Boykins, Virginia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 46°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: SE 7 mph
  • Humidity: 40%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 23°
  • Pressure: 30.01 in. -
  • Heat Index: 43

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Next 12 Hours

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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Rain
  • High: 55 °
  • Low: 19 °
  • Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 50 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 14 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Boykins, Virginia

Updated: 10:00 PM EST on February 01, 2015

  • Sunday

    Overcast. High of 52F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain after midnight. Low of 45F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with rain in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 55F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 19F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 50F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 32F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 20 to 25 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 14F. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the East in the afternoon.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 25F with a windchill as low as 16F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 50F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the ENE in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the ENE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Monday

    Clear with a chance of snow. High of 41F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 25F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: APRSWXNET Conway NC US, Conway, NC

Updated: 8:00 PM EST

Temperature: 48 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: SSW at 5 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Conway - 35S, Conway, NC

Updated: 8:40 PM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: SSE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Ashley's Grove, Conway, NC

Updated: 8:41 PM EST

Temperature: 49.1 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: SSE at 12.0 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Aaron's Weather Service, Franklin, VA

Updated: 8:40 PM EST

Temperature: 46.9 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: SSE at 13.3 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Carrsville Fire Station, Carrsville, VA

Updated: 8:27 PM EST

Temperature: 46.5 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Brink, Emporia, VA

Updated: 8:37 PM EST

Temperature: 49.2 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 
816 PM EST sun Feb 1 2015 


Synopsis... 
low pressure over the middle Mississippi Valley will track across the 
Ohio Valley and into Pennsylvania tonight...and re-develop off the 
New Jersey coast Monday morning. Canadian high pressure returns to 
the region Tuesday and shifts offshore Wednesday. 


&& 


Near term /through Monday/... 
latest surface analysis indicates a deepening ~1000mb surface low 
over Ohio/in border at 01z/8pm...with a cold front trailing back 
through the middle south into the lower Mississippi Valley...an a 
warm front extending east-northeast across west PA/NY. Surface high pressure is 
now well off the southeast coast. Aloft...a vigorous shortwave 
trough is dropping through the Missouri Valley this evening 
resulting the aforementioned strengthening low over the Midwest. 


Have made some minor changes to pop this evening and overnight. 
Have noted some rain showers moving from the Blue Ridge across our far 
western zones...so have nudged pop up across the west over the 
next few hours. Not expecting much quantitative precipitation forecast from this first wave of light 
overrunning moisture, with bulk of rain showers coming after midnight. 
Did increase pop into 40-50% range from midnight on along the southeast 
coast west/influx of warm, moist southerly flow, with probability of precipitation gradually ramping 
up overnight (categorical pop after 09z. Partial thicknesses 
support rain throughout the evening...but given the dry air 
initially...the onset of precipitation could be a brief mix of -ra/ice pellets 
across the Northern Neck/Eastern Shore...though not substantial enough 
(surface temperatures upper 30s/low 40s) to include in the grids. 
The surface airmass is expected to modify through the night as 
return flow develops across the region due to the low tracking north 
of the area. "Overnight" lows occurring at this time west/ temperatures in the upper 
30s/low 40s. Look for rising temperatures overnight ranging from 
the upper 40s northwest...to middle/upper 50s southeast by 12z Monday. 


Monday... 
likely to categorical probability of precipitation will be maintained for the entire area 
12-15z Monday...and in far southeast location this should be the period 
of most significant rainfall. A quick drying trend commences from 
15-18z over most of the area...but likely to categorical probability of precipitation will 
be maintained for the eastern third of the area through 18z. Total quantitative precipitation forecast 
should average around 0.5 in...with up to 0.75 in across the Maryland 
Eastern Shore. Otherwise...probability of precipitation along the coast quickly drop off to 
20-30% during the afternoon. The day will begin cloudy across the 
area with interior Virginia/NC becoming partly sunny by afternoon. The 
day will begin warm...and cold air advection will likely wait until after 
sunset...so highs should range from the upper 40s/around 50 f far 
northwest...to 55-60 f across most of the area. A gusty northwest wind will 
develop as clearing/drying arrives Monday afternoon...with speeds 
averaging around 20 miles per hour...with gusts to 30-35 miles per hour. 


&& 


Short term /Monday night through Wednesday/... 
deep layer northwest flow prevails Monday night...and backs to westerly 
Tuesday. This will allow surface high pressure (and associated caa) 
to build into the region Monday night...with the high locating along 
the coast by Tuesday afternoon. Lows Monday night should fall into 
the middle teens northwest...to low 20s southeast under a mostly clear sky. Highs 
Tuesday will be below normal and range from the low/middle 30s northwest...to 
low 40s SW. 


A split flow pattern will prevail Tuesday night and Wednesday...with 
the middle-Atlantic region largely situated between quasi-zonal northern 
stream flow and a moist southern stream along the Gulf Coast. This will 
result in dry conditions...with sky cover averaging partly cloudy 
across northern portions and mostly clear/sunny across southern portions. 
Surface high pressure moves offshore Tuesday night and 
Wednesday...which will allow temperatures to moderate. Lows Tuesday 
night should average 25-30...followed by highs Wednesday in the 
upper 40s/around 50 from the northwest Piedmont to the Maryland Eastern Shore...and 
the low/middle 50s across central/southeast Virginia and NE NC. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday night through Sunday/... 
GFS/European model (ecmwf) in very good agreement with regard to overall pattern and 
tangible weather during the days 4-7 period. Overall... 
temperatures should be below normal...with no big precipitation events in 
the extended period. European model (ecmwf) has trended toward GFS with regard to 
frontal wave and associated cold frontal passage on Thursday. 
Expect some light precipitation...either rain and/or snow to be produced 
in association with the frontal passage. Behind the 
front...another brief cold surge builds in for Thursday night 
through Saturday...with high pressure in control. 


Another polar/Arctic front is forecast to move southward into the region 
Saturday night/Sunday...with a wave forecast to develop Sunday 
night. European model (ecmwf)/GFS do diverge at this point with regard to where the 
wave will develop...and therefore what type of precipitation might 
impact the County Warning Area during that time. GFS is further west and 
warmer...with European model (ecmwf)...as it has for the last 1-2 months...suggesting 
a winter weather event. Have gone in between the 2 models...with chance 
of rain and/or snow...and capped probability of precipitation at 40 percent. 


&& 


Aviation /01z Monday through Friday/... 
dry air below 10k feet will be replaced by moist conditions toward 
midnight with increasing southerly flow ahead of a fast moving low 
pressure system in the Ohio Valley. Precipitation in SW Virginia will spread 
eastward and develop at the taf sites during the early morning 
hours. IFR conditions should hold off until the low levels become 
saturated by the precipitation. With the area becoming warm sectored... 
confidence in IFR is not high...especially at phf orf and ecg. 
Included at least a few hours of IFR at all taf sites as the NAM 
bufr soundings would suggest it will occur. Winds shift to westerly 
early Monday afternoon as a cold front sweeps across the area from west 
to east. Precipitation ends and conditions improve with the frontal passage. 


Outlook...high pressure returns Tuesday. The next cold front crosses 
the region Wednesday night-Thursday morning with a chance for precipitation 
mainly on Thursday. 


&& 


Marine... 
have made only minor adjustments to previous forecast in the short 
term...which will be dominated by surface low and associated cold front 
moving through the region tonight/Monday. Will upgrade to glw in 
areas where a gale watch is currently in effect. However...there 
will be a prolonged period of Small Craft Advisory criteria wind before strongest 
cold advection surge moves in late Monday afternoon/Monday evening. 
Winds drop off quickly on Tuesday as high pressure builds into the 
region. 


High moves offshore Tuesday night...with next front forecast to 
cross the region Thursday and Thursday evening. GFS/European model (ecmwf) have some 
into better agreement with the evolution of this front across the 
area...and have followed them closely. Winds expected to be weaker 
ahead of this front...remaining below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Behind the 
front...another good cold surge should send winds well into Small Craft Advisory 
criteria Thursday into Thursday night. 


&& 


Akq watches/warnings/advisories... 
Maryland...none. 
NC...none. 
Virginia...none. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM EST Monday 
for anz630>638. 
Gale Warning from 6 PM Monday to 6 am EST Tuesday for 
anz630>632-634-650-652-654-656-658. 
Small Craft Advisory from 4 am to 6 PM EST Monday for anz650- 
652-654-656-658. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...ajz/lkb 
near term...ajz/mam 
short term...ajz/lkb 
long term...worse 
aviation...lsa 
marine...worse 



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