Updated: 9:51 PM EST on February 10, 2016
Partly cloudy late this evening...then clearing. Windy with lows in the upper 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
Sunny and windy. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Partly sunny with a chance of snow in the morning...then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the mid 30s...except around 40 south of Oregon Inlet. North winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening... then a slight chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Brisk with lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s.
Partly cloudy. Cold with lows around 20.
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s.
Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Mostly cloudy. Not as cool with highs in the mid 40s.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as cool with lows in the lower 40s.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 50s.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows around 40. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Hatterasman, Frisco, NC
Updated: 11:19 PM EST
|Temperature: 38.1 °F||Dew Point: 23 °F||Humidity: 55%||Wind: WNW at 23.0 mph||Pressure: 29.98 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 27 °F||Graphs|
Location: Brigands Bay, Frisco, NC
Updated: 11:16 PM EST
|Temperature: 38.9 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 64%||Wind: North at 26.0 mph||Pressure: 29.95 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
Location: SANDBAGGAS, Hatteras, NC
Updated: 11:18 PM EST
|Temperature: 37.2 °F||Dew Point: 17 °F||Humidity: 43%||Wind: NNW at 21.2 mph||Pressure: 29.89 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 27 °F||Graphs|
Location: NOS_NWLON, Hatteras, NC
Updated: 10:42 PM EST
|Temperature: 39 °F||Dew Point: -||Humidity: -||Wind: West at 33 mph||Pressure: 29.95 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 27 °F||Graphs|
Location: Buxton, NC
Updated: 11:10 PM EST
|Temperature: 38.2 °F||Dew Point: 23 °F||Humidity: 54%||Wind: WNW at 6.0 mph||Pressure: 30.00 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 34 °F||Graphs|
Location: Sunset Drive, Ocracoke, NC
Updated: 11:21 PM EST
|Temperature: 37.0 °F||Dew Point: 23 °F||Humidity: 57%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 30.01 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 37 °F||Graphs|
Location: Sunset Dr, Ocracoke, NC
Updated: 11:07 PM EST
|Temperature: 37.2 °F||Dew Point: 22 °F||Humidity: 57%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 30.00 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 37 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 920 PM EST Wednesday Feb 10 2016 Synopsis... Arctic high pressure will build in from the northwest through early Friday. Weak low pressure will move across just south of the area Friday...followed by another blast of Arctic air for the weekend. Low pressure will approach from the southwest Monday and move across the area Tuesday. && Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/... as of 920 PM Wednesday...broken to overcast high based cumulus continue over the extreme east and should dissipate as expected by 06z. Patchy cirrus will streak across the sky at times but expecting mostly clear skies after midnight with a brisk westerly wind. Even with low level mixing limiting radiational cooling, the airmass established across the Carolinas is cold and overnight lows will reflect this with readings 20 to 25 degrees expected inland and upper 20s beaches. && Short term /6 am Thursday morning through 6 PM Thursday/... as of 315 PM Wednesday...despite some slight middle-level height rises on Thursday...the forecast 2-meter temperatures are actually a couple of degrees cooler. Under generally sunny skies...except for some daytime cumulus...high temperatures again struggle to reach 40 degrees over much of the County Warning Area...with many spots remaining in the upper 30s. && Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/... below normal temperatures through early next week...with Arctic airmass moving into eastern NC this weekend. There is the potential for a wintry weather Friday. Thursday night through Friday night... Shortwave energy will drop down from Canada...accompanied by ~125kt jetstreak Friday...leading to re-amplifying the upper level trough over the eastern half U.S. And bringing even colder Arctic airmass into the southeast region over the weekend. Surface high will be over the area while a surface low develop/strengthens off the southeast/Carolina coast. Current challenge are the latest models not being consistent. 10/12z NAM forecasting sounding soundings indicates saturation in the snow growth zone region with a slight warm nose...especially along our southern-most counties...with possible wintry mix; sleet and possible -fzra for the southern zones and -sn for the northern counties. Meanwhile...10/12z GFS forecasting sounding has a stronger warm nose and less saturated in the snow growth zone region than the 12z NAM. Both 10/12z GFS and 10/12z European model (ecmwf) have some consistency with snow developing along to the counties along sounds...mainly northern Pamlico and Albemarle Sound. Plus, with the latest guidance from wpc probabilistic winter guidance...confidence have increased and made adjustments for Friday forecast. Expect light snow west of Highway 17 with a wintry mix to the south...then snow will move north of Highway 70 in the afternoon...meanwhile the southern counties will be mainly a mix of -ra/-sn. Saturday through sunday: a secondary cold front will push through the area Friday night into early Saturday...bringing even colder/drier airmass into the region.Very strong high pressure will build into the region from the northwest. The 850mb temperatures will plummet by Sunday by the way -15c to -20c with low level thickness dropping into the 1225-1240m range. This will bring very cold temperatures across the area...with high struggling to reach freezing on Sunday. Saturday's highs...middle 30s/upper 30s and sunday's highs in the upper 20s/low 30s. Overnight lows...mid/upper teens to low 20s for both Saturday Sunday night. Monday through Wednesday...the long wave trough axis and surface high pressure will shift offshore on Monday as the next shortwave comes in from the Central Plains and developing a surface low develop off the Carolina coast. Increased probability of precipitation for Monday and Tuesday as the best chances with precipitation. Precipitation could begin as -ra/-sn mix Monday morning before transitioning to all rain. The surface low will lift to the northeast as the trough axis swings across eastern NC Tuesday night. Surface high pressure will build in from southwest. Temperatures will begin to rebound Monday as highs are expected to reach into the 40s Monday... in the low 50s Tuesday and by Wednesday middle 50s. && Aviation /02z Thursday through Monday/... short term /through Thursday/... as of 645 PM Wednesday...high confidence in VFR conditions through the taf period. High based cumulus ceilings early this evening will clear by 06z with clear skies then prevailing through Thursday as a cold/dry Canadian airmass persists across the region. Gusty westerly winds this evening will diminish overnight then become northwest Thursday with gusts again of 15 to 20 knots expected in the afternoon. Long term /Thursday night through Monday/... as of 330 PM Wednesday...mainly VFR conditions for most of the forecast period...except for Friday and Monday. MVFR conditions will be likely Friday as a surface low develops/strengths along the Carolina coast...bringing the threat of mix wintry precipitation across the area. VFR conditions returns late Friday night as a cold front will push through with high pressure building behind it and will continue through Sunday. Possible MVFR conditions for Monday with the development of a surface low to the southeast coast. && Marine... short term /tonight and Thursday/... as of 920 PM Wednesday...no changes. Westerly becoming northwesterly winds are forecast to increase tonight as the pressure gradient tightens with speeds again 20 to 30 knots...similar to last night. Winds will diminish to 10 to 20 knots Thursday afternoon. Seas have subsided from last nights 10 feet levels but will remain in the 4-7 foot range tonight into Thursday as the winds increase. No changes to current small craft advisories at this time through the short term period. Long term /Thursday night through Monday/... as of 330 PM Wednesday...poor boating conditions will be expected for most of the forecast period...except for Friday. High pressure will be built to the north...meanwhile a low pressure system will develop/strength over the southeast/Carolina coast on Friday. Winds will shift from the northwest to NE 10-15 knots and seas 2 to 3 feet Friday. Winds and sea will increase again early Saturday on the backside of the surface low and ahead of the cold front. Small Craft Advisory conditions will re-develop late Friday night/early Saturday into Sunday over the coastal waters/Pamlico Sound. Northwest winds 20-30 knots with seas building 5-8ft. Winds are expected to peak Saturday night into early Sunday...with possible gale force wind gusts. && Mhx watches/warnings/advisories... NC...none. Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for amz135-150- 156-158. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST Thursday night for amz152-154. && $$ Synopsis...ctc near term...jme/ctc short term...ctc long term...bm aviation...jme/ctc/bm marine...jme/ctc/jbm/bm tides/coastal flooding...mhx