Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 70°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 84%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 65°
  • Pressure: 30.14 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
68°
70°
68°
66°
66°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2014

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then mostly cloudy with rain showers. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 82F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the afternoon. High of 73F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 55F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 63F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 63F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:46 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:46 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 67.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:36 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Chapel Hill NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 70 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 8:45 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Burdens Creek, Morrisville, NC

Updated: 8:40 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cane Creek View, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 8:35 PM EDT

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Churton Grove, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:45 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:43 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Copperleaf, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 8:48 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:38 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.5 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Swann's Mill, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:42 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:41 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Reserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 8:46 PM EDT

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
752 PM EDT Monday Sep 15 2014 


Synopsis...a cold front approaching the region from the west 
tonight will track slowly southward through the Carolinas Tuesday 
into Tuesday night. The front will gradually move offshore the 
southeast coast on Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure 
strengthens over the Great Lakes and extends southward through the 
middle Atlantic. 


&& 


Near term /overnight/... 
as of 705 PM Monday... 


With little in the way of advection or forcing...expect little 
change in the remnant cold air damming wedge in place across the 
region overnight with mostly cloudy to overcast low-level cloud 
cover and lows in the Lower/Middle 60s. -Vincent 


&& 


Short term /Tuesday through Wednesday night/... 
as of 300 PM Monday... 


For Tuesday/Tuesday night: the weak surface trough will be in place over eastern 
NC Tuesday morning... and will extend a slight chance of showers in the 
southeast into Tuesday to reflect the trough's presence and the 
departing middle level wave. With subsequent northwesterly downslope 
925-850 mb flow... we should then be fairly dry for several hours... 
until the next middle level vorticity maximum and accompanying stronger 
surface cold front approach from the northwest by early-middle afternoon. 
Surface-925 mb low pressure along this front will approach from the 
northwest and become better defined as it crosses the mountains into the 
Piedmont of NC during the afternoon. Models show a pocket of 6+ c/km 
middle level lapse rates crossing southern NC late Tuesday along with negative 
Li values. MUCAPE should peak at just 750-1500 j/kg focused on the 
southeast... and deep layer shear is marginal at about 20-25 kts... 
but these numbers combined with low level mass convergence should 
still support scattered showers and isolated storms late Tuesday 
afternoon through Tuesday night. Confidence in the coverage and 
placement is not great however... as there is little agreement in 
quantitative precipitation forecast and probability of precipitation among the NAM/GFS/ECMWF. But generally expect the best 
coverage to be in the southeast County Warning Area... where moisture transport and 
instability will be best... from late afternoon through the 
evening... tapering down to isolated showers overnight. Thicknesses 
adjusted for clouds and possible showers late support highs from 82 
to 86. Lows 60-65 Tuesday night as cooler and drier air starts to filter 
in Post-front from the north-northwest. -Gih 


Wednesday and Wednesday night...westerly flow aloft will induce 
progressive top down drying through Wednesday night...lessening the 
depth of moisture...while northeast low level flow maintains 
moisture through about 5kft through Thursday morning. A short wave 
will be moving across the southern periphery of the area on 
Wednesday...accompanied by an 850 mb wave that will enhance lift via 
convergence and weak isentropic lift at the top of the moisture 
column. Hence will maintain a chance pop for showers across the 
south and a slight chance across the north through Wednesday... 
diminishing to a lingering slight chance in the east into Thursday. 
Cool air advection will commence late day as the short wave passes 
and with the dampness and chance of showers...highs Wednesday will 
range from 75 to 80...with some lower 70s possible across the 
northeast where cool air will arrive a little sooner. Lows Wednesday 
night will be mainly in the upper 50s. -Mlm 


&& 


Long term /Thursday through Monday/... 
as of 245 PM Monday... 


A long wave trough sets up across the eastern Continental U.S. By late week... 
concurrent with strong high pressure building into eastern Canada 
and down the East Coast on Friday with the resulting damming 
scenario lingering through the weekend. Low amplitude middle level 
ridging should inhibit precipitation chances through the weekend...while 
the prolonged east to northeast low level flow off the Atlantic will 
suppresses high temperatures into the low and middle 70s through Saturday. 


A strong trough moving across the Midwest will nudge the surface high 
further offshore. The weakened flow will allow the airmass to 
moderate on Sunday...with highs mostly in the upper 70s. Flow veers 
to southwest by Monday ahead of the upper trough and surface 
front...with increasing moisture in the resulting return flow and a 
chance of showers by late day Monday. Highs Monday will be within a 
degree or two of 80. Morning lows through the period will be mostly 
from 55 to 60 degrees. -Mlm 


&& 


Aviation /00z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
as of 750 PM Monday... 


24 hour taf period: MVFR conditions have held on at most locations 
this evening and will continue to do so overnight tonight with the 
possibility of IFR/LIFR ceilings during the overnight hours and just 
before sunrise. Winds will be light and variable overnight as a weak 
shortwave crosses the area from the west. A few sprinkles cant be 
ruled out..especially in The Triad. Conditions should gradually 
improve to VFR as moisture decreases on Tuesday with some clouds in 
the 3-5 kft layer. There will be a slight chance for rain or 
isolated thunder in the south and east late Tuesday afternoon into 
the evening hours. 


Long term: a generally drier period will round out the end of the 
week with slight chances for some afternoon showers Wednesday but 
generally VFR conditions prevailing. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Vincent 
near term...Vincent 
short term...Hartfield/mlm 
long term...mlm 
aviation...Ellis 






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