Dunkirk, New York
Current Conditions
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Almanac
Average High: 40°
Average Low: 24°
Record high/year: 68° (1878)
Record low/year: 5° (1984)
Sunrise: 6:37 AM
Sunset: 6:17 PM
Detailed History
Sun and Moon
Sunrise: 06:37 AM (EST)
Moon Rise: 03:58 AM (EST) 3 10
Sunset: 06:17 PM (EST)
Moon Set: 01:27 PM (EST) 3 10
Moon Phase
Air Pollution
Air Pollution Forecast for Buffalo
| Current | Air Quality: Moderate | Pollutant: PM2.5 |
| Current | Air Quality: Good | Pollutant: OZONE |
| Wed | Air Quality: Moderate | Pollutant: PM2.5 |
| Thu | Air Quality: Moderate | Pollutant: PM2.5 |
Next 12 Hours
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database
5-Day Forecast
Hi 54°
Lo 47°
Partly Cloudy
Hi 61°
Lo 45°
Chance of Rain
Hi 49°
Lo 38°
Rain
Hi 43°
Lo 38°
Rain
Hi 45°
Lo 34°
Chance of Rain
Forecast for Chautauqua
Tonight
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a few showers. Lows around 40. Southeast winds 10 mph or less...becoming south 10 to 15 mph...then becoming southeast 10 mph or less late. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Thursday
Early morning clouds then becoming partly to mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 mph or less.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening...then showers likely overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Friday
Cloudy. Showers likely in the morning...then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Friday Night
Cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening...then showers likely overnight. Windy with lows in the lower 40s. Southeast winds 15 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Saturday
Rain. Highs around 50. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Saturday Night
Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Sunday
Rain. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Sunday Night
Rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Monday
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
Tuesday
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Wednesday
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Personal Weather Stations
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
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Location: Dunkirk, NY, Dunkirk, NY Updated: 9:22 PM EST |
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| Temperature: 42.5 °F | Dew Point: 38 °F | Humidity: 84% | Wind: Calm | Pressure: 29.88 in | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: 42 °F | Historical Graphs |
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Location: MARITIME , Dunkirk, NY Updated: 8:00 PM EST |
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| Temperature: 52 °F | Dew Point: - | Humidity: - | Wind: East at 6 mph | Pressure: 29.85 in | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: - | Historical Graphs |
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Location: ASOS DUNKIRK, NY, Sheridan, NY Updated: 8:53 PM EST |
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| Temperature: 45 °F | Dew Point: 30 °F | Humidity: 57% | Wind: NW at 3 mph | Pressure: 29.88 in | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: 45 °F | Historical Graphs |
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Location: HADS SINCLAIRVILLE NEAR JAMESTOWN 11N NY US, Sinclairville, NY Updated: 8:00 PM EST |
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| Temperature: °F | Dew Point: - | Humidity: - | Wind: Calm | Pressure: - | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: - | Historical Graphs |
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Location: Sea Lion Channel Lake Chautauqua, Mayville, NY Updated: 9:20 PM EST |
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| Temperature: 36.8 °F | Dew Point: 32 °F | Humidity: 82% | Wind: Calm | Pressure: 29.93 in | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: 37 °F | Historical Graphs |
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Location: NOS_NWLON Sturgeon Point, NY, Derby, NY Updated: 8:42 PM EST |
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| Temperature: 40 °F | Dew Point: - | Humidity: - | Wind: Calm | Pressure: 29.88 in | Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in | Windchill: 40 °F | Historical Graphs |
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MSN Maps of: |
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| Temperature | Dew Point | Humidity | Wind | Pressure | Hourly Precipitation | - | |
NWS Forecaster Discussion
329 fxus61 kbuf 110029 afdbuf Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Buffalo New York 729 PM EST Wednesday Mar 10 2010 Synopsis... high pressure over eastern Canada and New England will only slowly retreat during the next couple of days as sprawling low pressure approaches from the plains and Ohio Valley. This will result in plenty of cloud but only a few showers across our region Thursday and Friday along with very mild temperatures. There is a threat of more significant rain on Saturday into Sunday as the low moves across Pennsylvania to the coast. Slow improvement is expected early next week. && Near term /through Thursday/... high pressure over eastern New York and New England slides east this evening. Some limited moisture ahead of a warm front over the Ohio Valley will lift northeast tonight and a couple of weak short waves will also move NE across western New York. This will bring a threat of a few showers across the southern tier this evening and then across the Niagara Frontier and western Finger Lakes later tonight. The high will keep areas east of Lake Ontario mainly clear to partly cloudy early this evening with clouds incfreasing overnight. Expect lows tonight to be milder than last night with lows ranging from around 32 east of Lake Ontario, to around 40 from the Genesee Valley west. On Thursday, the models continue to suggest that across most of the region it should stay dry. The axis of higher level moisture lifts NE from The Finger lakes into areas east of Lake Ontario. Will carry low chance shower from Rochester eastward early in the morning and bring chance of a few showers to areas east of Lake Ontario in the afternoon. Further to the west from the Genesee Valley westward, after morning clouds the models show a wedge of drier air lifting NE from the Ohio Valley into western New York during the late morning and into the afternoon so expect skies to become partly to even mostly sunny. Expect highs generally from the middle to upper 40s east of Lake Ontario where clouds will persist. Across areas from The Finger lakes 850 temperatures of +5 to +7c shld give another warm day with highs generally from the middle 50s to even a few low 60s possible across the central Genesee Valley and some areas south of Buffalo to western portions of the southern tier. The one exception will be areas along the South Shore of Lake Ontario from near Rochester westward, where a east-northeast wind off Lake Ontario will keep temperatures closer to 50. && Short term /Thursday night through Friday night/... this period will feature an east to southeast flow ahead of a huge upper low slowly approaching from the Ohio Valley. One surge of moisture will lift north and across our region late Thursday nt int midday Friday...then a semi dry slot will follow later Saturday. Will increase probability of precipitation into likely range to account for this feature...then drop back to chance/scatd Friday afternoon. Quantitative precipitation forecast with this feature should average 0.25 inch or less. Most of Friday nt will be dry before next surge of rain approaches toward Sat morning. Friday temperatures will be mild...followed mav temperatures plus a degree or two with some downsloping...although southeast flow will turn east-NE in afternoon. && Long term /Saturday through Wednesday/... models now in fairly good agreement during this period...with some significant quantitative precipitation forecast possible...most likely in the 18z Sat to 15z sun period. This will have to be watched as waterways will be running high due to the melting snows of the last few days. Models bring huge upper low to PA/Maryland area later Sat and only slowly drift it east later sun and off the coast Monday. There will be a surface reflection as well...but of most importance is the anomalous 70-80 knots ll east-southeast jet setting up later Sat and Sat nt. This is another example of this unusual winter with several of these east to west features. The heaviest rains will be along the nose and just left of this jet...but it is tough to pin down 3-4 days ahead. Models vary with this "fire hose" ... from Delaware-Maryland-Virginia to southern PA...GFS NYC to central New York...ECMWF...RI to northern New York. Our region will not be impacted the greatest...simply because we are so far away from the ocean and due to some downsloping effects...but we still could be along downwind axis of heaviest quantitative precipitation forecast...so strip of 1 to 2 inches is possible. Will monitor closely. For now will just increase probability of precipitation to categorical Sat and Sat nt and slowly decrease into likely range Sunday. Threat for heavier rain eases on Sunday but we'll see see general lighter rain and cooler temperatures on the backside of the system as winds back to NE and north. Still...850 mb temperatures hold near zero so any precipitation will stay liquid. Unlike yesterday's runs when GFS held system along northeast coast all week...they now agree with Gem and European model (ecmwf) in pulling system off the coast on Monday will improving weather settling in from the north and northwest. Will play it pessimistic and keep chance probability of precipitation in Monday and Monday nt but will bring some clearing in on Tuesday with a fine day for Wednesday as ridging builds across the lakes. Temperatures still look moderately mild with 850 mb temperatures of zero to +2...supporting M-u40s/near 50 maxes Tuesday and Wednesday...normal maxes for middle March are in l-M 40s. Looks like our snowless March will stay that way through about the 20th at least. && Aviation /00z Thursday through Monday/... a warm front over the upper Ohio Valley this evening will lift across western Pennsylvania...and eventually western New York late tonight and early Thursday. This will result in lowering ceilings across western New York with some spotty light rain showers. Ceilings will lower to between 1500-2500 feet late tonight...especially over the western southern tier where ceilings could drop below 1000 feet. In general...the VFR conditions are expected to deteriorate to MVFR as the overnight progresses. Sites east of Lake Ontario will remain VFR through the night. On Thursday...there may be several hours of MVFR ceilings during the morning over the western counties but those ceilings will rise to VFR levels by midday. Otherwise...VFR conditions should prevail across the region. Outlook... Thursday night and Friday...mainly VFR with a chance of rain showers. Saturday through Monday...MVFR/IFR with rain likely. && Marine... light easterly winds tonight and Thursday morning will gradually freshen up Thursday afternoon and become brisk Thursday night and Friday as the gradient increases between a large high over Quebec and New England and approaching low pressure from the Ohio Valley. The brisk easterlies will gradually back to northeast Friday night and Saturday as the low moves across Pennsylvania. Small craft advisories will likely be necessary for the central and western portions of Lake Ontario from Friday on through the upcoming weekend. && Hydrology... warmer weather in store through Friday but quantitative precipitation forecast looks minor...just a bit late Thursday nt/Friday am. Most of snow should be gone from lower elevs by end of Friday...but still a decent amount of ice in some of the buf area creeks so we will have to keep an eye out for any jams later Thursday or Friday. In addition...heavier quantitative precipitation forecast is likely on Sat/Sat nt...perhaps over an inch...and this would result in Hydro issues. We will monitor and mention has been made in severe weather potential statement. && Buf watches/warnings/advisories... New York...none. Marine...none. && $$ Synopsis...sfm near term...jjp short term...sfm long term...sfm aviation...jjp/rsh marine...jjp/sfm hydrology...sfm