VFR between 
the infrequent showers Friday then prevailing VFR late Friday after 
the upper trough begins to move off of the coast. Winds will 
increase Friday afternoon after the cold frontal passage with 
gusts to 20 knots expected. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
mainly VFR expected with dry northwest flow aloft and surface high pressure 
building in through early next week. The chances for scattered mainly 
diurnally driven convection and short-duration sub-VFR conditions 
will be increasing by Monday afternoon and continuing into Tuesday. 


&& 


Marine... 
short term /through Friday/... 
as of 110 am Friday...seas over the outer waters have built to 5-6 
feet in southwesterly prefrontal flow. Winds will shift to northwest late 
Friday morning as the cold front moves off of the coast and 
increase to 20 to 25 knots late today and tonight in low level cold 
advection which will maintain the 4-6 feet seas. May have to 
reissue an advisory for the sounds late Friday and Friday night 
as frequent gusts to 25 knots look possible. 


Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... 
with high pressure building in from the north...a moderate to 
strong northwest flow regime sets up Friday night into Saturday then 
gradually decreases late Saturday and Sunday. The flow becomes 
S/SW early next week as the high passes offshore. Winds/seas will 
approach or exceed Small Craft Advisory criteria Friday night 
into Saturday then gradually decrease/subside for the second half 
of the upcoming Holiday weekend. 


&& 


Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... 
NC...none. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM EDT Saturday for amz152-154. 
Small Craft Advisory until 8 am EDT this morning for amz150- 
156-158. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...cqd 
near term...ctc/jme/cqd/Lep 
short term...cqd 
long term...btc 
aviation...jme/cqd 
marine...ctc/btc/jme/cqd/Lep