Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Clear
  • Wind: West 4 mph
  • Humidity: 96%
  • Visibility: 7.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 67°
  • Pressure: 30.00 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Clear
Clear
Fog
Fog
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
70°
68°
75°
81°
90°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on July 25, 2014

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 90F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 95F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 77F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 93F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 86F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 61F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.8 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:54 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.0 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.9 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.5 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:59 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.8 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest V58A Pittsboro NC US USARRAY, Bynum, NC

Updated: 2:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 67 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSW at 1 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Frosty Meadow, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cane Creek View, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:03 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Churton Grove, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.0 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:59 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: River Road Pittsboro, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Copperleaf, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 3:04 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.1 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:03 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Swann's Mill, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:02 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 2:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Reserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:05 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
210 am EDT Sat Jul 26 2014 


Synopsis...a surface trough will develop over the western Piedmont 
this weekend...resulting in a very warm southwest flow. A strong 
cold front will cross the area on Monday. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 210 am Saturday... 


Sheared short wave trough axis will traverse the area this morning... 
resulting in scattered to occasionally broken middle and high clouds. 
Subsidence will follow in its wake...coincident with peak afternoon 
heating...which should largely suppress convective rain chances 
today as forcing will otherwise be confined to very shallow 
convergence associated with the developing Piedmont surface trough. 


Low-level thicknesses are prognosticated to rebound 20m from yesterday and 
despite some morning clouds from both short wave moving through the area 
along with slow lifting/dissipation of morning stratus anticipate we 
should reach full sun readings. Highs in the upper 80s/near 90 north 
to lower 90s south. Lows tonight under clear skies in the lower to 
middle 70s. 


&& 


Short term /Sunday through Monday night/... 
as of 300 PM Friday... 


Sun/sun night: a shortwave trough moving out of Canada and across 
the Great Lakes Sunday will begin the amplification of the longwave 
pattern for next week. Expect convection convection to be ongoing 
over the central Appalachians early Sunday....which should continue 
east into Virginia and may bleed south along outflow into the northern 
portions of the County Warning Area. The 12z GFS backed off significantly on the 
coverage of convection over Virginia...so chance probability of precipitation across the northern 
Piedmont and coastal plain are still a little uncertain. The bigger 
story on Sunday will be the heat and humidity...as deep mixing and 
850mb temperatures in excess of 21c will lead to highs in the middle and upper 
90s. The GFS even suggests 100 in a few spots. Mixing will drop 
dewpoints a bit...especially west of the Piedmont trough...but to 
the east dewpoints are forecast to remain in the upper 60s to around 
70. The resulting heat index values are in the 100-105 range for a 
few hours and may necessitate a heat advisory. A southwest wind 
will continue overnight Sunday night and lows will be muggy in the 
middle to even upper 70s. 


Monday/Monday night: a strong cold front approaching from the northwest 
will cross the County Warning Area on Monday as additional shortwave energy dives 
through the backside of the upper trough. Unseasonably strong 40- 
60m height falls overspreading what is expected to be a moist and 
moderately unstable airmass will aid in the development of storms 
along and ahead of the front. Based on 40-50kt of 0-6km bulk shear 
associated with the deep push of the strong westerlies and 
long...there is good confidence that supercells with a large hail 
and damaging wind threat will be possible. The biggest question 
will be exactly where the Lee trough sets up and how much dewpoints 
mix out as west-southwesterly low-level flow strengthens. East of 
the trough...most likely from US Highway 1 east...moderate instability 
is expected with fairly steep middle-level lapse rates of -6c/km to 
maybe even -7c/km. Forecast soundings also show rather dry middle- 
level air...though the forcing and instability should be able to 
overcome this...and the dry air will likely enhance damaging wind 
threat. At the moment...confidence is strong that severe weather 
will be possible...but the uncertainty lies how far east storms will 
develop and the overall coverage. Highs Monday will be in the low 
to middle 90s. -Bls 


&& 


Long term /Tuesday through Friday/... 
as of 300 PM Friday... 


In the wake of the the front on Monday medium range ensembles and 
deterministic models show an unseasonably deep upper trough 
developing over the eastern US by middle week with an upper low 
centered just south of the Hudson Bay. Most of the week appears to 
be stable with high pressure settling across the Middle-Atlantic States 
and dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Low-level thicknesses 
are prognosticated to dip below 1390m...which suggests highs in the low/middle 
90s and lows in the low/middle 60s... possibly touching the upper 50s 
in the coolest spots. More uncertainty arises later in the week with 
models showing some degree of flow separation where an upper low 
cuts off and drifts south. Whether or not this occurs remains to be 
seen...so at this point will just have a slight chance pop by Friday 
as moisture starts to increase back across the area. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
as of 130 am Saturday... 


24-hour taf period: residual low-level moisture and light southeasterly winds 
will result in stratus overnight and pockets of fog overnight. 
Ceilings of IFR to MVFR are possible with guidance suggesting the 
best fog potential in the east...near kfay and krwi...where surface 
dewpoints have remained in the lower 70s. 


Perhaps some lingering MVFR stratocumulus could linger into the late 
morning before VFR conditions return by early afternoon with overall 
dry conditions expected. 


Looking ahead: a cold front will approach from the northwest Sunday/early 
next work week... bringing the potential for showers/storms and sub- 
VFR conditions late Sunday (in the northwest) into Monday... 
particularly Monday (especially east). VFR conditions are expected 
to return behind the front on Tuesday and continue through at least 
middle week. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...wss 
near term...cbl 
short term...Vincent/bls 
long term...bls 
aviation...cbl 






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