Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on October 22, 2014
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 68F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 68F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.
Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 55F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: purdy, Purdy, VA
Updated: 7:00 PM EDT
|Temperature: 55.4 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 83%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.94 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Brink, Emporia, VA
Updated: 6:58 PM EDT
|Temperature: 55.7 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 81%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Roanoke Rapids Lake, Gaston, NC
Updated: 7:00 PM EDT
|Temperature: 57.0 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 78%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.43 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Roanoke Rapids Lake, Roanoke Rapids, NC
Updated: 7:00 PM EDT
|Temperature: 58.9 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 72%||Wind: NW at 11.0 mph||Pressure: 29.81 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Stony Creek, Stony Creek, VA
Updated: 6:45 PM EDT
|Temperature: 56.0 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 79%||Wind: NNW at 7.0 mph||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 534 PM EDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014 Synopsis... low pressure will intensify while slowly tracking northeast off the middle Atlantic coast through Friday. Unsettled conditions will prevail into tonight...followed by drier conditions and a warming trend Thursday and Friday. && Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/... latest msas analysis shows 1005 mb surface low about 100 miles east of the Maryland Eastern Shore...with a stacked upper low following suit and tracking slow NE just offshore. Best instability remains offshore this afternoon in vicinity of the low pressure area...where some thunderstorm activity is still ongoing. Elsewhere...wrap around moisture continues to bring light rain/drizzle southward along the I-95 corridor...though this activity has trended weaker in the past few hours. Still seeing some breaks in the clouds across our SW zones...where temperatures were able to warm into the middle 60s. Low pressure will continue to deepen and shift NE through tonight... locating off the New Jersey coast by 12z Thursday. Will keep high probability of precipitation across our eastern zones into this evening as the wrap around precipitation continues to drop south. Precipitation should continue to trend lighter along the I-95 corridor...with light rain becoming just drizzle/sprinkles before ending after sunset. By late evening and overnight...remaining chance probability of precipitation will be limited to far eastern Virginia and especially the Eastern Shore. Clouds will continue to decrease across the SW...with sky conditions becoming partly to mostly clear overnight. Mostly cloudy elsewhere. Remaining breezy to windy along the coast...especially NE sections. Lows in the low 40s west to around 50 at the coast. && Short term /6 am Thursday morning through Saturday/... low pressure tracks quickly NE off the New England coast Thursday and Friday. Meanwhile...high pressure will gradually build in from the Ohio Valley. Pressure gradient remains tight between these two features Thursday...allowing breezy/windy conditions to continue. Highest winds will be along the coast where gusts of 30-35 miles per hour will occur...15-25 miles per hour elsewhere. A 20% pop will be maintained for the Eastern Shore...dry elsewhere. Still enough residual low level moisture and a cold pool aloft for skies to average out mostly cloudy NE to partly to mostly sunny SW. Highs in the upper 50s/around 60 on the Maryland Eastern Shore...to the upper 60s for interior NE NC and south central Virginia. Mostly clear SW to partly cloudy NE Thursday night with lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Low pressure moves farther NE and away from the local area on Friday allowing for mainly sunny conds...diminishing winds...and milder temperatures. Highs Friday in the middle 60s NE to around 70 f SW. High pressure remains in control Saturday for dry and pleasant conditions. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. && Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/... a weak trough clips the northern middle-Atlantic Saturday night and quickly moves off the coast Sunday. A high amplitude middle/upper level ridge builds over the eastern US Monday and Tuesday...with the axis shifting offshore by Wednesday. Given this...dry conditions will prevail through Wednesday. High temperatures should average in the upper 60s to around 70 Sunday...and trend upward into the low/middle 70s by Monday through Wednesday. Lows through the period should average from the low/middle 40s northwest...to the low/middle 50s for southeast coastal locations. A cold front approaches from the northwest later in the period. 22/12z GFS/European model (ecmwf) each have trended somewhat wetter as a wave of low pressure develops along the front. However...moisture appears to be rather limited. && Aviation /22z Wednesday through Monday/... surface low pressure will continue to deepen offshore and slowly shift to the NE through the 18z taf period. Mostly MVFR ceilings will prevail as moisture pulled from the south is wrapped around the storm and into the mid-Atlantic. Due to the added moisture and upper level support...scattered pockets of rain/showers will last through the evening...ending the latest over the Eastern Shore. With that being said...there is evidence of drier air being pulled into the system over south central Virginia with ceilings ~5k feet. Expect this drier air to make its way east as the system moves farther offshore. Winds will remain elevated overnight(~15-20kt) and Thursday aftn(~20-25kt) as the pressure gradient remains strong between the departing low and a surface high approaching from the west. VFR conditions are expected tonight/Thursday morning through the weekend as high pressure makes its way over the Ohio River valley and into the Tennessee River valley. && Marine... low pressure continues to intensify off the middle Atlantic coast this afternoon. A north-northwest wind should continue to increase over the next few hours and average 25-30kt...with gusts to around 40kt through the evening (20-25kt...with gusts to around 30kt over the rivers). Seas should build to 6-9ft north through S out near 20nm...with 4-6ft seas nearshore...and 3-5ft waves in the Bay. The low begins to slowly lift NE late tonight and reaches a position off of Cape Cod Thursday afternoon/Friday evening. Wind speeds gradually diminish through this time...but should remain within Small Craft Advisory criteria. The gradient finally slackens enough for Small Craft Advisory conditions to subside Friday night. Another boundary crosses the region Saturday night bringing the potential for another period of Small Craft Advisory conditions. High pressure eventually builds over the area Monday through Wednesday. && Tides/coastal flooding... tidal departures in vicinity of Ocean City Inlet will average around 1.5ft above normal during high tide this evening and Thursday morning. The current forecast has Ocean City Inlet falling just below minor thresholds this evening and exceeding minor during high tide Thursday morning as the astronomical tide will be a few tenths higher. With a north-northwest wind...the main areas of concern will be along the shorelines of Assawoman and chincoteauge bays...and the adjacent ocean inlets. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 5 am EDT Friday for anz635>638. Gale Warning until 1 PM EDT Thursday for anz630>632-634-656- 658. Gale Warning until 1 am EDT Thursday for anz633. Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT Thursday for anz650-652-654. && $$ Synopsis...jdm near term...jdm short term...jdm/lkb long term...ajz aviation...dap marine...ajz tides/coastal flooding...ajz