Updated: 10:00 AM EST on January 31, 2015
Clear. High of 43F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 52F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain after midnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Overcast with rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 21F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 41F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 55F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 39F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West after midnight.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 46F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 in. possible.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 18F. Windy. Winds from the NNE at 25 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 50%.
Clear. High of 37F with a windchill as low as 18F. Windy. Winds from the NNE at 20 to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 18F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph.
Clear. High of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. Low of 32F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Holiday Island Road, Hertford, NC
Updated: 2:07 PM EST
|Temperature: 41.5 °F||Dew Point: 14 °F||Humidity: 33%||Wind: NW at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 30.28 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 42 °F||Graphs|
Updated: 2:08 PM EST
|Temperature: 37.8 °F||Dew Point: 24 °F||Humidity: 58%||Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph||Pressure: 19.33 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 35 °F||Graphs|
Location: Durants Neck, Hertford, NC
Updated: 1:50 PM EST
|Temperature: 40.6 °F||Dew Point: 14 °F||Humidity: 34%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.27 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 41 °F||Graphs|
Location: Deep Creek Shores, Hertford, NC
Updated: 2:10 PM EST
|Temperature: 40.1 °F||Dew Point: 16 °F||Humidity: 37%||Wind: West at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 30.28 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 40 °F||Graphs|
Location: Forest Park, Elizabeth City, NC
Updated: 2:10 PM EST
|Temperature: 38.8 °F||Dew Point: 14 °F||Humidity: 32%||Wind: WNW at 5.6 mph||Pressure: 30.30 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 35 °F||Graphs|
Location: Nowell Farm Road, Colerain, NC
Updated: 2:09 PM EST
|Temperature: 41.9 °F||Dew Point: 7 °F||Humidity: 23%||Wind: NW at 10.7 mph||Pressure: 30.03 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 36 °F||Graphs|
Location: GPKandSon, Corapeake, NC
Updated: 2:07 PM EST
|Temperature: 39.3 °F||Dew Point: 9 °F||Humidity: 29%||Wind: ENE at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 30.29 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 39 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 1250 PM EST Sat Jan 31 2015 Synopsis... cold high pressure builds into the region today. Low pressure will track east from the Ohio Valley on Sunday...and push off the New Jersey coast Monday morning. High pressure returns to area Tuesday into Wednesday. && Near term /until 6 PM this evening/... the current surface analysis indicates ~1032mb high pressure centered over the Cumberland Plateau...which extends eastward over the southeast coastal plain...and a trough is present to the Lee- side of the Blue Ridge over VA/NC. Cold air advection lingers this morning over the Eastern Shore producing wind gusts to 20-25kt out of the northwest. Temperatures have risen into the middle 20s to low 30s as of 10 am. High pressure builds east and will become centered along the Carolina coast by midday. A northwest wind will remain gusty from the northwest over the Eastern Shore. Otherwise...the wind will diminish through the day. Sunny today...but cold with highs topping out in the Lower- Middle 40s across south central Virginia and interior NE NC to the lower 30s on the Maryland Eastern Shore. Temperatures drop fast this evening...then become nearly steady. Clear skies/light flow...followed by increasing middle/high clouds overnight. Lows tonight in the upper teens/lower 20s NE to the Lower-Middle 20s elsewhere. && Short term /6 PM this evening through Monday/... NAM/GFS/ECMWF into better agreement west/ the handling of the upcoming storm system. A more northern track prevails...with surface low pressure pushing from the Ohio Valley through PA/New Jersey Sun night/Mon. There is a brief period with a low chance for -sn/ice pellets across the far northwest counties Sun morning. This will likely not amount to anything measurable given weak lift but will have a 20% pop across the northwest Piedmont for now. The system actually lifts a bit back to the north through the day so areas of southern Virginia/NE NC should see temperatures rise into the low 50s without much chance for any precipitation. By late afternoon/early evening...deeper moisture approaches from the west as the surface low reaches southern in/OH. Still only a chance pop for areas along/east of I-95 through 03z...with likely probability of precipitation west of I-95 from 00z-03z. Thicknesses support mainly rain throughout the County Warning Area...but will go with a rain/ice pellets mixture at onset of precipitation during this timeframe due to dry air (dew points in 20s) even as surface temperatures remain well above 32 f (in the 40s). Expecting moderation of the airmass over the forecast area as S winds develop overnight. Thus...rain will be the only forecast p-type Sun night into Monday morning. Temperatures to bottom out early sun evening (in the u30s north...l/m40s s)...then rise thereafter into Monday morning (into the 50s across southeast Virginia..40s elsewhere). By midday/afternoon Monday...drying trend begins...GFS a little faster than the NAM/European model (ecmwf) solutions but only by a few hours. Have trimmed back on probability of precipitation in the afternoon over interior Virginia and NC and should see partly sunny skies. Best chance for afternoon precipitation looks to shift to NE zones. Due to warm start to the day...think cold air will struggle to make it into akq County Warning Area before sunset. Will carry just rain as ptype in the afternoon except across the far north after 21z. Hi temperatures from the middle/upper 40s north-northwest to the upper 50s southeast. && Long term /Monday night through Friday/... other than some some lingering clouds over coastal waters Erly Monday evening...expect clearing skies and cold Monday night as 1030+ mb high apprchs forecast area from the Ohio Valley. Lows in the middle teens north to l20s south xcpt m20s southeastern beach areas. Ridge axis moves ovrhd Erly Tuesday then shifts offshore. Mostly sunny and cold. Highs in the 30s. Mostly clear Tuesday night. Lows in the 20s. Models continue to have difficulty with middle week systm and offer up different timing and moisture scenarios...so a low confidence forecast continues until more model agreement can be seen. However... the trend is slower in bringing moisture north into the forecast area as southern stream low develops in the northern Gulf of Mexico then tracks NE along the southeast and possibly middle atlntc coast before pulling NE and away from the area. Model guidance suggests leaning more toward the GFS solution. Trended drier/warmer on Wednesday with highs in the 50s. Expect increasing cloudiness Wednesday night. Went with low chance probability of precipitation across NC counties Wednesday night. Chance (liquid) probability of precipitation Wednesday night with only about a 20% pop for mixed snow/rain late across northern most counties. Lows around freezing northern most counties to the M-u30s over the south. Rain chances continue Thursday xcpt for some rain/snow mix across the north. Colder...with highs in the middle 40s southeast to the 30s over the north. If the 00z European model (ecmwf) verifies...the strong high prs keeps southern stream low south with little if any impact on forecast area. This has been the case most of this winter given no real blocking pattern seen. Its solution would be colder and drier. Anthr Arctic high pressure builds into the area from the northwest behind this systm by Friday. Decreasing cloudiness Thursday night. Lows in the 20s. Mostly sunny Friday. Highs in the 30s. && Aviation /18z Saturday through Thursday/... VFR conditions expected through forecast period as high prs builds ovrhd. Broken high level clouds will ovrsprd the region tonight in advance of the apprchg low prs systm. Clouds expeceted to lower into the middle levels aftr 12z sun (10-15k ft). Northwest winds dmnshg to less than 10 kts next few hours. Outlook...low pressure tracks across the northern middle-Atlantic region late Sun night-early Monday morning with the trailing cold front sweeping across the area Monday morning. Widespread rainfall will accompany the front with IFR ceilings/visibilities possible. Rain ends Monday afternoon. High pressure/fair weather returns Tuesday and Wednesday. The next cold front approaches the region from the northwest Wednesday night. && Marine... have dropped Small Craft Advisory headlines over the rivers with 1 PM update. Sca's continue over the ches Bay/Currituck sand and coastal waters through the afternoon. Pvs dscn: replaced gales with sca's with 10 am update. Winds/seas will continue to diminish this afternoon as high pressure builds into the area from the west. Also cancelled the freezing spray advisory as temperatures slowly warm as winds diminish over the next several hours. Previous discussion... latest weather analysis over the waters depicts last evenings cold front well offshore with high pressure building eastward over the Ohio Valley. Strong pressure gradient in tandem with low level cold air advection has resulted in gale conditions across the Bay and coastal waters early this morning. Thereafter...cold air advection wanes as high pressure begins to build over the waters. Low level winds also subside below 30 knots. However...Small Craft Advisory conditions persist through the morning before high pressure finally builds over the waters and the pressure gradient relaxes this afternoon. 6-9 feet seas will persist through early morning...before slowly subsiding through the day and finally dropping below 5 feet all coastal waters this evening. High pressure slides offshore tonight with southerly flow at or below 15 knots returning to the waters. Southerly flow increases Sun night as low pressure and an attendant cold front approach the waters. The front crosses the waters Monday morning...followed by another strong northwesterly surge. A period of gales is expected Monday night for the Bay and coastal waters. Seas builds to 6 to 9 feet. High pressure returns Tuesday and Wednesday in advance of the next cold front set to cross the waters Wednesday night. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for anz630>634. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for anz650- 652-654-656-658. && $$ Synopsis...lkb near term...ajz/lkb short term...alb/lkb long term...lkb/mpr aviation...mpr/Sam marine...mpr/Sam