Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 76°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: Variable 4 mph
  • Humidity: 69%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 65°
  • Pressure: 30.22 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
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Partly Cloudy
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Partly Cloudy
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 89 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 8:05 AM EDT on January 30, 2015

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High 88F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Some passing clouds. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 89F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear skies with a few passing clouds. Low 68F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Potential for severe thunderstorms. High 88F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. Potential for severe thunderstorms. Low 66F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 84F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, mainly cloudy late with a few showers. Low 66F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday

    Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 83F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms before midnight. Low 64F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday

    Sunshine along with some cloudy intervals. High 84F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday

    A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny. High 83F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear skies. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 86F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear to partly cloudy. Low 67F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Morning sunshine will give way to isolated thunderstorms during the afternoon. High 91F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms early. Skies will become mainly clear overnight. Low 69F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 91F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 69F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Tuesday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 91F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms. Low 68F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 6:06 am EDT on May 30, 2015


This week is hurricane preparedness week for 2015.

All week long the National Weather Service has issued informative
messages to help you prepare for the hurricane season. Each day
has covered a different topic. Todays topic... the final in the
series for this years hurricane preparedness week... is about
taking
action!

Fema, NOAA, and North Carolina emergency management are just one
part of the emergency management team that works to prepare and
respond to disaster. A key member of the team is the public. That
is why we are encouraging everyone to do their part pledge to
prepare... and prepare now... so that you know what do when
hurricanes strike. During this preparedness week we ask you to
pledge to prepare... complete your emergency preparedness
plan... create or update your emergency kit... and finally share
your story.

Pledge to prepare by visiting http://www.Readync.Org. Then after
youve made your preparedness plan and created or updated your
emergency kit... be an example by sharing what you have done...
with your friends... family... and coworkers. Share your story with
your family and friends through your social network - create a
youtube video... Post your story on facebook... or send a tweet.

Finally... remember that when a Hurricane Watch is issued for your
area you should check your disaster supply kit. Make sure nothing
is missing. Determine if there is anything you need to supplement
your kit and replenish your water. Then activate your family
disaster plan. Protective measures should be initiated... especially
those with coastal property including houses and boats.

When a Hurricane Warning is issued you should ready your disaster
supply kit for use. If you need to evacuate... you should bring
your supply kit with you. Use your family disaster plan. Your
family should be in the process of completing protective actions
and deciding the safest location to be during the storm.

History teaches that a lack of hurricane awareness and
preparation are common threads among all major hurricane
disasters. By knowing your vulnerability and what actions you
should take... you can reduce the effects of a hurricane disaster.

For more information about hurricane preparedness... please visit
the following web sites:
http://www.NHC.NOAA.Gov/prepare
http://www.Readync.Org



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 78.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:06 AM EDT

Temperature: 80.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: SSE at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: CRN, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:00 AM EDT

Temperature:  °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 83% Wind: North at 3 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 79.5 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:19 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: ESE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: NW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:10 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:16 AM EDT

Temperature: 81.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield-Sturbridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 80.7 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: NNE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 9:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 74 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Rue du Lieutenant Chabal, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Bynum, NC

Updated: 9:28 AM EDT

Temperature: 75 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: West at 1 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Cole Mill Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 80.3 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Lawrence Road, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 10:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 10:20 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
655 am EDT Sat may 30 2015 


Synopsis...high pressure centered over the western Atlantic will 
extend into the region through Sunday morning. A cold front will 
drop into the middle Atlantic and southern Appalachians on Sunday and 
move into the Carolinas on Monday and Tuesday. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 230 am Saturday... 


Surface high pressure will continue to extend into the area from the 
western Atlantic today... while a middle/upper level ridge remains over 
the area. This will again largely suppress convection today... with 
near term guidances showing even less instability than yesterday. 
This should generally yield a dry day across the area... with the 
best chances of seeing any isolated showers/storms in the far 
northwest Piedmont. Otherwise... expect we could see some patchy fog 
and low stratus across the area... lifting by middle morning... with 
partly to even mostly sunny skies expected today. Low level 
thickness values will again be similar to yesterday. Thus... would 
expect temperatures to range from the middle 80s northwest to the upper 80s/near 90 
elsewhere... similar to friday's highs. 


More of the same is expected tonight... with again the potential for 
some patchy pre-dawn/early morning fog/stratus and low temperatures 
generally in the middle to upper 60s. 


&& 


Short term /Sunday and Sunday night/... 
as of 250 am Saturday... 


A weak slow moving middle level trough will slowly shift eastward on 
Sunday across the Midwest and deep south. This will allow/cause the 
middle level ridge to shift eastward... with increasing southwesterly 
flow aloft over central NC. This should lead to a better chance of 
seeing some convection on Sunday... mainly in the late 
afternoon/evening time frame... with the highest probabilities 
across the northwest Piedmont. In fact further eastward across the 
central and southern coastal plain we may see dry conditions 
continue to prevail. Highs temperatures will again be similar to today... 
maybe a few degrees cooler in the northwest Piedmont. Still think we 
should see highs ranging from the middle to upper 80s though. Given the 
southwesterly middle level flow and potential for weak perturbations to 
move across the area and along with the moist airmass in place on 
Sunday night we may see afternoon convection linger a bit longer... 
along with the potential for at least isolated convection possible 
across the western and northern Piedmont all night long... depending 
on any weak disturbances aloft in the southwesterly flow. With respect to to any 
severe potential... mixed layer cape still appears to be weak to 
modest at best... with generally only 500 to 1300 j/kg of MLCAPE. 
Given this and still weak deep layer shear... think severe threat will 
be quite minimal to none for Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. Lows 
by Monday morning are expected to be in the middle to upper 60s again. 


&& 


Long term /Monday through Friday/... 
as of 305 am Saturday... 


The approach of a minor short wave and attendant cold front will increase 
the threat for showers and thunderstorms Monday into Tuesday as it 
interacts with the moist and slightly unstable air mass over central 
NC. Based on model timing (and decent consensus)...appears bulk of 
lift to initiate/sustain convection will occur in the western 
Piedmont late Monday...and over the remainder of central NC Monday 
night. Forcing pretty much dependent on upper divergence aloft 
attributed to an upper jet lifting NE across the northern middle 
Atlantic and a weakening shear axis. Forcing along the 850mb and 
700mb fairly anemic. Based on this...will limit pop chance to high 
end chance/low end likely. 


Looking at severe parameters...wind shear weak while available 
instability adequate for some deep convection. Overall severe 
weather threat marginal at best as storm type will be multi- 
cellular/pulse type. 


Surface cold front will Glide into the northern-western Piedmont late 
Monday night...then drift southeastward Tuesday. This feature will aid to 
focus most of the convective activity over the sandhills and coastal 
plain...especially Tuesday afternoon. Middle level flow veers to a more 
westerly flow by Tuesday. This type of flow pattern usually limits 
convective coverage. Will align probability of precipitation from chance northwest to low end 
likely in the east and far south...mainly in the afternoon-evening 
hours. 


High temperatures Monday and Tuesday dependent upon the amount of cloud 
cover and initiation time of convection. Currently have maximum temperatures 
Monday middle-upper 80s...and around 80 north to the middle 80s far south 
Tuesday. If convection on Monday does not initiate in the west until 
late in the day...maximum temperatures may end up being 2-4 degrees warmer. 
Similarly...if overcast skies persist across the northern Piedmont 
most of the day...high temperatures may fail to reach 80. 


Wednesday through Friday...short wave in the northern stream exits off the 
New England coast early Wednesday. This will allow high pressure to 
build into the upper Ohio Valley and nose southward toward central NC. Some 
of the drier/more stable air will bleed southward into the northern 
Piedmont. Former frontal boundary will lie in vicinity of the NC/SC 
border and gradually fizzle out. Remnants of this boundary will 
still serve as a focus for moisture pooling and probably trigger 
isolated to scattered convection over our far southern-southeast counties 
Wednesday into Thursday. 


00z GFS has intensified an area of low pressure in the northwest Caribbean 
and lifts it northward through the Florida Peninsula Thursday. This is a big 
departure from its previous runs. 00z European model (ecmwf) fairly consistent with 
itself...depicting an inverted trough in this region. Will lean 
toward the European model (ecmwf) for now which has a piece of an upper level ridge 
leaning eastward across our region. If this verifies...expect probability of precipitation 
chances to dwindle Thursday into Friday with high temperatures close to or 
slightly above normal. 


&& 


Aviation /12z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
as of 650 am Saturday... 


24-hour taf period: VFR conditions are generally expected for the 24 
hour taf period... aside from the potential for some patchy sub-VFR 
ceilings and/or fog this morning and again Sunday morning during the pre- 
dawn/early morning hours (08-15z). 


Given the rather patchy nature of the sub-VFR conditions this 
morning... will keep mention of MVFR ceilings in a tempo group for now. 
Any MVFR ceilings that develop should lift and scatter by middle morning or 
so. Otherwise... VFR conditions are expected to prevail today into 
tonight in associated/west a persistent upper level ridge along the eastern 
Seaboard... which should help to limit afternoon/evening showers and 
storms. The best chances of seeing any afternoon/evening showers 
and/or storms will again be in The Triad (kgso/kint)... though even 
lower probabilities than yesterday. Thus... will not include any 
mention of convection in the tafs at this time. Sub-VFR ceilings and/or 
visbys will be possible again on Sunday morning in the pre- 
dawn/early morning hours of Sunday. Confidence is highest at 
kgso/kint... thus have added a predominate group near the end of the 
taf period for low end MVFR ceilings at kgso/kint. Elsewhere... outside 
of possibly some sub-VFR visbys at fog prone krwi will leave out any 
mention of sub VFR ceilings for Sunday morning as confidence is not high 
enough to include in the tafs at this time. 


Looking ahead: aside from a potential for sub-VFR ceilings on Sunday 
morning (08-15z) and convection during the late after/evening (20- 
01z)...primarily at the int/gso terminals...expect VFR conditions to 
prevail through the weekend. Chances for early morning stratus/fog 
and after/evening convection will increase at all terminals (particularly 
int/gso) Monday into Tuesday as the upper level ridge weakens and a 
slow-moving upper level trough approaches the Carolinas/mid-Atlantic 
from the west. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...bsd/blaes 
near term...bsd 
short term...bsd 
long term...wss 
aviation...bsd/Vincent 






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