Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on October 31, 2014
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the afternoon. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 46F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.9 in. possible.
Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 54F. Windy. Winds from the NW at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
Clear. Low of 45F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 25 to 30 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 10 to 25 mph.
Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 68F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 57F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Low of 59F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 20 to 25 mph.
Clear. Low of 48F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 20 to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 52F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
... Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 8 PM EDT Saturday to
5 PM EST Sunday...
The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a coastal Flood Advisory... which is in effect from 8 PM EDT
Saturday to 5 PM EST Sunday.
* Location... sound side Outer Banks south of Oregon Inlet and
ocean side north of Cape Hatteras.
* Coastal flooding... water levels 2 to 3 feet above normal.
* Timing... Saturday night and Sunday.
* Impacts... minor flooding of areas adjacent to Pamlico
Sound... and ocean side north of Cape Hatteras.
A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.
... Wind Advisory in effect from 11 PM EDT Saturday to 10 am EST
The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a Wind Advisory... which is in effect from 11 PM EDT Saturday to
10 am EST Sunday.
* Winds... northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
* Timing... Saturday night into Sunday morning.
* Impacts... strong winds will blow around loose objects.
A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph or
gusts in excess of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult... especially for high profile vehicles.
Use extra caution.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Sandbaggas, Hatteras, NC
Updated: 2:33 AM EDT
|Temperature: 55.6 °F||Dew Point: 46 °F||Humidity: 71%||Wind: ENE at 10.9 mph||Pressure: 28.59 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Graphs|
Location: Buxton, NC
Updated: 1:39 AM EST
|Temperature: 56.1 °F||Dew Point: 51 °F||Humidity: 84%||Wind: NNE at 8.0 mph||Pressure: 29.68 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Graphs|
Updated: 2:40 AM EDT
|Temperature: 56.7 °F||Dew Point: 51 °F||Humidity: 81%||Wind: North at 8.0 mph||Pressure: 29.65 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1246 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 Synopsis... a strong coastal low pressure system will develop off the North Carolina coast this evening and move northeast off the East Coast through Sunday. High pressure will build in from the northwest late Sunday into early next week then move off the coast on Wednesday. && Near term /until 6 am this morning/... as of 1245 am Saturday...lowered mins to around 40 coastal plains with good radiational cooling. Upper level trough will continue to dig toward the southeast helping to develop a surface low across the Piedmont of NC. A coastal low offshore will migrate to the north and east. Therefore...north winds will continue overnight with clouds filtering into the region ahead of this potent system to the west. Given this dynamic weather pattern...low temperatures may eventually level off as the bl mixes and cloud cover moving in from the west helps insulate the low levels. Lows temperatures forecast to drop to around 40 inland coastal plains to low/middle 50s along the immediate coast. Previous forecast...a deep upper trough currently resides over the eastern Continental U.S. With a strong shortwave embedded in the northwesterly flow over the midwestern states that will quickly shift southeast into Georgia and South Carolina by 12z Saturday morning. Eastern NC will reside between systems with the departing low pressure off the coast and developing low pressure Lee of the Appalachian Mountains moving towards the area later tonight. The sharp moisture gradient as noted by the latest satellite blended total precipitable water product will continue tonight with precipitable waters falling below half an inch. The overall dry airmass and increasing clouds from the west should inhibit fog development late tonight or early Saturday morning. Overnight lows generally middle 40s/lower 50s. The strong shortwave aloft will become a closed low over the Carolinas on Saturday as it moves off the Cape Fear coast. Strong lift will be present so maintained scattered thunderstorms during the day with categorical probability of precipitation in the afternoon. Latest model suite suggest some banded precipitation may develop along and south of Highway 70 to the Outer Banks...but this is difficult to nail down with confidence beyond 6-12 hours. Current storm total quantitative precipitation forecast through Saturday night is around a half inch inland to an inch along the Crystal Coast and nearly 1.50 inches along the obx. Temperatures will remain mild Saturday due to clouds and precipitation with highs in the middle 50s inland to low 60s across the obx and southern coast. && Short term /6 am this morning through 6 PM Sunday/... as of 415 PM Friday...the surface low will shift off the NC coast between 18-00z Saturday afternoon and deepen quickly as it moves northeast towards southern New England. The strong upper low will shift northeast away from the region as the upper trough axis slowly shifts east through the Carolinas. Strong cold air advection and a tightening pressure gradient will produce strong northwesterly winds across eastern NC. BUFKIT soundings support wind gusts upwards of 45 to 55 miles per hour across the Outer Banks and counties adjacent to the eastern Albemarle and Pamlico sounds late Saturday evening through early Sunday morning. Wind advisories have been posted for Tyrrell...Carteret...Mainland and Outer Banks Dare and Hyde counties. The low will shift well off the NC coast Sunday morning bringing an end to precipitation from west to east. Temperatures Saturday night will be cooler with lows in the low 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. && Long term /Sunday night through Friday/... as of 415 PM Friday...models in general agreement during period and in line with previous forecast. Strong cold air advection will continue over area Sunday with Arctic high pressure moving in from northwest as deepening surface low races out to NE. Cold air scu will gradually diminish across area during the day...but low level thicknesses support maximum temperatures only in low-middle 50s with full insolation. Surface high center will build over area Sun night with winds expected to decouple inland of coast...allowing maximum radiational cooling. Min temperatures around 32 likely mainly along and west of Highway 17...and freeze watch/warning and/or frost advisory will likely be needed with later forecast updates. High and dry conditions expected Monday-Tuesday with ridging surface and aloft...resulting in gradually moderating temperatures. European model (ecmwf) and GFS do differ slightly with next short WV trough late week as GFS is slower. Both models indicate assctd front will be mainly dry with deeper moisture drying up coming across mountains...and lowered probability of precipitation to only 20% for Wednesday night and Thursday. Cooler and drier for Friday. && Aviation /06z Saturday through Wednesday/... short term /through Saturday/... as of 1230 am Saturday...expect pred VFR conditions overnight. Increasing clouds will likely preclude fog development overnight...though cannot rule out a brief period of light patchy fog toward morning with light winds across inland areas at isolated and pgv. Rain showers should gradually overspread the area today with lowering cloud bases...best coverage in the afternoon as low pressure system impacts the region. Expect MVFR conditions to develop by this afternoon...with gusty north-northwest winds developing. Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/... as of 415 PM Friday...high pressure will dominate through the period with dry air mass producing VFR conditions. Strong and gusty northwest winds will gradually diminish Sun afternoon and evening. && Marine... short term /through Saturday night/... as of 1230 am Saturday...latest surface and buoy data indicate north winds 10-20 knots with gusts around 25kt across the central waters due to a tight pressure gradient between the low pressure well offshore and high pressure briefly building in from the northwest. Seas continue at 5-7ft north of Ocracoke and 2-4ft south. Winds and seas will slowly subside overnight as the surface low offshore shifts farther east moving the best pressure gradient farther offshore as well. A strong coastal low pressure system will develop off the NC coast this evening. The low will move northeast towards New England Sunday with strong cold air advection and a tightening pressure gradient producing gale force winds for most waters with storm force winds expected across the outer portions of the waters from Oregon Inlet south to Ocracoke. Gale warnings continue for all eastern NC coastal waters with storm warnings for the central leg as winds will gust 50-55 knots Saturday night into Sunday morning. These strong winds will lead to dangerous 15-20 feet seas which may produce high surf and minor beach erosion. Winds will diminish below gale force Sunday with seas lingering at Small Craft Advisory levels into Monday. Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/... as of 415 PM...ongoing gale force winds with strong cold air advection will continue Sun morning...with gusts gradually subsiding below gales sounds and southern waters Sun afternoon. Surface high center will gradually shift S of area Monday allowing winds to back to west-SW with speeds less than 15 knots into Wednesday. Went with higher nwps over ww3 for seas with cold air expected to mix well over warmer waters...resulting in higher gusts. Seas peaking 15-20 feet late Sun night will gradually subside will subside but some 6 feet heights over outer portions of northern waters into Monday evening. Lighter winds will allow seas to drop to around 2 feet Tue-Wed. && Tides/coastal flooding... 2-3 feet tidal anomalies are likely along vulnerable coastlines adjacent to the Pamlico Sound as strong north-northwest winds develop Saturday night and continue into Sunday. The northern Outer Banks and southern Pamlico Sound...especially south of Hatteras, and down- east Carteret County will be particularly at risk for at least minor flooding with possibly moderate coastal flooding if strong gale force winds develop over the Pamlico Sound. && Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... NC...Wind Advisory from 11 PM EDT this evening to 7 am EST Sunday for ncz046-047-081-095. Wind Advisory from 11 PM EDT this evening to 10 am EST Sunday for ncz103-104. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM EDT this evening to 5 PM EST Sunday for ncz103-104. Marine...Gale Warning from 6 PM EDT this evening to 11 am EST Sunday for amz130-131-135>137-156-158. Storm Warning from 10 PM EDT this evening to 7 am EST Sunday for amz152-154. Gale Warning from 6 PM EDT this evening to 4 PM EST Sunday for amz150. && $$ Synopsis...dag near term...jac/cqd/dag/Lep short term...dag long term...jbm aviation...jac/jbm/cqd/dag marine...jac/jbm/cqd/dag/Lep tides/coastal flooding...