Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 16°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 43%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: -3°
  • Pressure: 30.51 in. +

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5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
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Clear
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Clear
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 34 °
  • Low: 21 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Ice Pellets
  • High: 38 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Ice Pellets
  • Tuesday
  • Rain
  • High: 58 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 53 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 4:04 am EST on February 14, 2016

Winter Storm Watch in effect from Monday morning through Monday afternoon...
  • Today

    Partly sunny. Cold with highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming southeast this afternoon. Wind chill values as low as 2 above this morning.

  • Tonight

    Cloudy. Snow likely...mainly after midnight. Snow accumulation around an inch. Not as cold. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.

  • Washingtons Birthday

    Freezing rain likely. Sleet or snow likely in the morning...then rain likely in the afternoon. Additional snow and sleet accumulation around an inch possible. Total snow accumulation 1 to 3 inches. Ice accumulation around a trace. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Rain with freezing rain likely in the evening... then rain after midnight. Rain may be heavy at times after midnight. Not as cool with lows in the lower 30s. Temperature rising into the upper 30s after midnight. East winds around 5 mph...becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

  • Tuesday

    Partly sunny. A chance of rain in the morning. Not as cool with highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.

  • Wednesday through Friday

    Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 50s. Lows in the lower 30s.

  • Friday Night and Saturday

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Winter Storm Watch  Statement as of 4:52 am EST on February 14, 2016


... Winter Storm Watch now in effect from late tonight through
Monday afternoon...

* locations... much of the Piedmont and far northwest sandhills
of North Carolina... mainly along and northwest of a line from
Albemarle to Carthage to Raleigh to Warrenton.

* Hazard types... precipitation will start out as light snow
Sunday night before trending to sleet then freezing rain early
Monday morning... and to just rain Monday afternoon.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of up to 2 inch... along with a
tenth of an inch or less of ice.

* Timing... wintry precipitation is expected to start tonight...
and continue through Monday morning before it transitions to all
rain Monday afternoon.

* Impacts... travel may become difficult in this area tonight
through Monday afternoon.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 17.6 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Hotelling Court, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 17.8 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.46 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:00 AM EST

Temperature: 23.4 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 17.8 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 16.5 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 14.7 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.54 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: The Oaks, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 17.8 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:00 AM EST

Temperature: 21.4 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 21 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 17.0 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Stratford Glen, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 15.4 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: State Road 1777, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 16.2 °F Dew Point: 0 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 16.9 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 15.9 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:00 AM EST

Temperature: 20.3 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.58 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

Location: Lewis Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 16.2 °F Dew Point: -1 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: TCH Academy, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 4:48 AM EST

Temperature: 16.3 °F Dew Point: -2 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 4:16 AM EST

Temperature: 15 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 50% Wind: NNW at 3 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 18.5 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.56 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Laurel Hills, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 4:48 AM EST

Temperature: 16.9 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 20.1 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 19.4 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 19 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 15.1 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.40 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Hideaway Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 4:57 AM EST

Temperature: 18.5 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.42 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 15.4 °F Dew Point: -4 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.51 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 19.8 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 14.0 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 14 °F Graphs

Location: Arrowhead, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 16.9 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:00 AM EST

Temperature: 15.4 °F Dew Point: 0 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 17.6 °F Dew Point: -19 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge Drive, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 24.1 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.45 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 15.5 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.51 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 14.2 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.49 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 14 °F Graphs

Location: Stedman, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 19.8 °F Dew Point: -0 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 4:49 AM EST

Temperature: 15.9 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.51 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Graphs

Location: Winslow, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 23.0 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Graphs

Location: Tuscaloosa -Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:01 AM EST

Temperature: 24.4 °F Dew Point: 10 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.53 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:00 AM EST

Temperature: 20.3 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 5:02 AM EST

Temperature: 17.4 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.54 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 4:51 AM EST

Temperature: 17.6 °F Dew Point: -2 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Durham, NC

Updated: 4:27 AM EST

Temperature: 18 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.52 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield-Sturbridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 4:47 AM EST

Temperature: 19.6 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 20 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
409 am EST sun Feb 14 2016 


Synopsis...Arctic high pressure will extend across the area 
today. A developing storm system will approach from the west tonight 
and move eastward across the region Monday through Tuesday. High 
pressure will gradually build in from the northwest Tuesday 
night and Wednesday. 
&& 


Near term /through Sunday/... 
as of 4 am Sunday... 


Today: modified surface high pressure over the area this will begin 
to slowly slide eastward towards the middle-Atlantic coast this 
evening... with middle and high level cloud covering increasing ahead 
of the next system. Afternoon low level thickness values are 
expected to be well below normal... generally in the 1250s and 
1260s. This combined with the increasing cloud cover will lead to 
another cold day across the area... with highs expected to be 
generally range from around 30 north/NE to near 35 S/SW. 


Tonight through Monday night: surface high pressure will shift 
offshore tonight... while low level moist advection will commence 
over top the lingering cold dome leading to the develop of some 
light wintry precipitation. Precipitation is expected to first develop 
across the northern/northwestern Piedmont initial very late this 
evening/after midnight tonight (generally in the form of light snow 
to start)... then filling in further south and east during the early 
morning hours of Monday. This will result in the development of an 
insitu cad wedge. 


While the precipitation will generally remain light tonight into Monday 
morning... the cold surface airmass deposited by the modified Arctic 
surface high will lead to all precipitation early Monday morning falling in 
the form of a wintry mix... with more snow/sleet across the 
northern/northwest Piedmont.... to more of a sleet freezing rain mix 
across the far south/southeastern counties. Given the surface high 
will be transitory (continuing to move further away and offshore) 
coupled with a surging warm nose expect we will see precipitation go from a 
wintry mix to freezing rain... then all rain in a southeast to 
northwest fashion on Monday. Expect locations across our far 
southern and eastern counties will be all rain/drizzle by around 
noon Monday... with the Triangle area turning to all rain/drizzle by 
middle afternoon or so...while The Triad may hold onto some light 
freezing rain or drizzle into the evening... before becoming all 
rain by late evening. Most of the precipitation by midday Monday is 
expected to be quite light... as the 850mb warm front lifts to the 
north of the area. This should leave central NC will spotty light 
precip/drizzle. With respect to to accumulations. Locations across the northwest 
Piedmont/northern Piedmont will see the highest snow and sleet 
totals... possibly 2 to 3 inches... with locations farther south and 
east seeing less for a number of reasons (a little less quantitative precipitation forecast/less 
time with higher snow/sleet to liquid ratios due to the warm 
noes/and possible loss of saturation above -10c across the far 
south/southeast). Thus... outside of the northwest/north Piedmont we will 
generally see snow/sleet totals of around an inch or less. With 
regard to ice accrual... think we should see at least trace amounts 
across all of central NC... thus... at least a Winter Weather 
Advisory will likely be needed in later shifts for the entire area. 
Ice accrual is expected to generally be a tenth of an inch or 
less... with the highest totals across the Piedmont. After 
coordination with surrounding offices we will keep the current watch 
as is for now. However... as mentioned above at least a Winter Weather 
Advisory will be need for tonight into Monday for the entire area... 
with perhaps a Winter Storm Warning needed for a the far north/northwest 
Piedmont. Lows tonight are expected be in the lower to middle 20s. High 
temperatures Monday will range from the lower 30s northwest to the lower to middle 
40s southeast. 


The main short wave energy and accompanying surface low are expected to 
move through the area Monday night into Tuesday... with heavy rain 
and possibly a few storms. Temperatures will increase ahead of the surface 
low as the coastal front attempts to move inland. This will allow 
for near steady to rising temperatures overnight... with lows for the 
overnight period likely occurring at the start of the period. Temperatures 
at around 12z are expected to be in the upper 30s northwest to the 50s southeast. 




&& 


Short term /Tuesday and Tuesday night/... 
as of 335 am Sunday... 


Surface cold front attendant with the short wave crossing the middle Atlantic will 
advance quickly eastward across central NC Tuesday morning. Numerous 
showers ahead of this feature should quickly diminish west-to-east 
through 17z. Westerly flow in the wake of this feature will also aid 
to dissipate cloud coverage and lead to a fairly mild afternoon. 
Afternoon temperatures should vary from the lower 50s northwest to the lower 60s 
southeast. 


Another short wave will cross immediately north of central NC Tuesday 
night...dragging a secondary cold front across our region. This 
feature will basically be moisture starved though decent middle level 
lapse rates may lead to a few sprinkles or light rain showers near 
the Virginia border. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/... 
as of 335 am Sunday... 


Amplified l/west trough that has persisted over our region for much of 
February will relax...leading to short wave idging aloft by the end of the 
week. This will lead to a deep zonal flow...initiating a return to 
near normal and eventually above normal temperatures. Afternoon temperatures will 
generally be in the 50s Wed-Fri. The approach of a surface cold front 
from the northwest late Friday into Saturday will back the flow to a more 
SW direction...pumping warm air residing over the deep south into 
central NC. Afternoon temperatures Saturday should climb into the 60s 
areawide. Overnight temperatures will generally be within a few degrees of 
above freezing until late into the week when an uptick in cloud 
coverage and a SW flow yields min temperatures in the 40s. Dry weather 
expected through the period as moisture return will be characterized 
as weak. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Sunday through Thursday/... 
as of 1240 am Sunday... 


An area of high pressure extending across the middle Atlantic and 
Carolinas will maintain VFR conditions today. The high will drift 
eastward and offshore later today. Thus...surface winds will gradually 
veer from a northerly direction early this morning to an easterly 
direction by this afternoon. 


Middle-high level clouds will increase from the west later 
today...and thicken/lower this evening. Areas of light snow will 
develop across the Piedmont between 03z-08z...expanding into the 
coastal plain and sandhills between 08z-12z. MVFR ceilings and 
visibility will be widespread across central NC after 08z. 


A mix bag of wintry precipitation will occur Monday morning with snow 
and sleet across the northwest half...and the snow transitioning to 
freezing rain then rain across the southeast half. The snow will become 
freezing rain then rain across the northwest half Monday afternoon. 
Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions will persist into Monday night 
as numerous showers cover the region. 


A cold front will cross central NC early Tuesday...bringing an 
end to the rain showers. Improving aviation conditions 
anticipated Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. VFR conditions 
expected Wednesday into Thursday. 


&& 


Climate... 


Here are the record lows and record low maximum temperatures for 
Feb 14th. 




Rec yr rec yr 
low low maximum 
---------------------------------------------- 
gso: 
02/14 6 1905 22 1914 


Rdu: 
02/14 -2 1899 27 1916 


Fay: 
02/14 12 1968 33 1916 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Monday evening for 
ncz007-021>023-038-039. 
Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon for 
ncz008>010-024>026-040-041-073>076. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...wss 
near term...bsd 
short term...wss 
long term...wss 
aviation...wss 
climate...rah 



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