024 
fxus64 kohx 050725 
afdohx 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Nashville Tennessee 
225 am CDT Sat Jul 5 2008 


Discussion... 
at 06z surface front extends from about Bowling Green Kentucky down 
across bootheel of Missouri then draped across northern Arkansas. 
A narrow tongue of higher precipitable water (1.7 inches) extends 
from Gulf region northward through central and northern Alabama...then 
up Interstate 65 and then is skewed into northeastern Kentucky. 
Good upper level (300 mb) divergence is evident across east half 
of Tennessee and a good part of Alabama. Showers and thunderstorms 
have been pretty much associated with this difflurence region and 
moist tongue. Drier air is beginning to work in across far western 
Tennessee from Missouri. 


Surface front will crawl into middle state during the day and may pull 
up stationary at some point this afternoon. So will keep probability of precipitation 
running all areas except far northwest where drier air is 
beginning to work into (see latest water vapor loop). Will keep 
a small pop south and east on Sunday but dont expect much of 
anything north half. Monday and Monday night look basically dry 
at this time. Looks like a chance for showers/thunderstorms just about 
each day beginning on Tuesday. 


Expect to see some patchy fog later this morning so will keep a 
check on this. Dont think it will reach advisory criteria. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Nashville 85 66 89 69 / 20 10 10 10 
Clarksville 86 63 89 67 / 10 10 10 10 
Crossville 79 63 83 65 / 50 20 20 10 
Columbia 85 67 89 69 / 20 20 20 10 
Lawrenceburg 85 67 87 69 / 30 30 20 10 
Waverly 86 64 88 68 / 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Ohx watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Boyd