Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 42°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: ENE 6 mph
  • Humidity: 73%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 34°
  • Pressure: 30.35 in. +
  • Heat Index: 38

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Next 12 Hours

3  am
6  am
9  am
12  pm
3  pm
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
42°
32°
31°
34°
37°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 39 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Fog
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Fog
  • Thursday
  • Rain
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 22 °
  • Rain
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 55 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 2:15 AM EST on January 03, 2015

  • Tomorrow

    Cloudy in the morning, then off and on rain showers during the afternoon hours. High 4C. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tomorrow

    Light rain early. Then becoming foggy. Low 2C. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy. High 24C. Winds SW at 15 to 30 km/h.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy with periods of rain after midnight. Low 13C. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Thursday

    Morning rain followed by a mix of rain and snow in the afternoon. High 13C. Winds NNE at 15 to 25 km/h. Chance of rain 100%.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy after midnight. Near record low temperatures. Low -6C. Winds N at 10 to 15 km/h.

  • Friday

    Sunny skies. High 6C. Winds NE at 10 to 15 km/h.

  • Friday

    Clear skies. Low around -5C. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    A few clouds from time to time. High 13C. Winds SW at 10 to 15 km/h.

  • Saturday

    A few clouds. Low -1C. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Abundant sunshine. High 13C. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Mainly clear early, then a few clouds later on. Low 1C. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny. High around 15C. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy in the evening with more clouds for later at night. Low 1C. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Cloudy with showers. High around 15C. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday

    Showers early becoming less numerous late. Low 2C. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday

    Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 16C. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy skies during the evening will give way to cloudy skies overnight. Low 3C. Winds ENE at 10 to 15 km/h.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy. High 14C. Winds NE at 10 to 15 km/h.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with rain showers at times. Low 3C. Winds NE at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Rain showers in the morning becoming more intermittent in the afternoon. High 14C. Winds NE at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Overcast with rain showers at times. Low 4C. Winds NE at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 60%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 41.2 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.39 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 41.0 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.7 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 39.4 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.41 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 43.2 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.37 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.6 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:49 AM EST

Temperature: 41.2 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: CRN DUKE FOREST DURHAM 11 W NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:19 AM EST

Temperature: 32 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS DUKE FOREST NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:16 AM EST

Temperature: 40 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: East at 5 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 41.7 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 40.5 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.0 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.0 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 39.3 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.1 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.7 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.4 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: West at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.0 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:46 AM EST

Temperature: 40.3 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Tuscaloosa -Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.40 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 41.9 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Durham NC US, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:19 AM EST

Temperature: 41 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: West at 1 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:39 AM EST

Temperature: 43.6 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 39.8 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.8 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Emory Woods Orchards, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:43 AM EST

Temperature: 42.8 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 41.9 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Hillsborough NC US, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:18 AM EST

Temperature: 39 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.42 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Rue du Lieutenant Chabal, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 39.6 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Chapel Hill NC US, Bynum, NC

Updated: 3:06 AM EST

Temperature: 42 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: SE at 1 mph Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Huckleberry Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:51 AM EST

Temperature: 40.2 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Lawrence Road, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 40.1 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:50 AM EST

Temperature: 40.6 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: East at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
1000 PM EST Monday Mar 2 2015 


Synopsis...high pressure will build into the region from the north 
tonight and will shift offshore during the day Tuesday as a low 
pressure system tracks northeast from the Central Plains into the 
Great Lakes. 


&& 


Near term /tonight through Tuesday night/... 
as of 1000 PM Monday... 


After a pleasantly warm day...cooler and drier air is working its 
way into the area from the north-northeast as a 1034mb surface high 
translates east across the Middle-Atlantic States. The primary cold 
front is to our south...but there appears to be a secondary 
boundary...with noticeably high dewpoints pooling along it...moving 
from the coastal plain toward the Piedmont. This complicates the 
overnight forecast as the drier...sub-20f dewpoint air over the the 
northwest Piedmont tries to push south but may ultimately be halted 
or shunted off to the west. Most model arent handling this very 
well...evident in part by the much drier than forecast boundary 
layer on the 00z kgso radiosonde observation...so will lean on the rap/hrrr which has 
dewpoints mostly in the 20s to lower 30s Tuesday morning. Temperatures 
will continue to fall into the 30s overnight...but as some 290k 
isentropic lift and higher based stratus spread north and 
east across the area...temperatures should stabilize mostly above freezing. 


The biggest forecast issues tonight will still be 1) whether or not 
any light rain/drizzle spreads far enough north and east into the 
sub-freezing airmass before a weak diurnal recovery in temperatures begins 
on Tuesday morning...or 2) precipitation is even heavy enough wetbulb temperatures 
below freezing in areas where they are initially above freezing. 
18z and 00z guidance continues to only show a couple hundredths at 
best and mostly coming after 12z. The rap and hrrr are completely 
dry through 12z. Will lower probability of precipitation a little and just maintain a 
mention just freezing drizzle in the small area where temperatures at at 
or below 32...which is confined to just the north Piedmont prior to 
15z. No advisory for freezing rain is needed at this time. Temperatures on 
Tuesday will move little off morning lows...middle 30s to lower 40s. 


A warm front is expected to lift northward toward central NC Tuesday 
night...with temperatures rising overnight across much of the 
area...although they could remain near steady in the north/northwest Piedmont. 
Light rain/drizzle could taper as the warm front lifts with 
expanding fog conditions possible. 


&& 


Short term /Wednesday through Thursday/... 
as of 300 PM Monday... 


The forecast problem for this part of the forecast continues to be 
the uncertainty in temperatures due to the potentially lingering 
wedge and the timing and extent to which the warm front retreats 
northward. Given that the models have a tendency to erode The Wedge 
too quickly...especially if there is precipitation falling into 
it...currently forecast The Wedge sticking around into Wednesday 
afternoon in the far northwest Piedmont...with a large spread in temperatures from 
northwest to southeast across the area. Confidence remains somewhat low with 
respect to temperatures...as any changes to the timing and position of The 
Wedge/warm front as they erode/retreat northward will highly impact 
temperatures. They will however increase gradually through around 
midnight Thursday before the cold front begins moving into the northwest. 
Keeping in mind the potential margin for errors...forecast high 
temperatures in the middle 60s northwest to middle 70s southeast on Wednesday. A normal diurnal 
temperature curve should return Wednesday night...although the 
temperature gradient will be quite large and will depend on the 
timing and position of the cold front...expect lows in the upper 30s 
north to low 50s south Wednesday night and highs in the low 40s 
north to middle 50s south on Thursday and decreasing behind the front. 


Precipitation: there will be a slight chance of precipitation...mainly 
across the western portions of the area Wednesday...even though the 
main pre-frontal convective rainfall remains largely along or west 
of the Appalachians until Wednesday aft/eve. Southwesterly winds 
will be quite strong on Wednesday after/evening as the gradient tightens 
ahead of the front. Late Wednesday afternoon is starting to shape up 
as a high shear/Low Cape event. Forecast soundings indicate 200-300 
joules of cape and 0-3 km shear values around 35 kts...mainly along 
and east of I-95 at this time. With surface temperatures expected in the 
middle 70s and dewpoints around 60 degrees...thunderstorms will be 
possible Wednesday afternoon...thus will introduce a slight chance 
across the east with this afternoon's forecast. The latest 12z European model (ecmwf) 
and GFS model runs are in better agreement with the timing of the 
frontal passage and the associated rainfall as it moves through the area. The 
latest runs suggest that rain will be likely Wednesday night... 
progressing northwest to southeast through central NC through midnight Friday. 
This remains case of the cold air chasing the precipitation...but for now 
still expect all precipitation to fall as rain...however there is a small 
chance that a few snowflakes could mix in on the tail end of the 
event. 


&& 


Long term /Thursday night through Monday/... 
as of 300 PM Monday... 


Friday through saturday: high pressure will build in behind the 
front Thursday night...remaining over the region into the weekend. 
Expect a dry forecast Friday through Saturday...with highs in the 
upper 30s to low 40s Friday...increasing through the weekend and 
into the upper 50s to low 60s by Monday. Lows will see a similar 
trend...increasing from mainly low 20s low 20s Thursday and Friday nights to 
the low to middle 30s by Sat and sun nights. There is some model 
disagreement toward the end of the period with regard to precipitation 
chances...as the European model (ecmwf) brings precipitation in from the southwest Sunday 
night and the GFS is completely dry. Will forecast a slight chance 
for rain Sun night/Monday...although confidence is low at this time. 


&& 


Aviation /00z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
as of 745 PM Monday... 


Strong (1032 mb) but transient modified Arctic high pressure will 
ridge south into NC tonight...then build quickly offshore on Tuesday. 
Initially VFR conditions this evening will be threatened with first 
a narrow band of low MVFR clouds that near term guidance will 
develop in the vicinity of krwi in the next couple of hours...then 
sweep...in northeasterly flow...to the southwest across the 
remainder of central NC between 02-07z...lasting at any one location 
for just 2-3 hours before departing. 


Meanwhile...an area of 4-5 thousand feet ceilings over SC will expand 
north as the flow in that layer strengthens and causes air to gently 
rise atop the aforementioned ridge of surface high pressure and 
associated northeasterly flow beneath. Confidence is relatively high 
that ceilings within this area of clouds will then gradually lower 
to into MVFR range from west-southwest to east-northeast on Tuesday - first at kint/kgso and 
last at krwi. There is a lesser...medium chance (around 50 
percent)... that conditions will lower to IFR...with accompanying 
periods of light rain/drizzle mainly at kgso/kint...and perhaps as 
far east as krdu...Tuesday morning. If precipitation were to indeed 
occur... temperatures will be close to freezing at kint/kgso...where 
an associated period of freezing precipitation would be possible. 


Outlook: Tuesday night: sub-VFR conditions will continue to develop 
northeast and lower across central NC through Tuesday night...such that 
LIFR conditions with respect to ceilings and possibly visibilities 
in dense fog...are expected to prevail late Tuesday night-Wednesday 
morning...in association with the slow retreat/approach of a warm 
front from the southeast. 


Wednesday-Thu: a return to VFR will be probable with the passage of the 
warm front later Wednesday at kfay/krwi/krdu...but this improvement will 
be delayed...or may not occur at all at kint/kgso...before a cold 
front and area of rain arrive from the northwest Wednesday night...and 
persist through much of Thursday. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Vincent 
near term...cbl/bls 
short term...kc 
long term...kc 
aviation...rah 



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