Updated: 10:00 PM EST on December 19, 2014
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 20% .
Mostly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of snow and rain showers. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
Overcast with rain. High of 46F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Clear. Low of 36F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 54F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of 50F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 46F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Conway - 35S, Conway, NC
Updated: 1:32 AM EST
|Temperature: 31.0 °F||Dew Point: 26 °F||Humidity: 83%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.24 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 31 °F||Graphs|
Location: Ashley's Grove, Conway, NC
Updated: 1:32 AM EST
|Temperature: 31.1 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 87%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.19 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 31 °F||Graphs|
Location: Aaron's Weather Service, Franklin, VA
Updated: 1:32 AM EST
|Temperature: 28.2 °F||Dew Point: 25 °F||Humidity: 89%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.38 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
Location: Carrsville Fire Station, Carrsville, VA
Updated: 1:18 AM EST
|Temperature: 30.0 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 90%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 27.21 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
Location: Brink, Emporia, VA
Updated: 1:24 AM EST
|Temperature: 32.4 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 83%||Wind: North at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 30.24 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 32 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 1258 am EST Sat Dec 20 2014 Synopsis... weak low pressure will track from the Gulf of Mexico eastward and off the southeast coast late tonight through Saturday night. High pressure will be over the area again during Sunday. Another low pressure area moves northeast out of the Gulf of Mexico and up along the coast late Sunday night through Monday night. && Near term /through today/... quiet across the forecast area this evening as upper/surface high pressure builds into the region. Light northerly winds...thin high clouds and dewpoints in the low-middle 20s have allowed temperatures to quickly drop into the low-middle 30s inland and upper 30s near the coast this evening. Upstream shortwave energy and increasing moisture will thicken and lower the cloud deck. Increasing clouds and models suggest temperatures will level off through the overnight...falling into the middle-upper 20s. 295k surface depicts increasing isentropic lift over the region by late tonight as small amplitude shortwave energy lifts into the region. Winds aloft also increase. However...conditions pressure deficit and bufr soundings depict too much dry air for any forcing to overcome. The result will be a dry forecast through the overnight. Sat...system from the Gulf continues to remain shunted off to our south as middle level flow remains fairly zonal. NAM/GFS still show some forcing aloft making way into Piedmont between 12-18z/Sat and BUFKIT soundings show some modest lift through the dendritic growth layer. Ptype across the Piedmont would tend to be snow/sleet Sat am although surface temperatures should be above 32 f (sfc wet bulbs in the upper 20s initially). Low levels remain quite dry however...so any precipitation will be very light (genly a few hundredths if that...with a trace more likely). Thus...will only go with 30% probability of precipitation at most. By late morning/early afternoon...area of forcing over the Piedmont/central Virginia weakens as the surface low pushes off the southeast coast. Will carry low chance probability of precipitation in far southeast zones (all rain) through the afternoon (although most of the precipitation should stay S of the cwa). Cloudy to mostly cloudy west/ highs generally 40-45 f Sat. && Short term /tonight through Monday/... surface high pressure noses south into the region Sat night/sun...with dry conds then for Sat night and sun. Lows in the 20s north to the 30s southeast Sat night...with highs mainly from 45-50 f on sun. Next system...this one more amplified will affect the area on Monday...with likely probability of precipitation all zones by late Monday am/Monday afternoon. Looks like all rain aside from a brief mix possible at onset in far northwest counties. Highs Monday only around 40 f northwest to the middle 50s far southeast in cad setup. && Long term /Monday night through Friday/... low pressure lifts to the NE Monday night with probability of precipitation diminishing from SW-NE overnight. Middle-level ridging briefly builds into the region Tuesday. However...moist southerly flow originating from the Gulf Stream will prevail so low chance (30%) probability of precipitation will be maintained. A very dynamic system lifts north-northeast west of the Appalachians Tuesday night with the attendant cold front crossing the middle-Atlantic Wednesday. The first potential of rain arrives Tuesday night associated with moist warm air advection. The second potential will be Wednesday ahead of the cold front. There is a potential for thunder Wednesday as surface dewpoints potentially exceed 60f (especially over the coastal plain). The pattern does support the possibility of a dynamically forced line of convection containing strong wind gusts as current forecast guidance suggests a 925-700mb wind field averaging 40-50kt. This would be a climatologically rarity this time of year...so confidence is on the low-side given that this is 5-6 days out. Temperatures will be very mild ahead of the front Tuesday and Wednesday...with highs averaging from the middle 50s northwest...to middle/upper 60s southeast. Dry and breezy conditions will likely prevail by Christmas day...with high temperatures of 50-55. The flow becomes more SW by Friday with current forecast highs of 55-60...but 60-65 is possible based on low-level thickness fields. && Aviation /06z Saturday through Wednesday/... VFR conds in place across the region this morning, with predominately VFR conds to persist through the taf period. High pressure will continue to ridge south across the region from the eastern Great Lakes/northeast through the taf period, as an upper level disturbance moves across the southeast toward the Carolinas today, while associated weak surface low moves across the southeast today and tonight. East flow will allow for lowering ceilings through the morning, with overcast at 5-8 kft above ground level expected through afternoon. Forcing will be enough for some spotty light rain shras, mainly in far southern portions of the area. Periodic MVFR ceilings will be possible across phf/orf/ecg after 18z. However, rain should be light enough to preclude any visibility restrictions. Outlook...any precipitation comes to an end early Saturday evening and conditions will gradually improve from west to east through the rest of Sat night. High pressure builds to the north of the area Sunday. A series of low pressure systems and complex frontal boundaries will bring chances for rain and periods of low ceilings and visibilities beginning Monday. && Marine... high pressure remains northwest of the region tonight...with lingering light cold air advection along the coast. This will maintain a 10-15kt north-northwest wind overnight...with 2-3ft seas in the ocean and 1-2ft waves in the Bay. High pressure spreads across New England Saturday and Saturday night...with the surface ridge axis remaining inland over the Piedmont. This will maintain light (5-10kt) northerly flow over the marine area. High pressure moves farther east Sunday and Sunday night...as low pressure develops off the southeast coast Sunday night...and then tracks NE off the middle Atlantic coast Monday and Monday night. The surface pressure gradient tightens ahead of the low Monday...which has the potential to produce 15-20kt easterly flow over the ocean and Lower Bay. This onshore flow could produce a period of Small Craft Advisory conditions especially over the southern ocean zones (mainly for seas) and Lower Bay/mouth of James. There is no cold air advection in the wake of this low...so sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions should prevail later Monday night into Tuesday. A strong low pressure system tracks west of the mountains Tuesday night...with a strong cold front crossing the middle Atlantic coast later Wednesday. Small Craft Advisory conditions are likely Wednesday night into Christmas day as high pressure builds in from the west-northwest. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...none. && $$ Synopsis...lkb near term...lkb/Sam short term...lkb/mas long term...ajz/mas aviation...mam/lsa marine...ajz