Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 53°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NNE 12 mph
  • Humidity: 45%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 32°
  • Pressure: 30.25 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
61°
61°
63°
59°
52°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on April 20, 2014

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 77F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 52F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 55F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NW after midnight. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the WNW after midnight.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.7 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.8 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NNW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.1 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: CRN DUKE FOREST DURHAM 11 W NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 6:00 AM EDT

Temperature:  °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 44% Wind: North at 6 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: RAWS DUKE FOREST NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:16 AM EDT

Temperature: 55 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: NE at 8 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.3 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:38 AM EDT

Temperature: 57.0 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: NW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.0 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:40 AM EDT

Temperature: 54.4 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: West at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.7 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: North at 8.3 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.8 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: ESE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:40 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: SE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lystra Estates, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:40 AM EDT

Temperature: 53.7 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Chapel Hill NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 50 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: NNE at 2 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 53.7 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.3 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.2 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest V58A Pittsboro NC US USARRAY, Bynum, NC

Updated: 9:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 53 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.7 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: North at 9.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.8 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: ESE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.55 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: River Road Pittsboro, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.9 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: East at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 9:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.2 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.5 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:36 AM EDT

Temperature: 57.2 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: WNW at 7.3 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Swann's Mill, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:43 AM EDT

Temperature: 57.7 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: SW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 54.6 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 54.6 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:38 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.6 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: West at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Brier Creek Country Club, Raleigh, NC

Updated: 9:44 AM EDT

Temperature: 56.8 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Duchy Airpark, Saxapahaw, NC

Updated: 9:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: NNE at 12.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
725 am EDT sun Apr 20 2014 


Synopsis...low pressure off the South Carolina coast will continue 
moving slowly to the northeast today... as cool high pressure noses 
into the region from the northeast. The offshore low will move out 
over the Atlantic tonight and Monday... as mild high pressure builds 
into the area from the southwest through Tuesday. 


&& 


Near term /through Monday night/... 
as of 235 am Sunday... 


For today/tonight: broken bands of patchy very light rain and 
drizzle continue to propagate to the west-southwest across the central/southern County Warning Area 
this morning... fed by confluent low level onshore flow around low 
pressure located off the SC coast. As this low makes only slow 
progress generally toward the NE today/tonight... this fetch of 
Atlantic moisture through a deep layer should allow for a continued 
risk of patchy and mostly trace amounts of precipitation over the eastern and 
southern County Warning Area. Models are in fairly good agreement with this pattern... 
depicting a gradual dissolution of the 925-700 mb mass convergence 
over the northwest County Warning Area with the focus of deeper moisture and light precipitation 
shifting to the southeast. Latest models show a fairly sharp northwest edge 
to the deeper moisture... suggesting that there will be a tight 
gradient in clouds and light precipitation potential today that is 
difficult to pinpoint... and these clouds (or lack of same) will 
impact today's high temperatures. Have chosen to follow the pattern of the 
sref probabilities of any measurable rain... keeping a high chance 
of light rain or drizzle (likely probability of precipitation to start then trending down to 
chance through the day) roughly southeast of a line from kixa to krdu to 
kafp... with a trend to no chance northwest of this line and greater 
sunshine. Accordingly... with more solar insolation expected across 
the far northern and northwest County Warning Area... have nudged up highs a bit there... while 
keeping them steady or a degree or so lower in the far eastern County Warning Area where 
there should be only a brief window of partial sunshine this 
afternoon. Highs 60 east to 68 northwest. With the mslp gradient staying 
tight especially from the Triangle south and east... expect the 
steady brisk and occasionally gusty winds to continue today... most 
markedly in the eastern County Warning Area. The parent high centered off the New 
England coast continues progressing eastward and its narrow ridge SW 
through central NC steadily weakens... and as the offshore cyclone 
continues moving NE... expect our surface winds to back slightly to 
a more north-northeast direction... drawing in increasingly dry low level air 
into central NC. But there is considerable model discrepancy as to 
the degree of remaining low level moisture over the eastern County Warning Area... with 
the NAM showing thick clouds rolling back in late afternoon through 
the night with lowering bases... while the GFS trends to mostly 
clear skies but indicates low stratus forming late tonight within 
the surface-based stable layer. There are few hints at this time as 
to which solution is best... as the incoming air advecting in 
through a deep layer is coming from the rather data-sparse Atlantic 
Ocean. But the pattern would suggest that we'll most likely see at 
least some return of clouds in the eastern County Warning Area this evening... and will 
indicate this in the forecast. Expect mostly clear skies in the northwest 
trending to mostly cloudy southeast tonight... with any patchy drizzle 
exiting the southeast County Warning Area early. With the low levels remaining at least a 
little stirred and possible cloud cover... have upped lows just 
slightly... to 40-46. -Gih 


For Monday/Monday night: quiet weather anticipated between storm 
systems. The chilly high to our NE as well as the offshore low 
should be well away from our region by Monday morning... allowing 
middle level shortwave ridging to build in from the west with a weak 
surface ridge settling briefly over the Gulf Coast and interior 
southeast states ahead of the next cold front. Will have mostly 
sunny skies... with any morning stratus quickly mixing out both 
horizontally and vertically. Thicknesses support highs of 69-72. 
Expect mostly clear skies much of Monday night but trending toward 
fair skies with increasing high clouds as the trough now over the 
Desert Southwest heads eastward through the miss valley. Near-normal 
lows of 49-53. -Gih 


&& 


Short term /Tuesday through Tuesday night/... 
as of 300 am Saturday... 


With the departure of the upper low on Monday...the large scale flow 
will become much more progressive for the upcoming week. An upper 
level trough and associated weak frontal zone will cross central NC 
Tuesday afternoon and evening...and the main forecast concern during 
this period will be moisture return and whether or not convection is 
able to make it across the mountains. Surface high pressure over 
the southeast US and mostly west-southwesterly middle-level flow should 
limit significant moisture return ahead of the front. Thus...model 
dewpoints cape appear to be too high Tuesday afternoon. Dry 
adiabatic mixing to 900-850mb suggests highs in the upper 70s to 
around 80. This will aid in some weak destabilization...but overall 
the threat of more than just a few strong storms appears limited and 
most likely over western NC...with convective potential becoming 
less favorable to the east as the front moves toward the coast 
Tuesday evening. Lows Tuesday night in the low to middle 50s. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/... 
as of 300 am Saturday... 


Within the progressive flow aloft...Canadian high pressure will 
briefly build over the Middle-Atlantic States and Carolinas Wednesday 
and Thursday before shift offshore by Thursday night. This will 
lead to a couple days of highs slightly below normal in the upper 
60s and lower 70s...with return flow and warming for Friday. 
Another frontal system will approach on Friday...with a slightly 
better window for moisture return off the Gulf. However...stronger 
dynamic forcing again looks to lift off to the north and best 
instability likely stays to our south. Thus...this system cold be 
another one that becomes drier as it moves east of the mountains. 
Slight chance probability of precipitation for now...with highs mostly in the 75-80 range. 


&& 


Aviation /12z Sunday through Thursday/... 
as of 725 am Sunday... 


High and middle level cloud decks and scattered-broken VFR stratocumulus will 
continue to spread toward the west-southwest over NC... a result of 
the combination of strong low pressure off the SC coast and a narrow 
wedge of cool high pressure nosing into NC from the north. These VFR 
clouds should persist through the day. Confidence in the details of 
the aviation forecast for central NC is low beyond 00z this 
evening... due to poor model performance regarding cloud heights and 
extent in the last day or so and lack of model agreement on a 
solution. But based on extrapolation of upstream conditions and the 
most plausible model solution... expect central NC taf sites to see 
no worse than VFR clouds hold through the day (lowest at Fay/rwi)... 
with patchy sprinkles or drizzle possible at rwi. Fay has a chance 
of seeing a trend to MVFR ceilings late tonight into Monday morning. 
Forecast confidence drops this afternoon with the NAM showing VFR 
clouds returning... around 4 000 feet thick... trending slowly down to 
MVFR this evening... while the GFS shows mostly clear skies by 
evening. Prefer the pessimistic solution with greater cloud cover... 
but tafs will feature clouds holding mainly VFR with a chance of 
MVFR toward the end of the forecast period. Visibilities should remain 
predominantly VFR throughout. Surface winds will remain brisk from 
the NE at 12-16 knots sustained with sporadic gusts to 18-25 kts at all 
sites through the taf forecast period. 


Looking beyond 12z Monday morning... as the offshore low moves 
away and out to sea... VFR conditions are expected to dominate 
through Monday night... although rwi/Fay may see a period of overcast IFR 
stratus late tonight through middle morning Monday. The next system will 
impact the area on Tuesday... bringing another chance for rain and 
associated adverse aviation conditions. However... this will be a 
much more progressive system than the current one... with conditions 
improving to VFR late Tuesday night into Wednesday. VFR conditions 
should then persist through Thursday as high pressure dominates. -Gih 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Hartfield 
near term...Hartfield 
short term...Smith 
long term...Smith 
aviation...Hartfield/krd 






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