Updated: 2:19 AM EST on January 05, 2015
Rain likely. High 48F. Winds NNE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100%. Rainfall near a half an inch.
Freezing rain in the evening...then cloudy late. Low 24F. Winds N at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precip 100%.
Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon. High around 30F. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low 22F. Winds light and variable.
Sunny skies. High around 50F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear skies. Low near 35F. Winds light and variable.
Generally sunny. High 58F. Winds light and variable.
Partly cloudy skies in the evening, then becoming cloudy overnight. Low 38F. Winds light and variable.
Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day. High 59F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Rain showers in the evening will evolve into a more steady rain overnight. Low 38F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.
Cloudy with periods of rain. High near 55F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch.
Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. Low 44F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.
Cloudy with occasional showers. High 64F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.
Cloudy with occasional rain showers. Low 46F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.
Showers in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 64F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Cloudy with a few showers. Low 46F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Overcast with rain showers at times. High 56F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Cloudy with occasional showers late at night. Low near 45F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Cloudy with periods of rain. High 54F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.
Cloudy with showers. Low 43F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. High 57F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast with rain showers at times. Low 46F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to
3 am EST Friday...
The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory... which is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to
3 am EST Friday.
* Areas affected: southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina.
* Hazards: sleet and snow.
* Timing: rain will mix with sleet later this afternoon. A
transition to sleet is expected early this evening... with snow
mixing with sleet as precipitation ends later this evening.
* Accumulations: sleet accumulation around 1 inch. Accumulation of
1 to 2 inches where more snow mixes with sleet. Trace amounts
of ice are possible.
* Temperatures: mid 30s... falling into the upper 20s by early
* Winds: north 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
* Impacts: roads will become sleet covered by early evening.
Visibility will drop to around one half mile at times this
evening... making travel dangerous.
A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow... sleet... or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibility... and use caution while
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Heritage Shores Plantation, Hertford, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 62.9 °F||Dew Point: 62 °F||Humidity: 96%||Wind: SW at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 29.88 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Updated: 5:20 AM EST
|Temperature: 61.1 °F||Dew Point: 58 °F||Humidity: 90%||Wind: SSW at 8.0 mph||Pressure: 26.68 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Durants Neck, Hertford, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 59.6 °F||Dew Point: 58 °F||Humidity: 95%||Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph||Pressure: 29.86 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Deep Creek Shores, Hertford, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 59.1 °F||Dew Point: 58 °F||Humidity: 96%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.89 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Forest Park, Elizabeth City, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 55.4 °F||Dew Point: 54 °F||Humidity: 97%||Wind: NE at 2.8 mph||Pressure: 29.94 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Elizabeth City, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 60.6 °F||Dew Point: 53 °F||Humidity: 76%||Wind: ENE at 1.5 mph||Pressure: 29.90 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Updated: 4:13 AM EST
|Temperature: 62 °F||Dew Point: 60 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: WSW at 2 mph||Pressure: 30.24 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: APRSWXNET Roper NC US, Roper, NC
Updated: 4:45 AM EST
|Temperature: 64 °F||Dew Point: 62 °F||Humidity: 94%||Wind: SSW at 8 mph||Pressure: 29.87 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Nowell Farm Road, Colerain, NC
Updated: 5:21 AM EST
|Temperature: 64.9 °F||Dew Point: 63 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.65 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: GPKandSon, Corapeake, NC
Updated: 5:17 AM EST
|Temperature: 48.9 °F||Dew Point: 48 °F||Humidity: 97%||Wind: NE at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 29.92 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 49 °F||Graphs|
Location: APRSWXNET Creswell NC US, Creswell, NC
Updated: 4:38 AM EST
|Temperature: 62 °F||Dew Point: 61 °F||Humidity: 95%||Wind: SSW at 3 mph||Pressure: 29.89 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 440 am EST Thursday Mar 5 2015 Synopsis... a cold front will stall over North Carolina today...with a wave of low pressure moving along the front this afternoon and evening. This will bring another round of wintry weather to the area...followed by cold and dry conditions by Friday. Gradually moderating...milder temperatures are expected late in the weekend into next week. && Near term /through tonight/... the primary change to the current forecast reflects slower evolution of the upcoming system. Start times of the advisories have been delayed. Additionally...advisories have been raised for southeast Virginia/NE NC where the potential for a 3-5hr period of sleet exists late this afternoon and evening. Warnings remain as is. Latest GOES WV imagery shows the southeast US ridge remaining rather stubborn...which is keeping deeper moisture well west of the region back over the Cumberland Plateau. The result of the ridge holding strong will likely result in a longer period of 'warmer' middle-level thickness values...which should result in more sleet. As a result...snow/sleet accumulation has been across central portions of the area. Accumulation (primarily sleet) has been increased over southeast portions where moisture should linger into the evening. At the surface...1035mb high pressure is centered over the plains states. Colder air over the Ohio Valley is spreading eastward across PA...which has resulted in a change to snow along and north of the Mason/Dixon line as of 430am. Locally temperatures range from the middle/upper 40s north/NE to the low 50s S/SW...with areas of -ra passing SW-NE from the Piedmont to the Eastern Shore. A strong anti-cyclonic jet in place from the middle miss valley through Atlantic Canada will translate eastward through the day tas a strong trough digs across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes by later this morning into Thursday afternoon. It is at this time that deeper moisture will arrive and rrq forcing will be idealized, as strong pv anomaly rides across the area Thursday through Thursday night, triggering the onset of wintry precipitation from northwest-southeast across the area. Critical 850 mb-7 thickness values (sub 1540m) are not realized until late in the afternoon Thursday into Thursday night over northern half of the area. However...by this time the strongest uvm will be exiting the coast. Overall, utilizing roebber slr forecasting tool along with local thickness chart, forecast slr values will be quite low for much of the day (perhaps as low as 4:1-8:1). This makes sense given that there will be a prolonged period of sleet (which will eat into snowfall totals)...and that middle-level thicknesses will be 'warm' during the strongest forcing in the early to middle afternoon hours. Based on all of the above, have continued with a stripe of 3-5" of wet snow/sleet along a line from Palmyra, Virginia to Tappahannock and Salisbury, Maryland. This is bordered by a band of 2-3" for other portions of the northwest Piedmont...Northern Neck...northern ric suburbs and remainder of the lower Maryland Eastern Shore. Currently 1-2" of sleet/snow is forecast from the southern sections of the ric metropolitan /Tri-Cities down through Hampton Roads...with 1" or less along the Highway 58 corridor over central Virginia into the Piedmont. This translates to winter storm warnings being hoisted along our northern tier of counties, with a tier of winter weather advisories for the ric metropolitan area, the Piedmont and the middle peninsula mainly along and north of a Farmville to Petersburg and Williamsburg line. Confidence is not high enough to continue advisories farther south into south central Virginia counties. Given that any impacts would come Thursday night in this area, have therefore continued severe weather potential statement mention given expectation of sub-advisory conditions. Wintry precipitation should taper off Thursday evening...as top down drying ensues west/drier air arriving from the northwest during the late evening. Could see a brief period of freezing drizzle late Thursday evening, hence dragging all winter headlines through midnight Thursday night/Friday morning. && Short term /Friday through Saturday/... high pressure/fair weather to prevail during the short term. Shortwave exits the NE coast Friday morning with confluence aloft over the mid-Atlantic. This will allow strong 1030+mb Arctic high pressure to center over the region Friday. Cold front locates offshore...extending southwestward into the northern Gulf. Best moisture gets shunted offshore in increasing westerly flow aloft. The result will be dry conditions...but well below normal temperatures. Models consesus attempts to show highs in the 25-30 range Friday. However...850 mb temperatures ~-8c and low level thicknesses yield temperatures in the low-middle 30s...with possibly upper 20s over the interior Maryland Eastern Shore. Will side with the later reasoning given that we are now into March. The next northern stream shortwave crosses the region Friday night...resulting in little more than partly cloudy skies. Cold Friday night with low generally middle teens to around 20...with 10-15 possible from interion S-central Virginia to the Eastern Shore. Zonal flow develops Sat as high pressure remains over the region. Southwesterly return flow commences...resulting in moderating low level thicknesses and temperatures. Thicknesses yield temperatures in the low-middle 50s inland sun...but guidance running in the middle-upper 40s. Trended toward thicknesses...with highs in the upper 40s-low 50s inland and low to middle 40s near the coast...under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. && Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/... going close to the 12z GFS/CMC in the extended period. Will maintain dry weather from Sat night through at least Monday night at this time..as hi pressure will be over the area. There is then a hint of low pressure moving NE out of the Gulf and across the region Tuesday through Wednesday. For now...just have slight chance of rain during this time. Temperatures will be closer to seasonable rdgs through the period. Min temperatures will range from the upper 20s to upper 30s...and maximum temperatures will range from the upper 40s to upper 50s...maybe into the 60s on Wednesday. && Aviation /09z Thursday through Monday/... as of 06z...frntal boundary remains stalled in the vicinity but will slowly push S this morng. Various boundaries near the front continue to cause variable winds and flight conditions. LIFR conds at sby/phf/orf are expected to be intermittent until the front moves south of the taf sites. Following the frontal passage...MVFR/IFR ceilings become solidly IFR/LIFR as rain develops. The rain mixes with freezing rain and sleet for a period of time before transitioning to snow with the change occurring from north to south during the day today. Two to four inch snow accumulations are expected at ric and sby with one to two inches or less at the southeast taf sites. Winds will be gusty from the north much of the day. Outlook...precipitation moves off to the east this evening and VFR conds return. Improving weather is expected Friday into early next week. && Marine... a cold front is located near the NC/Virginia border Erly this morng...and will slowly slide S through midday. North winds will pick up over all waters...increasing to Small Craft Advisory thresholds by the midday/afternoon hours. Also hoisted a gale warng for the southern coastal waters where frequent gusts up to 35 knots are expected this eveng and overnight. Waves over the ches Bay will build to 3-5 feet...with seas over coastal waters bldng to 6-9 feet. All marine headlines end during the day Friday as winds/waves/seas decrease as hi pressure builds in from the west. Benign marine conds continue into the weekend with the hi remaining in the vicinity. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...Winter Storm Warning until midnight EST tonight for mdz021>025. NC...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 3 am EST Friday for ncz012>017-030>032-102. Virginia...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to midnight EST tonight for vaz065-066-079>082-084-086>094-100. Winter Storm Warning until midnight EST tonight for vaz048-049- 063-064-074>076. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 am this morning to midnight EST tonight for vaz060>062-067>073-077-078-083-085-099. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 3 am EST Friday for vaz095>098. Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for anz650-652-654. Gale Warning until 7 am EST Friday for anz656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 am EST Friday for anz635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for anz632>634. Small Craft Advisory until 10 am EST Friday for anz630-631-638. && $$ Synopsis...ajz/mam near term...ajz/mam short term...Sam/ajz long term...Sam/tmg aviation...mas/Sam/lsa marine...mas