Updated: 5:00 AM EDT on October 22, 2014
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 61F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 39F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 68F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Clear with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Conway - 35S, Conway, NC
Updated: 3:54 AM EDT
|Temperature: 53.4 °F||Dew Point: 49 °F||Humidity: 85%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.85 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Ashley's Grove, Conway, NC
Updated: 3:54 AM EDT
|Temperature: 53.3 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 90%||Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph||Pressure: 29.81 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Aaron's Weather Service, Franklin, VA
Updated: 3:54 AM EDT
|Temperature: 52.9 °F||Dew Point: 50 °F||Humidity: 90%||Wind: WSW at 8.3 mph||Pressure: 29.97 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Carrsville Fire Station, Carrsville, VA
Updated: 3:40 AM EDT
|Temperature: 53.4 °F||Dew Point: 51 °F||Humidity: 92%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 27.57 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Brink, Emporia, VA
Updated: 3:42 AM EDT
|Temperature: 50.4 °F||Dew Point: 49 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 29.86 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Updated: 12:00 AM EDT
|Temperature: 58 °F||Dew Point: 52 °F||Humidity: 79%||Wind: NNW at 5 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 350 am EDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014 Synopsis... low pressure will intensify while slowly tracking northeast off the middle Atlantic coast today through Friday. Cool and unsettled conditions will prevail today...followed by drier conditions and a slow warming trend Thursday and Friday. && Near term /through tonight/... latest analysis shows ~1008 mb surface low pressure deepening off the southeast Virginia/NE NC coast...with strong upper low centered over west central Virginia. Area of showers overspreading Piedmont early this morning under the cold pool aloft...with another area of scattered showers and thunderstorms pushing off the southeast Virginia/NE NC coast associated west/ surface cold front and wind shift boundary. Latest rap and Storm Prediction Center mesoanalysis shows cape on the order of 300-500 j/kg as of 07z...shifting offshore prior to 12z so will maintain mention of thunderstorms along the coast through that timeframe. Otherwise...should be too stable in low levels for any additional thunderstorms. Later today...closed upper low slowly pushes east-southeast and should be centered offshore by 15-18z. Will carry likely to categorical (60-80%) probability of precipitation over much of the County Warning Area through late morning as deep moisture and lift will be favorable through this period (chc probability of precipitation across south central Virginia and interior NE NC where less moisture resides). As the upper low pivots offshore...drier air aloft will move into the region and should end much chance for measurable precipitation this afternoon over south central Virginia and interior NE NC...while favorable lift and moisture persist over NE portions of the County Warning Area. Will maintain likely to Cat probability of precipitation on the Eastern Shore through the afternoon...tapered to 20% or lower from SW side of metropolitan Richmond on SW. Clouds will be slow to break up however...may see some peeks of sun across south central Virginia by middle-late afternoon but overall it will stay bkn/ovc. Favor cooler end of guidance for highs...generally no better than the lower 60s over most areas..ranging from lower to middle 60s across the far south...to the upper 50s/around 60 f over the northern zones from Caroline County on west. Other feature to note will be the increasing northwest winds by afternoon as the surface low intensifies fairly rapidly off the coast. Gusts to 25-35 miles per hour will be possible by later afternoon/evening (especially near the coast). The closed low moves farther NE tonight. High chance to likely probability of precipitation will be confined to the Eastern Shore this evening...generally only 20% probability of precipitation or lower elsewhere after 00z. Decreasing clouds are also expected across interior Virginia/NC overnight. Remaining breezy to windy especially NE sections. Lows in the low-middle 40s along and west of I-95 to the low 50s near the coast. && Short term /Thursday through Friday/... pressure gradient will remain tight in between sub 1000 mb surface low off Long Island and 1020 mb surface high over the Ohio/Tennessee Valley. Expect breezy to windy conditions with gusts to 35 miles per hour across the Eastern Shore...25-30 miles per hour elsewhere. A 20% pop will be maintained for the Eastern Shore...dry elsewhere. Still enough residual low level moisture and a cold pool aloft for skies to average out mostly cloudy North/East to partly sunny short wave (maybe mostly sunny over the far sw). Highs in the upper 50s/around 60 f on the Maryland Eastern Shore...to the middle-upper 60s SW. Low pressure moves farther NE and away from the local area on Friday allowing for mainly sunny conds...diminishing winds...and milder temperatures. High Friday in the middle 60s NE to around 70 f SW. && Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/... low pressure lifts well to the NE Friday night and Saturday as upper ridging expands eastward from the central US. A weak trough clips the northern middle-Atlantic Saturday night and quickly moves off the coast Sunday. A high amplitude middle/upper level ridge builds over the eastern US Monday and Tuesday...with the axis shifting offshore by midweek. Given this...dry conditions will prevail through the medium range period. High temperatures should average in the upper 60s to around 70 Saturday and Sunday...and trend upward into the low/middle by Monday and Tuesday (perhaps warmer tuesday). Lows should average from the low/middle 40s northwest...to the low/middle 50s for southeast coastal locations. && Aviation /08z Wednesday through Sunday/... low pressure will develop off the northern middle Atlantic CST this morng...then will continue to intensify as it moves slowly NE off the New England and Canadian Maritimes csts today through Friday. Upper level low will swing over the area then off the CST today into this eveng...bringing lower ceilings (mvfr/possibly ifr) and -ra to the taf sites. Northwest or north winds will pick up later this morng and remain rather strong and gusty into tonight most taf sites. -Ra will last the longest over the lower Maryland/Virginia eastern shr. Breezy/windy over eastern half of the region through Thursday...as strong low gradually moves away to the NE. Could still be showers over lower Maryland (sby) also. Hi pressure and dry conditions will prevail for Friday and Sat. && Marine... as a cold front and scattered showers move through the marine area...winds have increased temporarily. Mws issued for brief gusts to 20 knots in the Chesapeake and portions of the eastern Virginia rivers. These winds should subside before increasing once again during the pre dawn hours. Previous discussion... a cold front will slowly cross the middle Atlantic coast tonight... with low pressure intensifying off the northeast coast Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. This will produce Small Craft Advisory conditions beginning Wednesday afternoon for most of the area and continuing into at least Thursday. The current forecast wind is generally 20-25kt...with gusts to around 30kt for most of the marine area. There is a potential for low-end gale conditions late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening primarily supported by the 21/12z NAM. At this time the current Small Craft Advisory was maintained given the potential for only marginal gale conditions...with an onset generally at or beyond 24hr from 4pm Tuesday. This system is expected to stall offshore Thursday night and Friday with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely continuing...especially for the ocean. With the flow being offshore from the northwest...seas would tend to stay capped at 5-7 feet and tidal flooding is not expected. North/northwest flow is expected to continue into next weekend with speeds diminishing to 10-15kt and seas subsiding. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EDT Thursday for anz630>638-650-652-654-656-658. && $$ Synopsis...jdm near term...lkb short term...jdm/lkb long term...ajz aviation...tmg marine...ajz/lsa