For southeast sector of Metarea VII, prepared by reunion,

see area 2 below.

Note: wx observations.

======================

Could all vessels experiencing unexpected, severe wx/sea state

please make every effort to report this to saws via cape town

radio.

Area 1:

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forecast valid from 211000 to 221000 UTC.

Wind in knots, wave heights in metres. No sea state given if

waves less than 3m.

Note the wind speeds quoted here are the expected average speeds.

Individual gusts may exceed these values by a factor of up to 1.5.

Wave heights are significant wave heights which may be accompanied

by individual waves 1.5 to 2.0 times higher.

Gale warning(s):

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1. Tristan: NW 35 to 40 in the west.

Synoptic situation at 06:00 UTC

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high 1026 hpa 30s02w high 1034 hpa 37s45e

low 974 hpa 43s20w low 1006 hpa 44s22e low 1010 36s24e

1. Cold front: 30s31w 35s20w 40s15w 45s15w 43s20e

Area forecast:

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Cape east (32.5s/40s, 20e/50e)

wind : anti-cyclonic (counter-clockwise) 05 to 15 in the east at

first, otherwise N to NW 20 to 30 but SW to W 10 to 20 in

the extreme west spreading to the central areas.

Vis : moderate in showers in extreme South-West.

Sea state: 2.5 to 3.5m reaching 4m in the west, with mainly S to SW

swells.

Durban east (25s/32.5s, East Coast/55e)

wind : se 15 to 20, otherwise E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in

the extreme west.

Vis : good but poor in rain and showers in the extreme west.

Sea state: 2.5 to 3.5m reaching 4.0m in the east, SSW swells.

Mozambique channel:

wind : E to se 05 to 15 in the south and west reaching 20 at

first, otherwise variable 05.

Vis : moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in the

south.

Sea state: 2.5 to 3.0m in the south reaching 3.5 to 4.0m at first,

with SSE swells.

Madagascar east:

wind : se 15 to 20 reaching 25 in places.

Vis : moderate to poor in rain and showers in places.

Sea state: 2.5 to 3.5m with SSW swells.

Marion forties east: (40s/50s, 35e/50e)

wind : SW to W 15 to 25 at first, otherwise NW 15 to 25 reaching

30 at time from the west.

Vis : good becoming moderate in showers in the west, spreading

eastwards.

Sea state: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0m in the extreme south, with SW

swell.

Area 2:

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marine meteorological bulletin from Meteo-France/La Reunion on area

ack (amsterdam-Crozet-kerguelen)

Date : 09/11/21 UTC time : 0600

Averaged wind speed on Beaufort scale

wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here.

Part 1:

Storm Warning : nil, but gale force 8 over ams, cro and ker.

Part 2:

general synopsis, 09/11/21 at 0000 UTC :

high 1034 hpa near 37s/42e, moving east-north-eastward 15/20 kt.

Cold front cg axis : 26s/60e, 35s/70e, 42s/75e, 50s/79e, 52s/77e

with warm front wg axis : 52s/77e, 53s/85e, 53s/95e ; associated

low: 987 hpa near 50s/74e, deepening ; moving eastward 15/20 kt.

Cold front ch : 46s/53e, 50s/59e, 55e/61e, 60s/60e moving

east-north-eastward 30/35 kt.

Part 3:

forecast for 24 hours from 09/11/21 at 0600 UTC to 09/11/22 at 0600

UTC :

Wam (30s/40s,50e/65e) : showers and squalls.

Wind: southwesterly 4/6, reaching locally 7 over southeastern area;

becoming anticlockwise 3 to 5.

Sea : rough to very rough, becoming moderate from western. Moderate

to heavy S-W swell.

Vis : poor in showers and squalls.

Ams (30s/40s,65e/80e) : rain and showers in cg then showers and squalls.

Wind: N-W 5/6 ahead the front, reaching 7 locally 8 in the front,

backing west to southwest 5/7 behind.

Sea : rough to very rough. Moderate NW swell, then moderate to

locally heavy SW swell.

Vis : poor in rain, showers and squalls.

Cro (40s/50s,50e/65e) : showers and squalls in ch.

Wind: southwesterly 5/7, to locally 8, becoming anticlockwise 4/6 at

end.

Sea : rough to very rough. Moderate S-W swell.

Vis : poor in squalls and showers.

Ker (40s/50s,65e/80e) : rain, squalls and showers in cg and ch.

Wind: N-W 6/7 ahead the front over far northeastern at first, and

clockwise 6/8 ove far southeastern area, backing southwesterly

5/7 behind.

Sea : rough to very rough. Moderate N-W swell, then arrival of a

moderate SW swell.

Vis : poor in rain, showers and squalls.