Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 55°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 46°
  • Pressure: 29.90 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
55°
57°
52°
54°
52°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on October 25, 2014

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 81F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 55F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW in the afternoon.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 59F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.3 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 52.7 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.3 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.0 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 53.6 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 52.0 °F Dew Point: -40 °F Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.57 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 50.7 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.7 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.6 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Lystra Estates, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.1 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.9 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 57.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 57.2 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: West at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:58 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Frosty Meadow, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 8:54 PM EDT

Temperature: 50.8 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cane Creek View, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.0 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Churton Grove, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 53.3 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.40 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.1 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.3 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 57.4 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Copperleaf, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.1 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 53.9 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 50.3 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:48 PM EDT

Temperature: 53.1 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Swann's Mill, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:58 PM EDT

Temperature: 48.9 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 60.5 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 8:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.8 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 53.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
719 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014 


Synopsis...a dry northwest flow aloft will prevail over the 
Carolinas through the weekend as an upper level ridge progresses 
slowly eastward from The Rockies to the Mississippi River valley. 
Warm and dry conditions are expected early to middle week... before a 
turn to colder weather by the end of the week. 


&& 


Near term /through Sunday night/... 
as of 155 PM Saturday... 


Through tonight: synoptic subsidence in the wake of a recent 
shortwave passage has reinforced the dry/stable airmass in place 
across the Carolinas (as evidenced by a comparison of 00/12z radiosonde observation 
data)... ensuring a continuation of clear skies and dry conditions 
through tonight. Westerly low-level flow will result in modest low- 
level warm advection (h925 +2c to +4c) across central NC this 
afternoon as upstream heights rise in advance of an upper level 
ridge progressing slowly east from The Rockies into the MS River 
Valley. As a result...anticipate high temperatures a few degrees warmer 
than prior days...in the Lower/Middle 70s. The mslp/height gradient 
will tighten overnight as an amplifying upper level low (in Ontario 
at 15z) digs southeast into New England...maintaining a light 
westerly breeze over central NC. Nocturnal mixing associated with a 
light west/northwest breeze is expected to prevent full radiational 
cooling...and this will be the basis for indicating overnight lows 
in the lower 50s. Given otherwise favorable conditions for rad 
cooling...it should be noted that a brief (2-3 hr) period of calm 
winds would probably be sufficient for temperatures to quickly fall into 
the upper 40s. 


Sun/sun night: the upper level low digging into New England late 
tonight will lift northeast into the Canadian Maritimes sun/Sun 
night. Meanwhile...an upstream ridge over the central Continental U.S. Will 
progress eastward through the Tennessee/Ohio Valley to the western slopes of 
the Appalachians by 12z Monday. Cold advection is expected across 
central NC Sun morning in the wake of a dry cold front trailing the 
potent upper level low digging into New England. Cold advection will 
be short-lived in most locations...however...as warm advection 
attendant the advancing upper level ridge returns by early afternoon 
in all areas except the NE coastal plain. Given that MOS guidance 
has been consistently too warm the past several days...have opted to 
decrease highs a few degrees from the prior forecast to the low/middle 
70s...coolest in the NE coastal plain...with a northwest breeze at 
~15 miles per hour gusting up to 25 miles per hour. High pressure will build over central 
NC/Virginia from the west Sun night. Given clear skies/calm winds and a 
drier airmass advecting into the area in the wake of the dry frontal 
passage earlier in the day...expect good radiational cooling with 
lows in the low/middle 40s. -Vincent 


&& 


Short term /Monday through Wednesday night/... 
as of 315 PM Saturday... 


Warm and dry Monday into Wednesday... 


The surface high pressure is forecast to shift offshore Monday 
afternoon and night. This will gradually allow a SW flow to return 
to the region by late Monday and especially by Tuesday. Since the 
strongest warm air advection is expected Tuesday... that will likely be the warmest 
day this upcoming period. Highs Monday should reach the middle 70s with 
upper 70s to near 80 over the sandhills. Lows will be in the middle 40s 
to lower 50s Monday... warming into the lower to middle 50s Tuesday and 
Wednesday. Highs Wednesday should be tempered by some increase in 
clouds (expect mostly middle to upper 70s). 


&& 


Long term /Thursday through Saturday/... 
as of 315 PM Saturday... 


..increasing odds of the first freeze by next weekend... 


..Pattern change to colder weather from the Great Lakes to the southeast 
coast late in the week... 


While operational models continue to show large spread of solutions 
for our region middle to late week... they have been trending toward a 
deeper and colder upper trough development from the Great Lakes to 
the Tennessee Valley to the East Coast by Friday and Saturday. This 
would allow a good push of Continental polar air... driven by a 
1035+ surface high pressure... to dive into the central and eastern 
states Friday and Saturday. While a lot is yet to be determined 
likely driven by the remnants of Ana as it drives into the Alaska 
Panhandle. The European and its ensembles indicate a deeper and more 
cut off middle/upper trough over our region by Sat-sun... while the GFS 
is not as strong. Regardless... a blend of the ensembles and trends 
strongly suggest at least a robust middle/upper trough over the eastern 
states. The more extreme European may still develop... but is still 
considered a low probability at this time. 


The bottom line... the probability of the first killing frost or 
freeze for our region is increasing for next weekend. Highs may 
remain in the 50s by Saturday... with lows by Saturday night 
potentially ending the growing season for most of our western and 
northern zones if not more of the region. 


&& 


Aviation /00z Sunday through Thursday/... 
as of 715 PM Saturday... 


24-hour taf period: high confidence that VFR conditions will 
dominate the taf period. A weak wave is expected to move across the 
area tonight...and while skies should remain clear...winds may 
remain generally westerly at 3-6 kts. There is a chance winds could 
become light overnight...however confidence in that happening is not 
high at this time. With the high approaching from the west and the 
low lingering over New England Sunday...expect winds to become 
northwesterly and increase to 10-12 kts with gusts of 18-25 kts 
during the day Sunday. Gusts should abate around sunset Sunday. -Kc 


Looking ahead: VFR conditions will persist through the middle of 
next week in association with a persistently benign synoptic 
pattern. -Vincent 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Vincent 
near term...Vincent 
short term...pwb 
long term...pwb 
aviation...kc/Vincent 






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