907 
fxus64 klzk 162005 
afdlzk 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas 
305 PM CDT Tuesday Mar 16 2010 


Short term...tonight through Friday night 
clouds will break up somewhat this evening before a storm system 
aloft approaches from Iowa. The system will head to the 
south...and will enter northern Arkansas by Wednesday afternoon. 
Clouds will thicken once again...with small chances for rain 
through the evening hours. Quantitative precipitation forecast is under one tenth of inch. 


The system will exit to the southeast...with weak high pressure 
following from the plains on Thursday with more sunshine. This 
will be the start of a brief warming trend. 


The warmest weather of the period will come on Friday as high 
pressure departs...and breezy southerly winds develop ahead of a 
new storm system in the Texas Panhandle. 


The new system will move rapidly to the northeast...and will be in 
northeast Oklahoma as the period ends. The system will bring 
chances for showers to the northwest half of Arkansas Friday 
night. 
&& 


Long term...Saturday through Tuesday 
upper low will be pushing into the state at the start of the 
period...with associated cold front moving through in the Sat/sun 
time frame. GFS much faster than the European model (ecmwf)...with slight probability of precipitation 
lingering into Sunday. Colder air will wrap around departing low 
early Sunday with chance of -sn/rain mix across the north. Temperatures will 
fall down well below normal through the weekend with Sunday as the 
coolest with highs in the 40s/50s and lows in the 20s/30s. Dry 
conditions will return Monday/Tuesday...with temperatures moderating back 
up to normal levels by Tuesday as ridging takes place along the 
Gulf. 
&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Batesville Arkansas 43 58 42 65 / 10 30 20 0 
Camden Arkansas 46 61 44 68 / 10 30 20 0 
Harrison Arkansas 39 53 37 61 / 10 20 10 0 
Hot Springs Arkansas 44 60 41 66 / 10 30 20 0 
Little Rock Arkansas 44 60 42 66 / 10 30 20 0 
Monticello Arkansas 46 62 44 67 / 10 20 20 0 
Mount Ida Arkansas 42 60 39 64 / 10 30 20 0 
Mountain Home Arkansas 41 53 39 64 / 10 30 10 0 
Newport Arkansas 44 59 42 65 / 10 20 20 0 
Pine Bluff Arkansas 45 61 43 66 / 10 30 20 0 
Russellville Arkansas 41 58 39 66 / 10 30 20 0 
Searcy Arkansas 43 60 41 66 / 10 30 20 0 
Stuttgart Arkansas 45 61 43 65 / 10 30 20 0 
&& 


Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...46 / long term...61