Updated: 10:00 PM EST on December 19, 2014
Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Mostly cloudy. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with rain. High of 50F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
Overcast with a chance of rain in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Clear. Low of 37F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. High of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 55F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 39F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 46F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Clear. High of 43F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Nowell Farm Road, Colerain, NC
Updated: 8:34 PM EST
|Temperature: 34.7 °F||Dew Point: 34 °F||Humidity: 98%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 35 °F||Graphs|
Location: Ashley's Grove, Conway, NC
Updated: 8:34 PM EST
|Temperature: 32.2 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 89%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.15 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 32 °F||Graphs|
Location: Conway - 35S, Conway, NC
Updated: 8:33 PM EST
|Temperature: 33.8 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 82%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.20 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 34 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS GREENS CROSS NC US, Windsor, NC
Updated: 7:17 PM EST
|Temperature: 33 °F||Dew Point: 31 °F||Humidity: 92%||Wind: ENE at 1 mph||Pressure: 30.44 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 33 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wakefield Virginia 737 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 Synopsis... weak low pressure will track from the Gulf of Mexico eastward and off the southeast coast late tonight through Saturday night. High pressure will be over the area again during Sunday. Another low pressure area moves northeast out of the Gulf of Mexico and up along the coast late Sunday night through Monday night. && Near term /through Saturday/... latest surface analysis depicts ~995 mb low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes with broad ~1028 mb hi pressure centered over the Midwest...ridging east-southeast into the Middle Atlantic States. Weak low pressure is also developing across the western Gulf of Mexico...with precipitation over la/MS/al as of 20z this afternoon. Still mainly clear skies over the akq forecast area...but some high cirrus has started to overspread the region from the SW (and broken/overcast strato-cumulus has been slow to erode over the Eastern Shore. Current temperatures are generally in the 40s...as chilly as the upper 30s at kwal/koxb in the clouds...and as warm as around 50 over NE NC and south central Virginia. For tonight...dry weather will persist even as high clouds gradually thicken/lower overnight. Expect temperatures to rapidly drop after sunset under mainly clear skies...then become nearly steady overnight as clouds slowly increase. Lows middle 20s to lower 30s. Sat...system from the Gulf continues to remain shunted off to our south as middle level flow remains fairly zonal. NAM/GFS still show some forcing aloft making way into Piedmont between 12-18z/Sat and BUFKIT soundings show some modest lift through the dendritic growth layer. Ptype across the Piedmont would tend to be snow/sleet Sat am although surface temperatures should be above 32 f (sfc wet bulbs in the upper 20s initially). Low levels remain quite dry however...so any precipitation will be very light (genly a few hundredths if that...with a trace more likely). Thus...will only go with 30% probability of precipitation at most. By late morning/early afternoon...area of forcing over the Piedmont/central Virginia weakens as the surface low pushes off the southeast coast. Will carry low chance probability of precipitation in far southeast zones (all rain) through the afternoon (although most of the precipitation should stay S of the cwa). Cloudy to mostly cloudy west/ highs generally 40-45 f Sat. && Short term /Saturday night through Monday/... surface high pressure noses south into the region Sat night/sun...with dry conds then for Sat night and sun. Lows in the 20s north to the 30s southeast Sat night...with highs mainly from 45-50 f on sun. Next system...this one more amplified will affect the area on Monday...with likely probability of precipitation all zones by late Monday am/Monday afternoon. Looks like all rain aside from a brief mix possible at onset in far northwest counties. Highs Monday only around 40 f northwest to the middle 50s far southeast in cad setup. && Long term /Monday night through Friday/... low pressure lifts to the NE Monday night with probability of precipitation diminishing from SW-NE overnight. Middle-level ridging briefly builds into the region Tuesday. However...moist southerly flow originating from the Gulf Stream will prevail so low chance (30%) probability of precipitation will be maintained. A very dynamic system lifts north-northeast west of the Appalachians Tuesday night with the attendant cold front crossing the middle-Atlantic Wednesday. The first potential of rain arrives Tuesday night associated with moist warm air advection. The second potential will be Wednesday ahead of the cold front. There is a potential for thunder Wednesday as surface dewpoints potentially exceed 60f (especially over the coastal plain). The pattern does support the possibility of a dynamically forced line of convection containing strong wind gusts as current forecast guidance suggests a 925-700mb wind field averaging 40-50kt. This would be a climatologically rarity this time of year...so confidence is on the low-side given that this is 5-6 days out. Temperatures will be very mild ahead of the front Tuesday and Wednesday...with highs averaging from the middle 50s northwest...to middle/upper 60s southeast. Dry and breezy conditions will likely prevail by Christmas day...with high temperatures of 50-55. The flow becomes more SW by Friday with current forecast highs of 55-60...but 60-65 is possible based on low-level thickness fields. && Aviation /01z Saturday through Wednesday/... stratus that was over the lower Eastern Shore Friday afternoon appear to be moving offshore. A surface low near the Gulf Coast and an upper level disturbance that will move across the Middle Atlantic States may produce light rain in far southern portions of the area. While only high clouds are expected overnight...MOS bufr soundings have cloud bases lowering significantly at all taf sites except sby on Saturday. MVFR ceilings are forecast at phf orf and ecg. Light rain but with no visibility restriction are in the tafs at orf and ecg. Outlook...any precipitation comes to an end early Saturday evening and conditions will gradually improve from west to east through the rest of Sat night. High pressure builds to the north of the area Sunday. A series of low pressure systems and complex frontal boundaries will bring chances for rain and periods of low ceilings and visibilities beginning Monday. && Marine... high pressure remains northwest of the region tonight...with lingering light cold air advection along the coast. This will maintain a 10-15kt north-northwest wind overnight...with 2-3ft seas in the ocean and 1-2ft waves in the Bay. High pressure spreads across New England Saturday and Saturday night...with the surface ridge axis remaining inland over the Piedmont. This will maintain light (5-10kt) northerly flow over the marine area. High pressure moves farther east Sunday and Sunday night...as low pressure develops off the southeast coast Sunday night...and then tracks NE off the middle Atlantic coast Monday and Monday night. The surface pressure gradient tightens ahead of the low Monday...which has the potential to produce 15-20kt easterly flow over the ocean and Lower Bay. This onshore flow could produce a period of Small Craft Advisory conditions especially over the southern ocean zones (mainly for seas) and Lower Bay/mouth of James. There is no cold air advection in the wake of this low...so sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions should prevail later Monday night into Tuesday. A strong low pressure system tracks west of the mountains Tuesday night...with a strong cold front crossing the middle Atlantic coast later Wednesday. Small Craft Advisory conditions are likely Wednesday night into Christmas day as high pressure builds in from the west-northwest. && Akq watches/warnings/advisories... Maryland...none. NC...none. Virginia...none. Marine...none. && $$ Synopsis...lkb near term...lkb short term...lkb/mas long term...ajz/mas aviation...lsa marine...ajz