Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 72°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 87%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 68°
  • Pressure: 29.91 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

3  am
6  am
9  am
12  pm
3  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
72°
70°
76°
82°
84°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 2:11 am EDT on July 4, 2015

  • Rest of Tonight

    Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Near steady temperature around 70. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms... mainly in the afternoon. Warmer with highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms...mainly in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely... mainly in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 60 percent.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Tuesday through Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows around 70. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lake Forest, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:47 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:56 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.3 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: -23 °F Humidity: - Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:47 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:56 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:29 AM EDT

Temperature: 71 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Fairfield-Sturbridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:49 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:27 AM EDT

Temperature: 70 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.3 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rue du Lieutenant Chabal, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:56 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Cole Mill Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 2:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
255 am EDT Sat Jul 4 2015 


Synopsis... 
a series of disturbances aloft will move overhead and interact with 
a frontal zone that will waver across Virginia and NC through the Holiday 
weekend. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 1000 PM Friday... 


Afternoon/evening convection has been rather benign as extensive 
cloud cover earlier today kept temperatures down...thus limiting the 
amount of instability. A short wave lifting northeast towards the 
middle Atlantic coast is largely responsible for the area of convection 
currently exiting northeastern NC. Otherwise...any remaining 
convection over our forecast area will continue to weaken as 
instability wanes even more. However...weak disturbances aloft 
coupled with the moisture rich air mass may support a few showers 
through the overnight hours. Overnight lows will be similar to 
previous nights...generally upper 60s to lower 70s. 


&& 


Short term /Saturday and Saturday night/... 
as of 340 PM Friday... 


Positively tilted middle-upper level trough will remain in place to our 
west-northwest with minor perturbations lifting northeastward in the SW flow aloft. 
Bulk of this energy will pass to our west-NW. With afternoon 
heating...low level atmosphere should become moderately 
unstable...and with available moisture... generate scattered 
thunderstorms...mainly across the northern Piedmont...between 22z- 
03z. Low-middle level wind strength of 30-40kts will create decent 
shear with straight-line hodographs highly probable. This suggest 
broken bands of convection rather than supercellular structure. 
Still could see a strong/locally damaging winds and marginally large 
hail (size of a quarter or less) with the stronger storms. 


Partial-mostly sunny skies through middle afternoon should warm temperatures 
well into the 80s to around 90. The exception will be the northwest 
Piedmont where clouds may be prominent...holding maximum temperatures in the 
middle 80s. 


Similar to tonight...expect majority of the showers/storms to 
dissipate around midnight with a few showers probable well into the 
night. Min temperatures 68-73. 


&& 


Long term /Sunday through Friday/... 
as of 225 PM Friday... 


A closed middle-level low will drift north-northeast across the southern and 
central Appalachians on Sunday...while a surface boundary remains along 
the NC/Virginia border. As the closed low lifts to the north...so will the 
surface boundary...moving north into Virginia Sunday night. As such...the best 
chance for rain and greatest coverage of showers/thunderstorms during the 
day Sunday will be in vicinity of of the boundary...basically areas north of Highway 
64. Forecast soundings show modest cape and shear...with instability 
limited by extensive cloud coverage. But with high precipitable water (>1.75") and 
relatively slow storm motion...will have to keep a close watch on 
localized flood potential. 


On Monday...the surface boundary will be well to our north. Models show 
that a middle level disturbance rotating around the aforementioned 
closed low will move up from the south and cross the eastern half of 
the state during the afternoon. With this being the primary feature 
of the day...the best chance for rain is expected across locations 
from the coastal plain and eastward...with perhaps most of our County Warning Area 
west of I-95 remaining dry. 


For Tuesday through Friday...all indications at this point suggest 
the sub-tropical ridge will become established over the Carolinas 
and southeast in the wake of the aforementioned closed low getting 
absorbed into the westerly flow to our north. This pattern should 
keep the deepest moisture...best synoptic scale forcing...and best 
chance for rain mainly to our north. But this time of year... 
isolated showers/thunderstorms can never be ruled out...especially in vicinity of of the 
Piedmont trough and to our east in vicinity of the sea breeze...so will 
maintain near-climatology probability of precipitation for widely scattered mainly-diurnal 
showers/thunderstorms across our area each day. 


As for temperatures during the long term...near-normal temperatures Sunday and 
Monday will gradually warm to a degree or so above normal by middle- 
week as the subtropical ridge sets up over the Carolinas. Normal 
highs are upper 80s to around 90...and normal lows in the upper 60s. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
as of 250 am Saturday... 


The threat of IFR-MVFR ceilings will continue in the vicinity and 
especially north of a frontal zone draped near the Virginia/NC border this 
morning...while the probability of VFR conditions will increase with 
southern extent from the front (ie. Toward kfay). Meanwhile...a 
series of disturbances over the northern Gulf Coast states today 
will track east-northeast across the Carolinas through this evening...with an 
associated convective cluster probably accompanying each...the first 
of which may affect Fay/rdu/rwi between 16-21z based on 
extrapolation of past movement. Stabilizing effects of each passing 
cluster of storm suggests much lower predictability with any 
subsequent disturbance and storm cluster from middle afternoon 
Onward. 


Otherwise...a relatively strong pressure gradient between low 
pressure moving across the Delaware-Maryland-Virginia and high pressure along the Gulf 
Coast will result in the development of breezy conditions by 14- 
15z...as southwest winds strengthen into the 10-20 knots range with 
gusts in the 20s kts - highest at Fay and rwi. 


Outlook: the front will drift south into NC late tonight and early 
sun. Stratus will again be possible near and especially north of the 
front...near and more likely just north of northern central NC taf 
sites Sun morning. Otherwise...an above average probability of 
showers and storms and associated sub-VFR conditions will accompany 
the approach/passage of an upper low through the southern and 
central Appalachians sun-Mon...before a return to more typical 
summertime conditions for the middle of the upcoming week. 


&& 


.Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
None. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...26 
near term...krd 
short term...wss 
long term...rah 
aviation...26 



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