280 
fxus64 ktsa 182029 
afdtsa 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK 
329 PM CDT Friday Jul 18 2008 


Discussion... 
persistent band of light showers associated with middle level shear 
axis remains along the Kansas...Oklahoma border this afternoon. 
Isolated thunderstorms will develop within this area and could 
persist through early Saturday morning. Pop forecast for tonight 
basically follows mav guidance with slight chance included along 
the border. 


Other than that a typical middle Summer forecast coming up with the 
main issue being the lingering effect of moist soils across 
mainly northern areas. This impact is now likely to become less 
pronounced in the coming days. Could see first 100 degree 
readings of the season across southeast OK as middle level heights 
continue to build over the weekend. To the north will continue to 
undercut mav/mex highs through that time. 


Will continue with a dry forecast through next week...however a 
weak back-door front could com into play late next week as upper 
ridge retrogrades and upper flow becomes more northwesterly. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
tul 76 96 77 97 / 10 0 0 0 
fsm 71 96 72 97 / 10 0 0 10 
mlc 70 98 71 99 / 0 0 0 0 
bvo 69 94 70 96 / 20 0 0 0 
fyv 66 91 67 93 / 10 0 0 0 
byv 69 91 70 92 / 10 10 0 0 
mko 70 96 71 96 / 10 0 0 10 
Mio 72 94 73 94 / 20 10 0 0 
f10 70 98 71 98 / 10 0 0 0 
hhw 70 97 71 98 / 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Tsa watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Arkansas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...15 
long term....14