660 
fxus64 koun 181919 
afdoun 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
219 PM CDT Friday Jul 18 2008 


Discussion... 
weak surface convergence along multiple residual surface boundaries will 
allow a few thunderstorms to develop this afternoon across central and western 
Oklahoma and western North Texas. Some of this activity will then 
linger into the early evening across portions of western and 
northern Oklahoma. Have kept some low probability of precipitation overnight across the 
north as a very weak disturbance moves out of the central rockies 
into the plains. Otherwise going into this weekend into early next 
week models continue to show upper ridge building into Colorado then out 
into the central and Southern Plains. This will limit rain chances 
and will see a gradual warming of daytime temperatures across the area. 
Parts of the area are likely to see afternoon highs near the century mark 
by early next week. 


Latest GFS does show a more amplified wave dropping south out of the 
far northern plains into the Great Lakes region Tuesday into Wednesday of next 
week. As this occurs another weak surface cold front makes a run at 
northern OK. This front then tries to back-door further southwest 
into the area by latter part of next week. Also during this time... 
moisture increases from the Gulf as a possible tropical system moves 
across the Gulf into northern Mexico or far southern Texas coast. 
This all may mean a Little Break in high temperatures and a return of rain 
chances. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 71 95 71 97 / 10 0 0 0 
Hobart OK 72 98 72 100 / 20 0 0 0 
Wichita Falls Texas 73 99 73 99 / 10 0 0 0 
gage OK 67 96 70 101 / 30 0 10 0 
Ponca City OK 72 96 75 97 / 30 0 10 0 
Durant OK 71 96 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


25/30