Updated: 10:00 AM EST on January 29, 2015
Partly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 46F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 32F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 43F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Clear. Low of 18F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 25F with a windchill as low as 18F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. High of 46F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of snow and a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 30F with a windchill as low as 23F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 5 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 70% .
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Clear. Low of 18F with a windchill as low as 9F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. High of 36F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.
Partly cloudy. Low of 19F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 14F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 34F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 21F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Fog early. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: APRSWXNET Purdy VA US, Freeman, VA
Updated: 8:49 AM EST
|Temperature: 23 °F||Dew Point: 21 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.35 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 23 °F||Graphs|
Location: purdy, Purdy, VA
Updated: 9:19 AM EST
|Temperature: 25.8 °F||Dew Point: 24 °F||Humidity: 91%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.35 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 26 °F||Graphs|
Location: Brink, Emporia, VA
Updated: 9:11 AM EST
|Temperature: 27.9 °F||Dew Point: 22 °F||Humidity: 78%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.35 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
Location: Roanoke Rapids Lake, Roanoke Rapids, NC
Updated: 9:19 AM EST
|Temperature: 29.5 °F||Dew Point: 19 °F||Humidity: 65%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.22 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
Updated: 8:40 AM EST
|Temperature: 25 °F||Dew Point: 16 °F||Humidity: 67%||Wind: North at 2 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 25 °F||Graphs|
Updated: 9:06 AM EST
|Temperature: 30.2 °F||Dew Point: 10 °F||Humidity: 43%||Wind: ESE at 1.7 mph||Pressure: 30.28 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
Location: Stony Creek, Stony Creek, VA
Updated: 9:13 AM EST
|Temperature: 24.5 °F||Dew Point: 20 °F||Humidity: 83%||Wind: North at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 30.34 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 24 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 710 am EST Thursday Jan 29 2015 Synopsis... high pressure will slide to the southeast today. A cold front crosses the region late tonight. Cold high pressure then returns to the middle Atlantic region late Friday through Saturday night. A low pressure system moving out of the Gulf Coast states will affect the area Sunday into Monday. && Near term /through tonight/... high pressure over the area this morning will slide south-southeast through the day as another clipper system crosses the Great Lakes and approaches the northeast U.S. Today. Breezy south winds will develop from west to east this afternoon as the surface pressure gradient tightens up between the high shifting south-southeast and the approaching clipper system. The mixing should help temperatures warm to near normal values west...with high temperatures slightly below normal east. Overall highs will be in the middle to upper 40s (low-middle 40s Northern Neck and Maryland/Virginia eastern shore). High clouds between 15-20kft will also increase from west to east through the day and may hamper temperatures from warming another degree or two but expect mixing to overcome this... especially across the western half of the County Warning Area. A warm front lifting through the area late this afternoon/early evening will provide a focus for precipitation ahead of the cold front associated with the clipper system. At the onset...precipitation is expected to develop late afternoon/early evening north of Richmond from roughly Louisa to Salisbury and then shift over the Maryland lower Eastern Shore this evening before lifting well north of the area. Wet bulb zero heights begin around 6kft and temperatures will be warm enough to support mainly rain. There is a brief period of lift through the bottom portions of the dendritic growth zone (00-03z)...therefore there is a slight chance of sleet briefly mixing with rain over the Northern Neck/Maryland Eastern Shore after dark. Precipitation will come to an end late in the evening as best moisture/energy lifts north of the middle Atlantic region. Moisture continues to be very limited with quantitative precipitation forecast amts no higher than 0.03 inches at best. The cold frontal passage is centered around 06z (1 am) and is expected to be offshore by daybreak. Cold air advection and drying aloft will commence after midnight and unstable low-level lapse rates will allow westerly winds to remain breezy overnight. Expect lows in the lower 30s northwest to upper 30s far southeast. && Short term /Friday through Saturday night/... Friday will be a cold brisk day under mostly sunny skies as a Canadian high pressure builds over the Ohio Valley...resulting in a very tight surface pressure gradient. Gusty northwest winds of 30-35 miles per hour will develop by middle morning and persist into Friday evening before diminishing over inland areas. Closer to the coast...winds may gust up to 40 miles per hour at times during the day and then remain gusty to around 30 miles per hour Friday night. Cold air advection will be in full force Friday into Friday night as an upper trough swings across the middle Atlantic region. High temperatures will run about 5-7 degrees below normal despite the well-mixed environment. Expect highs in the low-middle 40s (upper 30s Northern Neck and Maryland/Virginia eastern shore). Low Friday night in the upper teens north and west of Richmond... lower 20s elsewhere...under mostly clear skies. The combination of wind and cold temperatures will keep wind chill values in the upper 20s to middle 30s during the day Friday...and from 5-15 degrees Friday night. The Canadian high pressure settles over the middle Atlantic region Sat/Sat night with a continuation of cold and dry conditions. Highs in the lower 40s most areas...upper 30s along the coast from the Northern Neck to Virginia Beach...and in the low-middle 30s Maryland/Virginia Eastern Shore. Northwest winds remain breezy along the coast on Sat with gusts of 25-30 miles per hour and wind chills ranging from the middle-upper 30s SW to low-middle 20s NE. Lows Sat night in the 20s with increasing clouds from SW to NE overnight. && Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/... timing differences along with some significant 12z model changes makes this a low confidence forecast sun into Monday. GFS much faster in bringing precipitation across the middle atlntc region Sunday than both the European model (ecmwf) and Canadian. The quicker GFS solution would lead to p-type issues across northern most counties Sunday while the slower solutions would mainly be rain (or a rain wet snow mix across the north) in the afternoon. Conversely...the GFS is quicker to end precipitation late Sunday night while the slower solutions keep precipitation going for the better part of Monday with colder air oozing south. With the above in mind...tried to blend the forecast as much as possible knowing that later model runs should shed better light on the systm. Dry and cold Sat night with increasing cloudiness. Lows in the 20s xcpt l30s southeastern coastal areas. Kept a bit of forecast continuity and brought low chance probability of precipitation across western counties Sunday morning. Thicknesses suggest some sleet possible at the start across northwestern most counties with rain ovrsprdg the forecast area Sunday afternoon as the low prs tracks across northern Virginia. Highs in the 40s as the cold air lurks just north of the forecast area. Likely rain Sunday evening across the forecast area...but lowered to chance probability of precipitation aftr midnight. Kept a rain/snow mix across northern most counties late as the precipitation ends. Any p type issues will all depend on how fast the colder air to the north can come south before precipitation ends. Lows Sunday night in the 30s to near 40 across NC NE counties near the Albemarle sand. Split mondays forecast up into 2 segments as well. Chance rain along and east of I-95 in the morning...drying it out in the afternoon as the trailing front clears the coast. Could even see a rain/snow mix across the lower Maryland Eastern Shore Erly Monday. Highs in the u30s north to M-u40s S. Canadian high prs builds into the area Monday night through Tuesday night. Lows Monday night uteens to u20s. Highs Tuesday in the 30s. Lows Tuesday night in the 20s to near 30. Yet anthr moist southern stream systm prognosticated to come out of the Gulf Coast states and move NE along the southeastern coast Wednesday. This systm bears watching as the cold air may be harder to dislodge. Went with chance probability of precipitation (liquid) for now with highs 40-45. && Aviation /12z Thursday through Monday/... mainly clear skies (some high cirrus) with high pressure over the region as of 12z. High pressure moves offshore later today as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The wind will become southerly along with an increase in middle/high clouds...skies generally becoming broken/overcast by 18z but ceilings remain 10-15k feet. The cold front will cross the area late tonight with only a slight chance of -shra along and north of a ric-sby line...and perhaps precipitation ending as a mix of -rasn at sby. Ceilings will average 5-10 k feet. A gusty northwest wind is expected Friday with gusts to 30 knots (maybe as high as 35 knots at ksby) as Canadian high pressure builds in from the northwest. That area of high pressure slides across the region Friday night and Saturday...with a more moist frontal system impacting the region Sunday into Monday. && Marine... extended sca's through 10 am for NC coastal waters...otherwise all headlines have ended in the near term. Only a brief period of "sub sca" conditions today before the next system approaches from the west. North winds become rather light by middle-late morning...then shift to the south-southeast this afternoon and eventually the south-southwest tonight. Have raised Small Craft Advisory headlines over northern portions of the marine area later this evening as south-southwest winds increase ahead of the cold front. Still...the more significant event comes Friday/Friday night in the wake of the cold front as very cold airmass will bring optimal mixing in what will already be a strong gradient wind. Have raised gale warnings for most of the region...with strong sca's expected for the upper James and Currituck Sound. Winds are expected to gust to 35-40 knots across the southern coastal waters and the Bay...with 40-45 knots over coastal waters north of Parramore Island. Rappahannock/York and lower James will be more marginal for gales but decided to go for it due to the optimal mixing scenario and 900 mb winds prognosticated to be close to 40 knots. Given temperatures falling below 30 degrees...freezing spray remains in forecast with the potential for a freezing spray advisory across northern coastal waters where air temperatures in the l20s are expeceted. Seas/waves quickly increase in response to the gusty winds. Seas average 7-10 feet with Bay waves 4-6 feet during this period. Cndtns begin to improve Sat afternoon/night as the Canadian high tracks over the region. Next system is anticipated to track into the area from the southwest late sun into Monday. Will likely see anthr round of sca's with this systm. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...Gale Warning from 10 am Friday to midnight EST Friday night for anz630>632-634>636-638. Small Craft Advisory from 10 am Friday to 6 am EST Saturday for anz633-637. Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 am EST Friday for anz630-631-650-652. Gale Warning from 10 am Friday to 6 am EST Saturday for anz650- 652-654. Gale Warning from 1 PM Friday to midnight EST Friday night for anz656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 10 am EST this morning for anz658. && $$ Synopsis...bmd near term...bmd short term...bmd long term...mpr aviation...lkb/dap marine...lkb/mpr