601 
fxus62 ktae 060102 
afdtae 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida 
900 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2008 


Update...00z water vapor/upper air analysis depicted a trough axis 
extending into the Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a 
quasi-stationary front reached from the middle-Atlantic across the Tennessee 
Valley, then into the Central Plains. Energy rotating through the base 
of the trough in tandem with afternoon sea breezes, favorable 
thermodynamics and pre-existing mesoscale boundaries developed 
scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms from central/southern Alabama into central/southern 
GA, with more isolated activity over the Florida zones. Some of the 
storms were quite strong, with a few reports of wind damage, 
flooding and hail. Radar trends the past few hours indicated an 
overall decrease in convective coverage/intensity over our Alabama/Georgia 
zones, while scattered showers/thunderstorms linger over the eastern Florida Panhandle. 
For the remainder of the evening into the overnight period, expect 
the focus of the convection to shift from land to coastal areas. 
Across the marine area, southwesterly winds less than 10 kts and 1-2 feet seas 
prevail. No changes to the current zone and coastal waters forecast are 
expected. 


&& 


Aviation...ongoing convection may weaken but still linger into the 
overnight hours. Otherwise...brief MVFR/IFR visibilities/ceilings possible 
during the pre-dawn hours...especially at kvld. Scattered to 
numerous showers/thunderstorms will develop across the region Sunday afternoon 
with MVFR and local IFR ceilings/visibilities expected in vicinity of stronger storms. 


&& 


Tae watches/warnings/advisories... 
Alabama...none. 
Georgia...none. 
Florida...none. 
GM...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Jamski/block