Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 77°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 61%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 63°
  • Pressure: 30.11 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
75°
79°
79°
70°
64°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Saturday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on October 02, 2014

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with rain showers in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with rain showers. Fog overnight. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 81F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 63F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 68F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 78.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 80.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: North at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 77.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 80.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: South at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 78.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: ENE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:27 PM EDT

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:25 PM EDT

Temperature: 78.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Lystra Estates, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:25 PM EDT

Temperature: 77.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: SSE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Emory Woods Orchards, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 12:25 PM EDT

Temperature: 80.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Burdens Creek, Morrisville, NC

Updated: 12:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 61% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 80.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: West at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Cane Creek View, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:17 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: North at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Churton Grove, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:25 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 81.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: SW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:21 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 77.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.41 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Copperleaf, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 80.1 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 79.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: ESE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 12:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 12:24 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:19 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 91 °F Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.40 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Reserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 12:28 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
1158 am EDT Thursday Oct 02 2014 


Synopsis...weak high pressure will extend into the region from the 
north through tonight. A cold front will approach the mountains from 
the west on Friday...then cross the Carolinas Friday night. Cool 
high pressure will build into the region in the wake of the front 
over the weekend. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 1200 PM Thursday... 


Overview: shortwave ridging over the Appalachians will shift 
eastward over the Carolinas tonight...in advance of an amplifying 
upper level trough over the central Continental U.S.. 


Precipitation/temps: a dry/subsident 700 mb-300 mb airmass (attendant the shortwave 
ridge) will sit atop and cap the relatively moist low-level airmass 
in place over central NC...significantly limiting the depth and 
magnitude of diurnal destabilization (~100 j/kg with an equil. Level 
~12 kft). Given such marginal destabilization and a profound absence 
of forcing throughout the column...will continue to indicate a dry 
forecast through tonight with highs in the lower 80s and lows in the 
lower 60s Friday morning. -Vincent 


&& 


Short term /Friday and Friday night/... 
as of 1200 PM Thursday... 


Overview: an amplifying longwave trough will dig into the upper 
Great Lakes on Friday and close off into a potent upper level low 
over the Ohio Valley Friday night. An attendant surface low will meander over 
the Great Lakes...while an associated cold front progresses rapidly 
east to the Appalachians by 00z...and to the Carolina coast by ~12z 
Sat. 


Friday afternoon: the middle-level subsidence inversion left in the 
wake of the shortwave ridge will erode from west-east on Friday as 
synoptic height falls overspread the region in advance of the 
amplifying upper level trough. Though the subsidence inversion will 
erode in the western Piedmont by early afternoon...mid-level cloud 
cover progressing downstream of the approaching cold front will 
inhibit insolation during peak heating...low-level moisture 
advection will not commence in earnest until ~00z...and little or no 
diurnal destabilization is expected across central NC. With very 
weak thermodynamics and little in the way of forcing aside from 
broad synoptic height falls...expect dry conditions. Highs will 
range from the lower to middle 80s in associated/west a southerly breeze at 10- 
15 miles per hour with gusts up to 25 miles per hour...coolest in the western Piedmont 
where middle-level cloud cover will increase by early afternoon. 


Friday evening/night: a pronounced pre-frontal trough will progress 
from western NC to the coast between 00-12z Sat. Low-level moisture 
advection associated/west strengthening southerly flow in advance of the 
front will result in nocturnal airmass destabilization with as much 
as 250-500 j/kg of MLCAPE by 00-03z as precipitable water values increase to 1.50- 
2.00". Although the best DPVA associated/west the upper low will track well 
to the north of central NC Friday night...small amplitude waves in 
diffluent flow aloft and low-level convergence in the presence of 
above-normal moisture and marginal instability should be sufficient 
for scattered to possibly numerous shower activity along the pre- 
frontal trough as it progresses east across central NC. However... 
given bad diurnal timing...weak thermodynamics...and a lack of 
strong/focused upper level forcing...thunder now appears doubtful 
and convective coverage could be less than previously expected. The 
actual cold front is expected to remain west of central NC through 
sunrise Sat with lows in the Lower/Middle 60s. -Vincent 


&& 


Long term /Saturday through Wednesday/... 
as of 230 am Thursday... 


The cold front will continue to progress through central NC early 
Saturday...with the pre-frontal convection ending from west to east 
ahead of it...exiting the area by noon Saturday. Once the rain ends 
Saturday...expect dry weather through the weekend and into early 
next week. There is still some uncertainty in the rainfall chances 
for Tuesday and Wednesday as another disturbance traverses the upper 
level trough and approaches the Carolinas. For now will keep the 
forecast dry. At the surface...cool high pressure will build into 
the region behind the front...moving NE over NC through the weekend 
and out over the Atlantic early next week. Expect a relatively cool 
and comfortable temperature forecast for the weekend...with highs in 
the middle 60s to low 70s Saturday and middle 60s everywhere Sunday. 
Saturday night will be the coldest night of the season so far...low 
40s northwest to upper 40s southeast. Sunday night will also be chilly...middle 40s 
across the area. Temperatures will rebound some early next week... 
highs mainly in the low 70s Monday increasing to middle to upper 70s by 
Wednesday. Lows 50-55 degrees Monday night...increasing into the 55- 
60 degree range by Wednesday night. 


&& 


Aviation /18z Thursday through Tuesday/... 
as of 1200 PM Thursday... 


24-hour taf period: aside from lingering fog/stratus at the int/gso 
terminals through ~16z...VFR conditions and mostly clear skies will 
prevail this afternoon into tonight. Persistence would suggest a 
potential for fog/stratus to develop over central NC again tonight 
and early Friday...though uncertainty is greater than the past few 
days given a tightening mslp gradient from the west late tonight... 
and at this time will indicate VFR conditions through the entire taf 
period. A southerly breeze at 10-15 knots with gusts to 20-23 knots will 
develop Friday afternoon as the cold front approaches the mountains 
from the west. 


Looking ahead: widespread showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms 
will accompany the cold front as it crosses the Carolinas from the 
west Friday night/Sat morning. VFR conditions will prevail in the wake 
of the front this weekend as high pressure builds into the region 
from the West. -Vincent 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Vincent 
near term...Vincent 
short term...Vincent 
long term...kc 
aviation...Vincent 






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