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marine weather discussion for N Pacific Ocean
NWS ocean prediction center Washington DC
1145 PM PDT Fri 4 Jul 2008
Forecast discussion: major features/winds/seas/significant
weather for the North Pacific N of 30n and E of 150w.
The qkscat pass from Fri evening continued to indicate 20 to 30
kt winds over the srn CA waters. Winds over the remainder of the
area were in the 10 to 20 kt range.
The 00z models were in very good agreement with the sfc pattern
through the fcst period. Plan on using the 00z GFS for the most
part. For the short term period through sun...cold front located
to the W of the WA/OR waters will move across the area
today...and eventually dissipate over the N CA waters later
today. All of the models are in good agreement keeping winds
below gale in advance of the fornt...and will maintain the 20 to
25 kt for the WA waters and 15 to 20 kt for the or waters for
today. During the Sun night through Wed period...thermal trough
will build N along the CA and or coast while high pres
strengthens W of the waters. Still looks like the onset of gales
for the N CA waters for later Sun afternoon looks good...while
adding the or waters beginning Sun night and continuing into
Wed. Brief period of gales for the central CA waters Sun night
and Mon looks reasonable.
Seas...for the most part we will remain close to the 00z ww3/enp
mdl guid for most of the...but add 1-3 ft to its guidance mainly
in/near the gale area later sun into Wed...with highest adj in
nrn CA wtrs.
Warnings/forecast confidence...preliminary. Any changes will be
coordinated through AWIPS 12 planet chat or by telephone:
.Pz5 Washington/Oregon waters...
.Cape Flattery to Cape Lookout...none.
.Cape Lookout to point St George...Gale se part Sun night thru
Wed...MDT to high confdc.
.Pz6 California waters...
.Pt St George to pt Arena...gale sun thru Tue then contg Wed ovr
NE part. Confdc high.
.Pt Arena to pt Conception...Gale Sun night into Mon. Confdc low
to MDT.
.Pt Conception to Guadalupe island...None.
.Forecaster kosier. Ocean forecast branch.
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