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afdgld 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Goodland Kansas 
123 am MDT Thursday Jul 24 2008 


Discussion... 
123 am MDT Thursday Jul 24 2008 


Persistent Summer pattern is expected to remain in place with the 
subtropical ridge axis stretching from the central/southern rockies 
east/southeast towards portions of the central and Southern Plains 
states. 


A quasi-stationary front near the Kansas and Nebraska state line 
between kmck and khde is prognosticated to re-enter the tri-state this 
afternoon or tonight, mainly impacting the northern half of the 
area. Will keep isolated probability of precipitation across the entire area weighted in the 
north given the uncertainty. Highs in the upper 90s/lower 100s are 
anticipated. Some increase in 500 mb flow may support an isolated severe 
thunderstorm weighted in the north. 


The subtropical ridge may break down briefly late Friday across the 
Central High plains as a shortwave trough moves southeast out of the 
central rockies. The quasi-stationary front will become a focus for 
deep moist convection Friday afternoon through Friday night. 
Raised probability of precipitation into the Middle Range through Friday night. Stable 
Post-frontal conditions are expected on Saturday as the subtropical 
ridge builds over the region once again. More seasonable highs in 
the low-middle 90s are anticipated. 


26 
&& 


Aviation... 
1054 PM MDT Wednesday Jul 23 2008 


For the 06z tafs...VFR conditions expected to prevail through the 
period. Isolated -shra will stay west of taf sites overnight. Light 
west to southwest surface winds will keep dew points down and do not 
expect a repeat of fog formation tonight. For Thursday...isolated -tsra 
possible again in the late afternoon and early evening...but too 
early to pin down details in this taf issuance. 


24 
&& 


Gld watches/warnings/advisories... 
Kansas...none. 
NE...none. 
Colorado...none. 
&& 


$$